Gulf population fell by 4 per cent in 2020


Neil Halligan
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The Gulf population fell by four per cent in 2020, owing to the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and lower oil prices, according to S&P Global Ratings.

In a report on Monday, S&P said it expects the decline in population across the Gulf region to continue until 2023, relative to each country's population, "because of subdued non-oil sector growth and workforce nationalisation policies".

States including Kuwait and Oman have already set out targets to reduce their foreign workforce and provide more jobs for their citizens.

Meanwhile, the UAE is trying to boost population growth and attract skilled professionals, in a major drive to develop the knowledge economy.

“GCC countries’ productivity, income levels and economic diversification may stagnate in the long term without significant investment in the human capital of the national population and improvements in labour market flexibility,” S&P said.

However, S&P added that the decline in population "will have limited impact on the region's economic growth and our ratings on GCC sovereigns in the near term", owing to increased hydrocarbon production from 2022 and higher oil prices.

The agency expects oil prices to remain at $50 per barrel this and next year, and to rise to $55 from 2023.

"As these levels are below the fiscal break-even oil price for all GCC sovereigns, except Qatar, we expect governments will moderate public investment spending, which is the main impetus of non-oil growth in the region," it said.

In the UAE, S&P said in 2020 the population declined by 6.5 per cent overall, and by 8.4 per cent in Dubai.

Both are predicted to return to pre-pandemic levels by 2023 at the latest, with expected growth levels of 2.3 per cent and 2.7 per cent respectively.

A senior Indian minister said last month that more than 1.15 million Indians had returned to the UAE in the past seven months.

V Muraleedharan, Minister of State for External Affairs, said 1.3 million Indians left the Emirates after air links resumed last May.

He added that about 150,000 Indians have not yet returned to the UAE. His figures are based on flight data.

Saudi Arabia's foreign population shrunk by 2.8 per cent last year, although S&P estimates a growth of 0.8 per cent by 2023.

Oman's foreign population declined by about 12 per cent last year – which is lower than the 17 per cent decline cited last year by data from the state-run National Centre for Statistics and Information. Growth of 1 per cent expected by 2023.

Kuwait experienced a decline of 4 per cent in 2020, while Bahrain witnessed a drop of 2.5 per cent.

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Know before you go
  • Jebel Akhdar is a two-hour drive from Muscat airport or a six-hour drive from Dubai. It’s impossible to visit by car unless you have a 4x4. Phone ahead to the hotel to arrange a transfer.
  • If you’re driving, make sure your insurance covers Oman.
  • By air: Budget airlines Air Arabia, Flydubai and SalamAir offer direct routes to Muscat from the UAE.
  • Tourists from the Emirates (UAE nationals not included) must apply for an Omani visa online before arrival at evisa.rop.gov.om. The process typically takes several days.
  • Flash floods are probable due to the terrain and a lack of drainage. Always check the weather before venturing into any canyons or other remote areas and identify a plan of escape that includes high ground, shelter and parking where your car won’t be overtaken by sudden downpours.

 

MATCH INFO

Uefa Champions League semi-finals, second leg:

Liverpool (0) v Barcelona (3), Tuesday, 11pm UAE

Game is on BeIN Sports

HIJRA

Starring: Lamar Faden, Khairiah Nathmy, Nawaf Al-Dhufairy

Director: Shahad Ameen

Rating: 3/5

Key developments in maritime dispute

2000: Israel withdraws from Lebanon after nearly 30 years without an officially demarcated border. The UN establishes the Blue Line to act as the frontier. 

2007: Lebanon and Cyprus define their respective exclusive economic zones to facilitate oil and gas exploration. Israel uses this to define its EEZ with Cyprus

2011: Lebanon disputes Israeli-proposed line and submits documents to UN showing different EEZ. Cyprus offers to mediate without much progress.

2018: Lebanon signs first offshore oil and gas licencing deal with consortium of France’s Total, Italy’s Eni and Russia’s Novatek.

2018-2019: US seeks to mediate between Israel and Lebanon to prevent clashes over oil and gas resources.

Iftar programme at the Sheikh Mohammed Centre for Cultural Understanding

Established in 1998, the Sheikh Mohammed Centre for Cultural Understanding was created with a vision to teach residents about the traditions and customs of the UAE. Its motto is ‘open doors, open minds’. All year-round, visitors can sign up for a traditional Emirati breakfast, lunch or dinner meal, as well as a range of walking tours, including ones to sites such as the Jumeirah Mosque or Al Fahidi Historical Neighbourhood.

Every year during Ramadan, an iftar programme is rolled out. This allows guests to break their fast with the centre’s presenters, visit a nearby mosque and observe their guides while they pray. These events last for about two hours and are open to the public, or can be booked for a private event.

Until the end of Ramadan, the iftar events take place from 7pm until 9pm, from Saturday to Thursday. Advanced booking is required.

For more details, email openminds@cultures.ae or visit www.cultures.ae

 

AUSTRALIA SQUAD

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What sanctions would be reimposed?

Under ‘snapback’, measures imposed on Iran by the UN Security Council in six resolutions would be restored, including:

  • An arms embargo
  • A ban on uranium enrichment and reprocessing
  • A ban on launches and other activities with ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons, as well as ballistic missile technology transfer and technical assistance
  • A targeted global asset freeze and travel ban on Iranian individuals and entities
  • Authorisation for countries to inspect Iran Air Cargo and Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines cargoes for banned goods
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Born: Mukalla, Yemen, 1979

Education: UAE University, Al Ain

Family: Married with two daughters: Asayel, 7, and Sara, 6

Favourite piece of music: Horse Dance by Naseer Shamma

Favourite book: Science and geology

Favourite place to travel to: Washington DC

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Group C: Sporting Braga, Ludogorets, Hoffenheim, Istanbul Basaksehir.
Group D: AC Milan, Austria Vienna , Rijeka, AEK Athens.
Group E: Lyon, Everton, Atalanta, Apollon Limassol.
Group F: FC Copenhagen, Lokomotiv Moscow, Sheriff Tiraspol, FC Zlin.
Group G: Vitoria Plzen, Steaua Bucarest, Hapoel Beer-Sheva, FC Lugano.
Group H: Arsenal, BATE Borisov, Cologne, Red Star Belgrade.
Group I: Salzburg, Marseille, Vitoria Guimaraes, Konyaspor.
Group J: Athletic Bilbao, Hertha Berlin, Zorya Luhansk, Ostersund.
Group K: Lazio, Nice, Zulte Waregem, Vitesse Arnhem.
Group L: Zenit St Petersburg, Real Sociedad, Rosenborg, Vardar

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Ms Al Ameri likes the variety of her job, and the daily environmental challenges she is presented with.

Regular contact with wildlife is the most appealing part of her role at the Environment Agency Abu Dhabi.

She loves to explore new destinations and lives by her motto of being a voice in the world, and not an echo.

She is the youngest of three children, and has a brother and sister.

Her favourite book, Moby Dick by Herman Melville helped inspire her towards a career exploring  the natural world.

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Cricket World Cup League 2

UAE squad

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Fixtures

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Thursday, November 7 – UAE v Oman
Saturday, November 9 – Netherlands v UAE

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When: The one-off Test starts on Friday, May 11
What time: Each day’s play is scheduled to start at 2pm UAE time.
TV: The match will be broadcast on OSN Sports Cricket HD. Subscribers to the channel can also stream the action live on OSN Play.

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2pm: Handicap (PA) Dh 50,000 (Dirt) 1,400m

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2.30pm: Maiden (TB) Dh 60,000 (D) 1,400m

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5pm: Handicap (TB) Dh 76,000 (D) 1,950m

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Director: Joseph Kosinski

Rating: 4/5

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Profile of Bitex UAE

Date of launch: November 2018

Founder: Monark Modi

Based: Business Bay, Dubai

Sector: Financial services

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Investors: Self-funded to date with $1m of personal savings

Red flags
  • Promises of high, fixed or 'guaranteed' returns.
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  • Lack of clear information, vague language, no access to audited financials.
  • Overseas companies targeting investors in other jurisdictions - this can make legal recovery difficult.
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Courtesy: Carol Glynn, founder of Conscious Finance Coaching

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