Egypt's difficult task of stability ahead of ballot



There is much to like about the election law that Egypt's ruling Supreme Council of the Armed Forces unveiled this week. But legislative elections are just one part of the country's post-revolutionary rebirth, and many hard questions still must be answered before the new Egypt takes shape.

The first thing to like is that elections will proceed on a reasonable schedule. Early complaints that hasty elections would unduly favour Islamist opposition groups, who were better organised, were part of the reason for a delay from September. The current plan calls for a month-long process to be completed by the end of the year.

Any further delay would have risked reaching the boiling point in relations between the army and a sizeable section of the public. Even now it will be a challenge to keep the lid on, as violence this week suggests.

The law cuts the eligibility age for the People's Assembly, the lower house, to 25, down from 30. There will be both individual candidacies and party lists. Judges will supervise polling places. That's all fine.

But how can the military explain banning outside election observers, as Hosni Mubarak did? There has been some confusion about observers among opposition groups, but decades of stolen elections seem to be building a consensus in their favour. If this election is suspect, it could do more harm than good.

There are also some deeper concerns. However fair the elections, they are just part of the process of creating a new Egypt. Any road to this goal should reduce the military's eminent, not to say pre-eminent, role in Egypt's governance and economy. Since 1952, when General Muhammad Naguib and Colonel Gamal Abdel Nasser overthrew the monarchy, Egypt's presidents have all been from the military. The armed forces are in many ways a state within a state, and there is a long tradition of a civilian facade masking the real power.

Legislative elections will start a busy process: new lawmakers will name a 100-member assembly to draft a new constitution; already the military council is manoeuvring to keep the armed forces above civilian control.

Then a presidential election is expected for early next year. Any reformist president and prime minister will have to cope with the army's entrenched power somehow, and any who are not committed to reform will find Tahrir Square reflecting public anger again.

Egypt has so many challenges ahead. It cannot confront any of them if society degenerates into violence before these elections.

Schedule for Asia Cup

Sept 15: Bangladesh v Sri Lanka (Dubai)

Sept 16: Pakistan v Qualifier (Dubai)

Sept 17: Sri Lanka v Afghanistan (Abu Dhabi)

Sept 18: India v Qualifier (Dubai)

Sept 19: India v Pakistan (Dubai)

Sept 20: Bangladesh v Afghanistan (Abu Dhabi) Super Four

Sept 21: Group A Winner v Group B Runner-up (Dubai) 

Sept 21: Group B Winner v Group A Runner-up (Abu Dhabi)

Sept 23: Group A Winner v Group A Runner-up (Dubai)

Sept 23: Group B Winner v Group B Runner-up (Abu Dhabi)

Sept 25: Group A Winner v Group B Winner (Dubai)

Sept 26: Group A Runner-up v Group B Runner-up (Abu Dhabi)

Sept 28: Final (Dubai)

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The smuggler

Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple. 
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.

Khouli conviction

Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.

For sale

A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.

- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico

- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000

- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950