Was two-metre safety rule for Covid-19 plucked from the air?


Soraya Ebrahimi
  • English
  • Arabic

A new study has shown that the airborne transmission of the coronavirus is highly random and suggests that the two-metre rule was a number chosen from a risk "continuum", rather than any concrete measurement of safety.

A team of engineers from the University of Cambridge used computer modelling to show how droplets spread when people cough.

They found that without masks, a person with Covid-19 can infect another two metres away, even outdoors.

The team also found that coughs vary widely, and that the "safe" distance could have been set at anywhere between one and three metres, or even more, depending on the risk tolerance of the public health authority concerned.

The results, published in the journal Physics of Fluids, suggest that social distancing is not an effective measure on its own.

They emphasise the continued importance of vaccination, ventilation and masks as the northern hemisphere heads into winter.

Despite the focus on washing hands and cleaning surfaces in the early days of the pandemic, it has been clear for nearly two years that Covid-19 spreads through airborne transmission.

Infected people can spread the virus through coughing, speaking or even breathing, when they expel larger droplets that eventually settle or smaller aerosols that may float in the air.

Prof Epaminondas Mastorakos from the University of Cambridge’s department of engineering, who led the research, is an expert in fluid mechanics – the way that fluids, including those in exhaled breath, behave in different environments.

Over the course of the pandemic, he and his colleagues have developed various models for how Covid-19 spreads.

“One part of the way that this disease spreads is virology: how much virus you have in your body, how many viral particles you expel when you speak or cough,” said lead author Dr Shrey Trivedi, also from Cambridge's engineering department.

“But another part of it is fluid mechanics: what happens to the droplets once they’re expelled, which is where we come in.

"As fluid mechanics specialists, we’re like the bridge from virology of the emitter to the virology of the receiver and we can help with risk assessment."

In the current study, the researchers set out to "measure" this bridge through simulations.

For example, if a person coughed and emitted 1,000 droplets, how many would reach another person in the same room, and how large would these droplets be, as a function of time and space?

The simulations used refined computational models solving the equations for turbulent flow, together with detailed descriptions of droplet motion and evaporation.

The researchers found that there is not a sharp cut-off once the droplets spread beyond two metres.

When a person coughs and is not wearing a mask, most of the larger droplets will fall on nearby surfaces.

But smaller droplets, suspended in the air, can quickly and easily spread well beyond two metres. How far and how quickly these aerosols spread will depend on the quality of ventilation in the room.

In addition to the variables of ventilation and wearing masks, there is also a high degree of variability in individual coughs.

“Each time we cough we may emit a different amount of liquid, so if a person is infected with Covid-19, they could be emitting lots of virus particles or very few, and because of the turbulence they spread differently for every cough,” said Dr Trivedi.

Prof Mastorakos said: “Even if I expel the same number of droplets every time I cough, because the flow is turbulent, there are fluctuations.

“If I’m coughing, fluctuations in velocity, temperature and humidity mean that the amount someone gets at the two-metre mark can be very different each time."

The researchers say that while the two-metre rule is an effective and easy-to-remember message for the public, it isn’t a mark of safety, given the large number of variables associated with an airborne virus.

Vaccination, ventilation and masks, while not 100 per cent effective, are crucial for containing the virus.

“We’re all desperate to see the back of this pandemic, but we strongly recommend that people keep wearing masks in indoor spaces such as offices, classrooms and shops,” Prof Mastorakos said.

“There’s no good reason to expose yourself to this risk as long as the virus is with us.”

The research team is continuing this research with similar simulations for spaces such as lecture rooms as people spend more time indoors.

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SERIE A FIXTURES

Saturday Benevento v Atalanta (2pm), Genoa v Bologna (5pm), AC Milan v Torino (7.45pm)

Sunday Roma v Inter Milan (3.30pm), Udinese v Napoli, Hellas Verona v Crotone, Parma v Lazio (2pm), Fiorentina v Cagliari (9pm), Juventus v Sassuolo (11.45pm)

Monday Spezia v Sampdoria (11.45pm)

Abu Dhabi traffic facts

Drivers in Abu Dhabi spend 10 per cent longer in congested conditions than they would on a free-flowing road

The highest volume of traffic on the roads is found between 7am and 8am on a Sunday.

Travelling before 7am on a Sunday could save up to four hours per year on a 30-minute commute.

The day was the least congestion in Abu Dhabi in 2019 was Tuesday, August 13.

The highest levels of traffic were found on Sunday, November 10.

Drivers in Abu Dhabi lost 41 hours spent in traffic jams in rush hour during 2019

 

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There are 15 Arabic speakers from Syria, Lebanon and Jordan in the choir that comprises residents from the Philippines, India, France, Italy, America, Netherlands, Armenia and Indonesia

The choir will be accompanied by a brass ensemble and an organ

They will practice for the first time at the stadium on the eve of the public mass on Monday evening 

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RESULTS

Bantamweight: Victor Nunes (BRA) beat Azizbek Satibaldiev (KYG). Round 1 KO

Featherweight: Izzeddin Farhan (JOR) beat Ozodbek Azimov (UZB). Round 1 rear naked choke

Middleweight: Zaakir Badat (RSA) beat Ercin Sirin (TUR). Round 1 triangle choke

Featherweight: Ali Alqaisi (JOR) beat Furkatbek Yokubov (UZB). Round 1 TKO

Featherweight: Abu Muslim Alikhanov (RUS) beat Atabek Abdimitalipov (KYG). Unanimous decision

Catchweight 74kg: Mirafzal Akhtamov (UZB) beat Marcos Costa (BRA). Split decision

Welterweight: Andre Fialho (POR) beat Sang Hoon-yu (KOR). Round 1 TKO

Lightweight: John Mitchell (IRE) beat Arbi Emiev (RUS). Round 2 RSC (deep cuts)

Middleweight: Gianni Melillo (ITA) beat Mohammed Karaki (LEB)

Welterweight: Handesson Ferreira (BRA) beat Amiran Gogoladze (GEO). Unanimous decision

Flyweight (Female): Carolina Jimenez (VEN) beat Lucrezia Ria (ITA), Round 1 rear naked choke

Welterweight: Daniel Skibinski (POL) beat Acoidan Duque (ESP). Round 3 TKO

Lightweight: Martun Mezhlumyan (ARM) beat Attila Korkmaz (TUR). Unanimous decision

Bantamweight: Ray Borg (USA) beat Jesse Arnett (CAN). Unanimous decision

Updated: November 23, 2021, 8:13 PM`