The main goal of Cop29 in Baku, Azerbaijan, was to keep the global temperature increase to no more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. If this is not achieved, experts warn it could signal the difference between extinction and survival for some communities.
While a dystopian future akin to Kevin Costner’s Waterworld or Mel Gibson’s Mad Max films may not be immediately on the horizon, scientists say that glimpses of what is to come have already been experienced in not only the increase in the number of natural disasters, but in the severity of disasters taking place around the globe.
In the UAE, for example, scientists say the floods that affected Dubai in April this year were exacerbated by climate change.
In the US, according to the National Centres for Environmental Information, there have been 24 confirmed climate disaster events with losses exceeding $1 billion each this year. That is almost three times the average number of 8.5 events from 1980 to 2023.
This year is on track to be the hottest on record and, in its latest climate statement, the World Meteorological Organisation issued a red alert to highlight that 2015-2024 will be the warmest 10 years in history.
The UN has also warned that if new nationally determined plans are not ambitious enough to rein in greenhouse gas emissions, and if measures are not immediately implemented, the world is on track for a temperature increase of 2.6°C to 3.1°C.
Although negotiations were complex and far-reaching at what has been dubbed the finance Cop, the Paris Agreement – the target agreed upon by 196 parties at Cop21 in Paris in 2015 – still loomed large.
The UN says annual greenhouse gas emission reductions of 42 per cent are needed by 2030 and 57 per cent by 2035 to get on track to 1.5°C. However, on the sidelines of Cop29, new research was published by the Global Carbon Project’s science team showing global carbon emissions from fossil fuels reached a record high in 2024.
Catastrophic consequences
Dr Susana Hancock is the global mountains director at International Cryosphere Climate Initiative, a platform that works to elevate the voices of scientists and local communities from Arctic and mountain regions to reach governments, non-profits, and international forums.
Cryosphere refers to ice, snow and permafrost regions, as well as both polar oceans. Dr Hancock told The National that these areas are going to be lost due to global warming and – while what is happening up in the mountains may seem distant – what happens in the cryosphere does not stay in the cryosphere, and reaches communities and ecosystems around the planet.
She said: “1.5°C really needs to be a hard limit, and it's not an arbitrary number. It is based on science, and what we're seeing in the Arctic and the cryosphere. The glaciated cold regions of the world, mountains, and the Himalayas, the Andes, the Alps, 1.5°C isn't safe. And certainly anything higher that is really not safe.”
By the end of the century, she said, glaciers could lose as much as 80 per cent of volume on the current trajectory – and if the needle is moved from 1.5°C to 2.5°C, the results would be catastrophic.
“We're seeing situations that are getting increasingly dire, and really feel that 2°C, is not a safe environment for this part of the world,” said Dr Hancock.
What does 2°C, 2.5°C, or even 3°C look like?
In a passionate plea earlier this year, UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres said the difference between 1.5°C and 2°C could be the difference between extinction and survival for some small island states and coastal communities.
Developing nations are calling for trillions in climate finance to combat climate chaos. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, developing countries have 15 times more victims of natural disasters than developed nations.
Scientists say further escalation in temperatures will result in the collapse of the Greenland Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, followed by catastrophic sea level rises.
In the US alone, almost 30 per cent of the population live in coastal areas, where rising sea levels play a role in flooding, shoreline erosion and hazards from storms. Globally, eight of the world’s 10 largest cities are near a coast, according to the UN Atlas of the Oceans.
According to the latest IPCC Synthesis Report, with every increment of global warming, regional changes in the average global climate and extremes become more widespread and pronounced.
“Almost half of the world’s population lives in regions that are highly vulnerable to climate change,” said Aditi Mukherji, one of the 93 authors of IPCC Synthesis Report. “In the last decade, deaths from floods, droughts and storms were 15 times higher in highly vulnerable regions.”
Further temperature increases would mean a rise in inland and coastal flooding. More displacement of citizens around the globe will also affect physical water availability and agricultural production.
“Communities which tend to live in river valleys due to irrigation and agriculture don't have alerts that there's a flood coming, and it can wipe out an entire village. That's an example of something that we're going to be seeing increasingly over the coming years and decades,” Dr Hancock said.
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cyl turbo
Power: 201hp at 5,200rpm
Torque: 320Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm
Transmission: 6-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 8.7L/100km
Price: Dh133,900
On sale: now
THE BIG THREE
NOVAK DJOKOVIC
19 grand slam singles titles
Wimbledon: 5 (2011, 14, 15, 18, 19)
French Open: 2 (2016, 21)
US Open: 3 (2011, 15, 18)
Australian Open: 9 (2008, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 19, 20, 21)
Prize money: $150m
ROGER FEDERER
20 grand slam singles titles
Wimbledon: 8 (2003, 04, 05, 06, 07, 09, 12, 17)
French Open: 1 (2009)
US Open: 5 (2004, 05, 06, 07, 08)
Australian Open: 6 (2004, 06, 07, 10, 17, 18)
Prize money: $130m
RAFAEL NADAL
20 grand slam singles titles
Wimbledon: 2 (2008, 10)
French Open: 13 (2005, 06, 07, 08, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 17, 18, 19, 20)
US Open: 4 (2010, 13, 17, 19)
Australian Open: 1 (2009)
Prize money: $125m
Stage results
1. Julian Alaphilippe (FRA) Deceuninck-QuickStep 4:39:05
2. Michael Matthews (AUS) Team BikeExchange 0:00:08
3. Primoz Roglic (SLV) Jumbo-Visma same time
4. Jack Haig (AUS) Bahrain Victorious s.t
5. Wilco Kelderman (NED) Bora-Hansgrohe s.t
6. Tadej Pogacar (SLV) UAE Team Emirates s.t
7. David Gaudu (FRA) Groupama-FDJ s.t
8. Sergio Higuita Garcia (COL) EF Education-Nippo s.t
9. Bauke Mollema (NED) Trek-Segafredo s.t
10. Geraint Thomas (GBR) Ineos Grenadiers s.t
Company%20Profile
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UAE squad
Esha Oza (captain), Al Maseera Jahangir, Emily Thomas, Heena Hotchandani, Indhuja Nandakumar, Katie Thompson, Lavanya Keny, Mehak Thakur, Michelle Botha, Rinitha Rajith, Samaira Dharnidharka, Siya Gokhale, Sashikala Silva, Suraksha Kotte, Theertha Satish (wicketkeeper) Udeni Kuruppuarachchige, Vaishnave Mahesh.
UAE tour of Zimbabwe
All matches in Bulawayo
Friday, Sept 26 – First ODI
Sunday, Sept 28 – Second ODI
Tuesday, Sept 30 – Third ODI
Thursday, Oct 2 – Fourth ODI
Sunday, Oct 5 – First T20I
Monday, Oct 6 – Second T20I
Sole survivors
- Cecelia Crocker was on board Northwest Airlines Flight 255 in 1987 when it crashed in Detroit, killing 154 people, including her parents and brother. The plane had hit a light pole on take off
- George Lamson Jr, from Minnesota, was on a Galaxy Airlines flight that crashed in Reno in 1985, killing 68 people. His entire seat was launched out of the plane
- Bahia Bakari, then 12, survived when a Yemenia Airways flight crashed near the Comoros in 2009, killing 152. She was found clinging to wreckage after floating in the ocean for 13 hours.
- Jim Polehinke was the co-pilot and sole survivor of a 2006 Comair flight that crashed in Lexington, Kentucky, killing 49.
The specs
Engine: 2x201bhp AC Permanent-magnetic electric
Transmission: n/a
Power: 402bhp
Torque: 659Nm
Price estimate: Dh200,000
On sale: Q3 2022
Ads on social media can 'normalise' drugs
A UK report on youth social media habits commissioned by advocacy group Volteface found a quarter of young people were exposed to illegal drug dealers on social media.
The poll of 2,006 people aged 16-24 assessed their exposure to drug dealers online in a nationally representative survey.
Of those admitting to seeing drugs for sale online, 56 per cent saw them advertised on Snapchat, 55 per cent on Instagram and 47 per cent on Facebook.
Cannabis was the drug most pushed by online dealers, with 63 per cent of survey respondents claiming to have seen adverts on social media for the drug, followed by cocaine (26 per cent) and MDMA/ecstasy, with 24 per cent of people.
All the Money in the World
Director: Ridley Scott
Starring: Charlie Plummer, Mark Wahlberg, Michelle Williams, Christopher Plummer
Four stars
LEADERBOARD
%3Cp%3E-19%20T%20Fleetwood%20(Eng)%3B%20-18%20R%20McIlroy%20(NI)%2C%20T%20Lawrence%20(SA)%3B%20-16%20J%20Smith%3B%20-15%20F%20Molinari%20(Ita)%3B%20-14%20Z%20Lombard%20(SA)%2C%20S%20Crocker%20(US)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ESelected%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E-11%20A%20Meronk%20(Pol)%3B%20-10%20E%20Ferguson%20(Sco)%3B%20-8%20R%20Fox%20(NZ)%20-7%20L%20Donald%20(Eng)%3B%20-5%20T%20McKibbin%20(NI)%2C%20N%20Hoejgaard%20(Den)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Squad
Ali Kasheif, Salim Rashid, Khalifa Al Hammadi, Khalfan Mubarak, Ali Mabkhout, Omar Abdulrahman, Mohammed Al Attas, Abdullah Ramadan, Zayed Al Ameri (Al Jazira), Mohammed Al Shamsi, Hamdan Al Kamali, Mohammed Barghash, Khalil Al Hammadi (Al Wahda), Khalid Essa, Mohammed Shaker, Ahmed Barman, Bandar Al Ahbabi (Al Ain), Al Hassan Saleh, Majid Suroor (Sharjah) Walid Abbas, Ahmed Khalil (Shabab Al Ahli), Tariq Ahmed, Jasim Yaqoub (Al Nasr), Ali Saleh, Ali Salmeen (Al Wasl), Hassan Al Muharami (Baniyas)
The Breadwinner
Director: Nora Twomey
Starring: Saara Chaudry, Soma Chhaya, Laara Sadiq
Three stars
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
Started: 2021
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
Based: Tunisia
Sector: Water technology
Number of staff: 22
Investment raised: $4 million
Getting there
Flydubai flies direct from Dubai to Tbilisi from Dh1,025 return including taxes
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Company%20profile
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The%20specs
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The National's picks
4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young
The years Ramadan fell in May
The five pillars of Islam
Thank You for Banking with Us
Director: Laila Abbas
Starring: Yasmine Al Massri, Clara Khoury, Kamel El Basha, Ashraf Barhoum
Rating: 4/5
Rooney's club record
At Everton Appearances: 77; Goals: 17
At Manchester United Appearances: 559; Goals: 253
ANDROID%20VERSION%20NAMES%2C%20IN%20ORDER
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Recent winners
2002 Giselle Khoury (Colombia)
2004 Nathalie Nasralla (France)
2005 Catherine Abboud (Oceania)
2007 Grace Bijjani (Mexico)
2008 Carina El-Keddissi (Brazil)
2009 Sara Mansour (Brazil)
2010 Daniella Rahme (Australia)
2011 Maria Farah (Canada)
2012 Cynthia Moukarzel (Kuwait)
2013 Layla Yarak (Australia)
2014 Lia Saad (UAE)
2015 Cynthia Farah (Australia)
2016 Yosmely Massaad (Venezuela)
2017 Dima Safi (Ivory Coast)
2018 Rachel Younan (Australia)
SPEC%20SHEET%3A%20SAMSUNG%20GALAXY%20S24%20ULTRA
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RACECARD
4.30pm Jebel Jais – Maiden (PA) Dh60,000 (Turf) 1,000m
5pm: Jabel Faya – Maiden (PA) Dh60,000 (T) 1,000m
5.30pm: Al Wathba Stallions Cup – Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (T) 2,200m
6pm: The President’s Cup Prep – Conditions (PA) Dh100,000 (T) 2,200m
6.30pm: Abu Dhabi Equestrian Club – Prestige (PA) Dh125,000 (T) 1,600m
7pm: Al Ruwais – Group 3 (PA) Dh300,000 (T) 1,200m
7.30pm: Jebel Hafeet – Maiden (TB) Dh80,000 (T) 1,400m
THREE
%3Cp%3EDirector%3A%20Nayla%20Al%20Khaja%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EStarring%3A%20Jefferson%20Hall%2C%20Faten%20Ahmed%2C%20Noura%20Alabed%2C%20Saud%20Alzarooni%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3ERating%3A%203.5%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
