President George Bush speaks with Henry Paulson, the US Treasury secretary, and France's finance minister, Christine Lagarde.
President George Bush speaks with Henry Paulson, the US Treasury secretary, and France's finance minister, Christine Lagarde.

UAE 'safe and sound' amid global financial crisis



The governor of the Central Bank, Sultan al Suwaidi, has moved to allay concerns that banks could be exposed to contagion from the global financial crisis, downplaying exposure to foreign assets and highlighting the dominance of national savings in deposits. The main impacts of the crisis in the UAE so far have been felt in the stock markets, which have slumped by up to 46 per cent so far this year, and in interbank interest rates, which have doubled in four months to 4.7 per cent in response to tightening credit.

"National banks and branches of foreign banks operating in the UAE are constructed on safe and sound foundations," Mr Suwaidi was quoted as saying in a press release issued by the Central Bank yesterday. He is currently attending the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank in Washington, which began today. The meeting focused on the growing crisis of liquidity affecting the global banking system, and policy responses.

Stock markets in Japan, Europe and North America have plunged about 20 per cent so far this month on fears that the liquidity crisis will trigger a global recession. Finance ministers from the Group of Seven industrialised nations also held a meeting in Washington on Friday, when they promised to prevent the collapse of more banks and unfreeze credit markets, without specifying any new measures. "The current situation calls for urgent and exceptional action," the finance ministers and central bankers said in a statement.

President George W Bush said: "This is a serious global crisis and therefore requires a serious global response." The Central Bank pointed to data showing that banks in the country are largely insulated from the global turmoil, and are not over-reliant on "hot money" owned by foreigners who might want to withdraw it to meet cash requirements in other countries. Three quarters of deposits are owned by nationals, while other Arabs hold eight per cent and other nationalities hold 17 per cent, the statement quoted Mr Suwaidi as saying.

The level of exposure of UAE banks to European commercial paper, which normally involves three-month loans, and medium term notes, which typically involve debt over five to 10 years, was only 9.9 per cent, the statement said. These markets have been hit by the global credit crisis, which has severely restricted lending between banks and to industry in developed markets. The impact on lending in the Gulf and GCC has been less severe.

Interbank lending, which acts as the lifeblood of the global financial industry, has seized up in many developed world markets. But Mr Suwaidi said interbank lending represented only 12.7 per cent of the total assets of UAE banks, and most of this money was lent to other banks within the country. The majority of assets of national and foreign banks in the UAE are located within the country, and "their parties are known and sound", the statement added, in contrast to the parties of assets in developed markets, which are often unknown.

Bank reserves and capital represent 11.02 per cent of bank assets, which is considered high according to international standards, known as Basel II standards, the statement said. In response to queries about whether the Government planned to acquire stakes in local banks as governments in the US and Europe have done, Mr Suwaidi said the Government already had substantial stakes in many banks and so there was no need.

tashby@thenational.ae

Europe’s rearming plan
  • Suspend strict budget rules to allow member countries to step up defence spending
  • Create new "instrument" providing €150 billion of loans to member countries for defence investment
  • Use the existing EU budget to direct more funds towards defence-related investment
  • Engage the bloc's European Investment Bank to drop limits on lending to defence firms
  • Create a savings and investments union to help companies access capital
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In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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