Saudi Arabia's new oil regime will need to show early that it plans to act on Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's pledge to be more transparent to establish credibility for the grand plans that have been laid out.
Already this year there have been signs that the newly appointed oil minister, Khaled Al Falih, is the explainer-in-chief of the new policy, at the centre of which is one of the most complex privatisations ever to be proposed (assuming that comes to fruition some time in the next two years).
It has fallen to Mr Al Falih to put some flesh – limited though that has been so far – on the bones of the general outline for transformation of the Saudi energy sector which Prince Mohammed has offered.
For example, Mr Al Falih has on two occasions this year followed Prince Mohammed interviews with western press outlets by subsequently clarifying that any initial public offering of shares in the state oil company Saudi Aramco will exclude title to Saudi oil reserves. They are and will remain constitutionally the property of the kingdom, he has said.
If he does take a more open approach, it will contrast sharply with the style of his predecessor, Ali Al Naimi, who had also risen through the ranks to the top of Aramco before being named oil minister in 1995.
During his time in the job, Mr Al Naimi, who turns 81 this year and had long been looking to retire, was famed for his inscrutability and cryptic pronouncements.
Mr Al Naimi's tenure was punctuated by periodic attempts to reassert Opec's influence on the world oil market. However, oil prices were rescued in the first decade of this century only by the rise of China, a factor that was being overshadowed in recent years by the emergence of US shale and other supply that was consistently eating into Opec market share.
The new market-driven policy in place since late 2014 is clearly favoured by Prince Mohammed, who scuppered the recent attempt at Doha to get a broad oil producer “freeze” deal even before the talks began, leaving Mr Al Naimi looking redundant.
The next Opec ministerial meeting in June will put Mr Al Falih in the spotlight.
But as Edward Bell, a commodities analyst at Emirates NBD points out, oil policy is not likely to change and is, in any case, determined above Mr Al Falih’s head by Prince Mohammed.
“It’s clear that the broad oil policy strategy is being set by [Prince Mohammed], so [Mr Al Falih] is there as minister of domestic energy, industry and minerals,” he says.
In his first comments since being appointed, Mr Al Falih said on Sunday in Riyadh via a statement: “We remain committed to maintaining our role in international energy markets and … meeting existing and additional hydrocarbons demand from our expanding global customer base, backed by our current maximum sustainable capacity.”
Assuming the Opec meeting in June will offer nothing but bland status quo statements on broad oil policy, Mr Al Falih could seize the opportunity to spell out in more detail what Aramco’s strategy will be.
“There are many questions to answer,” said Jean-Marc Rickli, a Gulf government policy specialist and assistant professor at King’s College London.
Chief among these is opening up the “black box” that has been Aramco and all of the key numbers that it will be required to share with the market before it can contemplate offering shares to the public. But the company must go through a cultural and structural change before it can even start to to do that.
Prince Mohammed “wants to reform the system from the inside towards an increased role of privatisation,” said Mr Rickli.
“This requires a huge cultural change from government to corporate organisational culture. It will require pressure from the top leadership and imposing some key people to do this; as with any transformations, internal resistance have to be overcome.”
Aramco’s chief, Amin Nasser, was put in place last autumn as the transition to new leadership began. His key people are of the same newer generation, including his downstream head Abdulrahman Al Wuhaib, who last week noted that Aramco’s “most significant achievements in recent years have been in developing new international and domestic partnerships in the downstream space … [and the transformation plan] can deliver further opportunities to help us consolidate those downstream relationships.”
Mohammed Al Qahtani, head of upstream at Saudi Aramco, emphasised the company’s focus on maximising domestic recovery rates for existing oilfields, as well as a move toward gas to expand Saudi’s domestic power sources.
All of Aramco’s executives emphasised the “In-Kingdom Total Value Add” localisation programme, which is the effort launched last autumn whereby the oil and gas industry supports locally-sourced industry, such as steel products and petrochemicals-related businesses such as plastics.
That points to the most essential part of the plan that needs to be put in place.
“You also need change at the bottom,” says Mr Rickli. “You have to train a new generation of young people who no longer see their future in government positions but as entrepreneurs in the private sector.”
That is a long-term objective that needs to be supported by changes in the education, finance and other sectors.
Meanwhile, Aramco is not short of advisers, including McKinsey, which provided a blueprint for energy sector diversification at the end of last year. The company counts among its top board members Mark Moody-Stuart, a former chief executive of Royal Dutch Shell and Andrew Gould, who ran BG.
But a solid step towards privatising some or all of Aramco would include some restructuring of the company and the appointment of a top executive with experience of dealing with public investors. Prince Mohammed has said he expects to see Aramco become a company (or companies) that reports to the market on a quarterly basis.
That is a tough test even for practiced executives of much smaller public companies.
amcauley@thenational.ae
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At a glance
Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.
Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year
Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month
Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30
Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse
Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth
Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances
In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
Mina Cup winners
Under 12 – Minerva Academy
Under 14 – Unam Pumas
Under 16 – Fursan Hispania
Under 18 – Madenat
A%20QUIET%20PLACE
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Lupita%20Nyong'o%2C%20Joseph%20Quinn%2C%20Djimon%20Hounsou%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EMichael%20Sarnoski%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%204%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Four motivational quotes from Alicia's Dubai talk
“The only thing we need is to know that we have faith. Faith and hope in our own dreams. The belief that, when we keep going we’re going to find our way. That’s all we got.”
“Sometimes we try so hard to keep things inside. We try so hard to pretend it’s not really bothering us. In some ways, that hurts us more. You don’t realise how dishonest you are with yourself sometimes, but I realised that if I spoke it, I could let it go.”
“One good thing is to know you’re not the only one going through it. You’re not the only one trying to find your way, trying to find yourself, trying to find amazing energy, trying to find a light. Show all of yourself. Show every nuance. All of your magic. All of your colours. Be true to that. You can be unafraid.”
“It’s time to stop holding back. It’s time to do it on your terms. It’s time to shine in the most unbelievable way. It’s time to let go of negativity and find your tribe, find those people that lift you up, because everybody else is just in your way.”
Company%20Profile
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UAE WARRIORS RESULTS
Featherweight
Azouz Anwar (EGY) beat Marcelo Pontes (BRA)
TKO round 2
Catchweight 90kg
Moustafa Rashid Nada (KSA) beat Imad Al Howayeck (LEB)
Split points decision
Welterweight
Gimbat Ismailov (RUS) beat Mohammed Al Khatib (JOR)
TKO round 1
Flyweight (women)
Lucie Bertaud (FRA) beat Kelig Pinson (BEL)
Unanimous points decision
Lightweight
Alexandru Chitoran (ROU) beat Regelo Enumerables Jr (PHI)
TKO round 1
Catchweight 100kg
Marc Vleiger (NED) beat Mohamed Ali (EGY)
Rear neck choke round 1
Featherweight
James Bishop (NZ) beat Mark Valerio (PHI)
TKO round 2
Welterweight
Abdelghani Saber (EGY) beat Gerson Carvalho (BRA)
TKO round 1
Middleweight
Bakhtiyar Abbasov (AZE) beat Igor Litoshik (BLR)
Unanimous points decision
Bantamweight
Fabio Mello (BRA) beat Mark Alcoba (PHI)
Unanimous points decision
Welterweight
Ahmed Labban (LEB) v Magomedsultan Magomedsultanov (RUS)
TKO round 1
Bantamweight
Trent Girdham (AUS) beat Jayson Margallo (PHI)
TKO round 3
Lightweight
Usman Nurmagomedov (RUS) beat Roman Golovinov (UKR)
TKO round 1
Middleweight
Tarek Suleiman (SYR) beat Steve Kennedy (AUS)
Submission round 2
Lightweight
Dan Moret (USA) v Anton Kuivanen (FIN)
TKO round 2
The National's picks
4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young
About Takalam
Date started: early 2020
Founders: Khawla Hammad and Inas Abu Shashieh
Based: Abu Dhabi
Sector: HealthTech and wellness
Number of staff: 4
Funding to date: Bootstrapped
HAJJAN
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APPLE IPAD MINI (A17 PRO)
Display: 21cm Liquid Retina Display, 2266 x 1488, 326ppi, 500 nits
Chip: Apple A17 Pro, 6-core CPU, 5-core GPU, 16-core Neural Engine
Storage: 128/256/512GB
Main camera: 12MP wide, f/1.8, digital zoom up to 5x, Smart HDR 4
Front camera: 12MP ultra-wide, f/2.4, Smart HDR 4, full-HD @ 25/30/60fps
Biometrics: Touch ID, Face ID
Colours: Blue, purple, space grey, starlight
In the box: iPad mini, USB-C cable, 20W USB-C power adapter
Price: From Dh2,099
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Ms Yang's top tips for parents new to the UAE
- Join parent networks
- Look beyond school fees
- Keep an open mind
THE%20SPECS
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Election pledges on migration
CDU: "Now is the time to control the German borders and enforce strict border rejections"
SPD: "Border closures and blanket rejections at internal borders contradict the spirit of a common area of freedom"
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Milestones on the road to union
1970
October 26: Bahrain withdraws from a proposal to create a federation of nine with the seven Trucial States and Qatar.
December: Ahmed Al Suwaidi visits New York to discuss potential UN membership.
1971
March 1: Alex Douglas Hume, Conservative foreign secretary confirms that Britain will leave the Gulf and “strongly supports” the creation of a Union of Arab Emirates.
July 12: Historic meeting at which Sheikh Zayed and Sheikh Rashid make a binding agreement to create what will become the UAE.
July 18: It is announced that the UAE will be formed from six emirates, with a proposed constitution signed. RAK is not yet part of the agreement.
August 6: The fifth anniversary of Sheikh Zayed becoming Ruler of Abu Dhabi, with official celebrations deferred until later in the year.
August 15: Bahrain becomes independent.
September 3: Qatar becomes independent.
November 23-25: Meeting with Sheikh Zayed and Sheikh Rashid and senior British officials to fix December 2 as date of creation of the UAE.
November 29: At 5.30pm Iranian forces seize the Greater and Lesser Tunbs by force.
November 30: Despite a power sharing agreement, Tehran takes full control of Abu Musa.
November 31: UK officials visit all six participating Emirates to formally end the Trucial States treaties
December 2: 11am, Dubai. New Supreme Council formally elects Sheikh Zayed as President. Treaty of Friendship signed with the UK. 11.30am. Flag raising ceremony at Union House and Al Manhal Palace in Abu Dhabi witnessed by Sheikh Khalifa, then Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi.
December 6: Arab League formally admits the UAE. The first British Ambassador presents his credentials to Sheikh Zayed.
December 9: UAE joins the United Nations.
The specs
Engine: 2.9-litre twin-turbo V6
Power: 540hp at 6,500rpm
Torque: 600Nm at 2,500rpm
Transmission: Eight-speed auto
Kerb weight: 1580kg
Price: From Dh750k
On sale: via special order
Drishyam 2
Directed by: Jeethu Joseph
Starring: Mohanlal, Meena, Ansiba, Murali Gopy
Rating: 4 stars
The rules on fostering in the UAE
A foster couple or family must:
- be Muslim, Emirati and be residing in the UAE
- not be younger than 25 years old
- not have been convicted of offences or crimes involving moral turpitude
- be free of infectious diseases or psychological and mental disorders
- have the ability to support its members and the foster child financially
- undertake to treat and raise the child in a proper manner and take care of his or her health and well-being
- A single, divorced or widowed Muslim Emirati female, residing in the UAE may apply to foster a child if she is at least 30 years old and able to support the child financially
Oppenheimer
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Cryopreservation: A timeline
- Keyhole surgery under general anaesthetic
- Ovarian tissue surgically removed
- Tissue processed in a high-tech facility
- Tissue re-implanted at a time of the patient’s choosing
- Full hormone production regained within 4-6 months
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
Museum of the Future in numbers
- 78 metres is the height of the museum
- 30,000 square metres is its total area
- 17,000 square metres is the length of the stainless steel facade
- 14 kilometres is the length of LED lights used on the facade
- 1,024 individual pieces make up the exterior
- 7 floors in all, with one for administrative offices
- 2,400 diagonally intersecting steel members frame the torus shape
- 100 species of trees and plants dot the gardens
- Dh145 is the price of a ticket
Company%C2%A0profile
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The biog
Favourite film: The Notebook
Favourite book: What I know for sure by Oprah Winfrey
Favourite quote: “Social equality is the only basis of human happiness” Nelson Madela. Hometown: Emmen, The Netherlands
Favourite activities: Walking on the beach, eating at restaurants and spending time with friends
Job: Founder and Managing Director of Mawaheb from Beautiful Peopl
More on Palestine-Israeli relations
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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