Rents keep on falling in Sharjah. Pawan Singh / The National
Rents keep on falling in Sharjah. Pawan Singh / The National

Rents in Sharjah and Northern Emirates expected to keep falling



It's been a good time for tenants in Dubai and Abu Dhabi during the past 12 months as rents have tumbled and landlords have been more open to negotiation.

And the market slide has stretched to Sharjah and the rest of the Northern Emirates, with an average decline of 11 per cent year on year across the area, according to a new report from Asteco.

Apartment rents were down 1 per cent on average during the first quarter, while the biggest drop was for high-end units in Ajman which fell 3 per cent.

High-end units in Ras Al Khaimah and Fujairah fell 8 per cent and 10 per cent respectively year-on-year.

“We expect a further pressure on apartment rental rates, as recovery rates in the Northern Emirates are directly impacted by the delivery of supply in Dubai,” said Asteco managing director John Stevens.

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Dubai rents Q1, 2018: All you need to know

Abu Dhabi rents in Q1, 2018: All you need to know

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Thousands of new units have become available in Dubai during the past year, pushing down rents by double digit amounts in many areas of the city, and thousands more are in the pipeline for the rest of 2018.

In years gone by, when rents in Dubai were higher, many residents would move further north and commute to save on expenses, in turn leading to more stability in the rental rates in Sharjah and the Northern Emirates.

In Sharjah, the most significant drop was in Rolla where rents dipped 4 per cent in the first three months of the year.

Rents fell by 14 per cent year-on-year in Al Wahda, 13 per cent in Abu Shagara, 9 per cent in both Rolla and Al Yarmook, and 7 per cent in Al Butina, according to the report.

No major residential projects were added in Q1, but Sharjah expects new residential supply to come from the completion of Nasma Residences Phase 1 and Al Zahia Residences by the end of the year.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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