Opec has called for its members to honour their production quotas in what amounts to a warning to key oil producers to cut output.
"Except for Iraq and new members who are outside the Opec quota, the rest of the members should produce in the framework of their committed quota," Chakib Khelil, the Opec president, was quoted as saying today in Tehran by the Iranian state news agency, Shana.
His comments followed an oil price decline to below US$115 (about Dh422) a barrel during weekend trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after peaking at $147.27 a barrel a month earlier.
An unidentified Opec official said today that the group of 13 oil producing nations was "concerned" about recent price movements and would not want to see oil prices crash, Dow Jones reported.
A number of Opec states have pumped oil above their quotas in recent months, especially Opec's top producer, Saudi Arabia, which has raised its crude output by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) since March to reach 9.7 million bpd last month, its highest production level since 1981. The kingdom's Opec quota is 8.943 million bpd.
Today, oil prices rallied from their 14-week low to more than $116 a barrel over concerns that military action in Georgia could affect Central Asian oil supplies to Europe. They remain about 21 per cent below last month's record high.
In a new report, energy analysts at Lehman Brothers, a leading investment bank and financial services company, said oil prices may have peaked.
"Barring a physical disruption that may temporarily spike prices, we judge that oil prices have peaked for the next few years," wrote an analyst team led by the bank's senior energy economist, Edward Morse. "In our view, the recent correction in oil prices was overdue, and softness awaits in the next 12 months."
The report pointed to 1.5 million bpd of new oil production expected next year from Saudi oilfields that are now under development. It predicted an inventory build of 1.4 million bpd of crude during the second half of this year, due to forecast non-Opec oil supply additions.
"A large overhang is developing in distillate, the cornerstone of the price drive upwards," the analysts added.
Distillates include such key refined petroleum products as heating oil and diesel.
Where oil prices are headed in the short term, however, is likely to depend on whether armed conflict between Russia and Georgia causes a physical oil supply disruption. That would affect the price of the European benchmark Brent crude oil, with the potential to send oil prices higher internationally, analysts said.
Although Georgia does not export any of its own crude, it is a key transportation link in the US-backed southern energy corridor connecting the oil-rich Caspian Sea region with western markets, bypassing Russia. The Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline traverses Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey and transports Azeri light crude to a deepwater Mediterranean terminal. Azeri crude pricing is typically based on a Brent contract.
Since last Tuesday, when a fire broke out on the Turkish section of the pipeline for causes unrelated to the Georgian conflict, BP - the British oil company that operates BTC - has diverted the pipeline's throughput of about 800,000 bpd to a Georgian Black Sea port, via an alternative pipeline.
As of today, it was unclear whether Russia would follow through on threats of a naval blockade against Georgia. Reuters reported yesterday that Georgian oil ports were only partially operating and were not loading any oil tankers.
BP said today that the Turkish pipeline fire had been extinguished, but that shipments through the BTC pipeline would remain suspended for up to two weeks for cooling down and repairs. Kurdish separatists from the Kurdish Workers' Party (PKK) have claimed responsibility for an explosion that started the fire.
Last week, following the pipeline's closure, Georgia launched an offensive aimed at regaining control of the breakaway South Ossetia province, to which Russia responded with heavy artillery attacks on Georgian territory. The fighting has continued, despite Georgia's withdrawal of its troops from South Ossetia.
Helping to curb the oil market reaction to the conflict, the US dollar has continued to strengthen against the euro, which today fell to $1.4975. Earlier this year, a weak dollar helped to boost oil prices, which are denominated in the US currency.
@Email:tcarlisl@thenational.ae
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
The%20specs
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EEngine%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E2.3-litre%20turbo%204-cyl%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETransmission%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E10-speed%20auto%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPower%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E298hp%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETorque%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E452Nm%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETowing%20capacity%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E3.4-tonne%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPayload%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E4WD%20%E2%80%93%20776kg%3B%20Rear-wheel%20drive%20819kg%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPrice%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EPrice%3A%20Dh138%2C945%20(XLT)%20Dh193%2C095%20(Wildtrak)%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EDelivery%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20from%20August%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
MATCH INFO
Crawley Town 3 (Tsaroulla 50', Nadesan 53', Tunnicliffe 70')
Leeds United 0
COMPANY%20PROFILE
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EName%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EKinetic%207%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%202018%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounder%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Rick%20Parish%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Abu%20Dhabi%2C%20UAE%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EIndustry%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Clean%20cooking%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFunding%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20%2410%20million%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestors%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Self-funded%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Skewed figures
In the village of Mevagissey in southwest England the housing stock has doubled in the last century while the number of residents is half the historic high. The village's Neighbourhood Development Plan states that 26% of homes are holiday retreats. Prices are high, averaging around £300,000, £50,000 more than the Cornish average of £250,000. The local average wage is £15,458.
How much sugar is in chocolate Easter eggs?
- The 169g Crunchie egg has 15.9g of sugar per 25g serving, working out at around 107g of sugar per egg
- The 190g Maltesers Teasers egg contains 58g of sugar per 100g for the egg and 19.6g of sugar in each of the two Teasers bars that come with it
- The 188g Smarties egg has 113g of sugar per egg and 22.8g in the tube of Smarties it contains
- The Milky Bar white chocolate Egg Hunt Pack contains eight eggs at 7.7g of sugar per egg
- The Cadbury Creme Egg contains 26g of sugar per 40g egg
The specs: 2018 Kia Picanto
Price: From Dh39,500
Engine: 1.2L inline four-cylinder
Transmission: Four-speed auto
Power: 86hp @ 6,000rpm
Torque: 122Nm @ 4,000rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 6.0L / 100km
A MINECRAFT MOVIE
Director: Jared Hess
Starring: Jack Black, Jennifer Coolidge, Jason Momoa
Rating: 3/5
Our family matters legal consultant
Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
MATCH INFO
What: 2006 World Cup quarter-final
When: July 1
Where: Gelsenkirchen Stadium, Gelsenkirchen, Germany
Result:
England 0 Portugal 0
(Portugal win 3-1 on penalties)
SERIES INFO
Cricket World Cup League Two
Nepal, Oman, United States tri-series
Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu
Fixtures
Wednesday February 5, Oman v Nepal
Thursday, February 6, Oman v United States
Saturday, February 8, United States v Nepal
Sunday, February 9, Oman v Nepal
Tuesday, February 11, Oman v United States
Wednesday, February 12, United States v Nepal
Table
The top three sides advance to the 2022 World Cup Qualifier.
The bottom four sides are relegated to the 2022 World Cup playoff
1 United States 8 6 2 0 0 12 0.412
2 Scotland 8 4 3 0 1 9 0.139
3 Namibia 7 4 3 0 0 8 0.008
4 Oman 6 4 2 0 0 8 -0.139
5 UAE 7 3 3 0 1 7 -0.004
6 Nepal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 PNG 8 0 8 0 0 0 -0.458
In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
The National's picks
4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young
Book%20Details
%3Cp%3E%3Cem%3EThree%20Centuries%20of%20Travel%20Writing%20by%20Muslim%20Women%3C%2Fem%3E%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EEditors%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ESiobhan%20Lambert-Hurley%2C%20Daniel%20Majchrowicz%2C%20Sunil%20Sharma%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPublisher%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EIndiana%20University%20Press%3B%20532%20pages%3Cbr%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
'Manmarziyaan' (Colour Yellow Productions, Phantom Films)
Director: Anurag Kashyap
Cast: Abhishek Bachchan, Taapsee Pannu, Vicky Kaushal
Rating: 3.5/5
Real estate tokenisation project
Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.
The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.
Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.
Test
Director: S Sashikanth
Cast: Nayanthara, Siddharth, Meera Jasmine, R Madhavan
Star rating: 2/5
NO OTHER LAND
Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal
Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham
Rating: 3.5/5
Auron Mein Kahan Dum Tha
Starring: Ajay Devgn, Tabu, Shantanu Maheshwari, Jimmy Shergill, Saiee Manjrekar
Director: Neeraj Pandey
Rating: 2.5/5