Off-plan sales make up half of Dubai property deals



Off-plan property transaction now make up almost half of all residential sales in Dubai, with buyers taking advantage of increasingly generous payment plans, according to listings portal propertyfinder.ae.

The firm said that cheaper homes and lower deposit requirements were driving investors towards off-plan deals. It said median prices for homes have fallen by 20 per cent between November 2015 to April 2017, extending a slump that had begun two years earlier.

Yet lower prices have not affected developers’ sales of off-plan homes, with both Emaar Properties and Damac Properties reporting higher sales in the first quarter of 2017. Emaar booked deal worthDh6.05 billion in the first quarter - a 44 per cent year-on-year increase, while Damac sold properties worth Dh2.2bn - up 11 per cent year-on-year.

Propertyfinder Group’s chief commercial officer, Lukman Hajje, said that buyers of completed projects typically have to find a deposit of 25 per cent of a home’s value, plus a further 6 per cent to cover charges and fees.

“That’s a large amount of money and it’s forcing many potential purchasers away from the completed property market to off-plan, where developers are enticing them with low upfront and even back-ended payment plans.”

Emaar Properties has some of the least generous payment schedules, Propertyfinder said. For instance, at Downtown Views II it requires 70 per cent of a property’s value to be paid during construction and the remaining 30 per cent on completion. Damac Properties, by comparison, allows for 60 per cent of the payment for its Casablanca Villas scheme at Akoya Oxygen to be paid on completion, and Dubai Properties offers similar terms at Mudon Views. Smaller developers are even more generous, it said, with Danube Properties requiring 25 per cent of a property’s value at its Bayz project to be paid within 120 days, and the remainder to be paid at 1 per cent per month until December 2023.

“In theory, buying off-plan allows investors to take advantage of historically low Dubai property prices for a very low cost and a get a foothold in the market, but this strategy does not come without risk,” Hajje said.

“Projects are often delayed and buyers have little option but to wait. Also, the finished product may not be what they expected. Glossy brochures can look amazing but market conditions and political or economic situations change, as do the price and availability of certain materials. All these can impact what’s eventually delivered.”

Property broker Core Savills said in its Q1 Dubai residential report that off-plan sales were emjoying a ‘robust performance’, especially in established areas like Dubai Marina and Downtown Dubai.

“Off-plan sales are increasingly regaining a foothold, particularly products from reputed developers - although having a detrimental effect on secondary market sales, notably in prime apartment districts,” said David Godchaux, the chief executive of Core Savills.

“While owners of existing properties try to sell their units, master developers offer products positioned at attractive entry points to a similar target pool, particularly investors. With a wider product base, developers can exercise a higher level of price control on the submarket and largely have an upper hand over individual landlords.”

mfahy@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Alwyn Stephen says much of his success is a result of taking an educated chance on business decisions.

His advice to anyone starting out in business is to have no fear as life is about taking on challenges.

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He relaxes by spending time with his family at home, and enjoying his wife’s India cooking.