In the US, companies are expected to cut dividends at the fastest rate since the financial crisis of 2009-09. Getty Images
In the US, companies are expected to cut dividends at the fastest rate since the financial crisis of 2009-09. Getty Images
In the US, companies are expected to cut dividends at the fastest rate since the financial crisis of 2009-09. Getty Images
In the US, companies are expected to cut dividends at the fastest rate since the financial crisis of 2009-09. Getty Images

What is the best way for investors to generate income today?


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The stock market crash is not the only reason investors are feeling poorer as a result of the Covid-19 meltdown - it has also inflicted serious damage on the dividends companies pay out.

Scores of firms have now dropped their regular shareholder payouts to hold on to cash and protect their balance sheets, as profits collapse and staff are laid off.

While a highly valued feature, paying a dividend when revenue plummet and cash flow is dwindling can be the wrong decision.

In the US, companies are expected to slash dividends at the fastest rate since the financial crisis, according to Bloomberg, with Delta Air Lines, Ford and Macy’s suspending payouts in the second quarter, and American Airlines, Gap, Harley-Davidson, Kraft-Heinz, Starbucks and others also likely to cut.

More than 80 of the top 600 listed companies in Europe cut or scrapped dividends in the weeks leading up to April 8, Reuters says.

In the UK, FinTech financial services provider Link Group calculates that 30 per cent of all dividends will temporarily disappear, and that could rise to 50 per cent if the crisis drags on, costing investors about £50 billion (Dh183bn).

This is a double blow both for older investors who rely on generating retirement income from dividends, and those who are still at the investment stage and hope to reinvest dividends back into their portfolio for growth.

Ben Lofthouse, head of global equity income at fund manager Janus Henderson, says the biggest cuts have come in the UK and Europe where yields tend to be higher. “Lower-yielding regions such as the US, Japan and Asia have been relatively unaffected so far," he says.

Mr Lofthouse calculates 60 per cent of global dividend-paying companies are cyclically exposed, and will be under pressure. Others should be safer. "Some 40 per cent of companies are likely to be more defensively positioned, and their dividends should be more resilient," he says.

The FTSE 100 offers one of the most general deals in the world, topping 4.5 per cent before the crisis, more than double the 2 per cent typically paid on the S&P 500.

With a third of FTSE 100 companies axing their payouts, just 15 firms now pay around three quarters of all income from the index, according to Russ Mould, investment director at platform AJ Bell.

However, those who continue to pay dividends can offer incredible yields, with oil giants BP and Royal Dutch Shell yielding 10.6 per cent and 10.2 per cent respectively.

British American Tobacco, another renowned dividend payer, yields 7.6 per cent, while tobacco rival Imperial Brands yields an astonishing 12.8 per cent.

Other FTSE 100 companies standing by their dividends include pharmaceutical firms GlaxoSmithKline (5.1 per cent) and AstraZeneca (2.9 per cent); mining giants Rio Tinto (6.6 per cent) and BHP Group (7.6 per cent); and telecoms firm Vodafone (7.3 per cent).

Insurers Legal & General and Prudential, grocery chain Tesco, household goods firms Unilever and Reckitt Benckiser, and utility firms National Grid and SSE also number among the top 20 UK dividend stocks.

Yields are calculated by dividing the dividend by the share price, so when the share price falls, the yield rises, hence today's dizzying rates of income.

However, a high yield can suggest a company is in trouble, and that is certainly the case with BP and Shell, which have been hit hard by the oil price collapse.

They were also punished when oil fell to $26 a barrel in 2016, and stood by their dividends then.

If they stand fast this time too, they could prove terrific income investments. Shell has an unparalleled record of never cutting its dividend since the Second World War, and Mr Mould says we will find out more when it reports its first quarter results on Tuesday.

“Management has shown its determination to defend its payout of $1.88 per share, which totals $15.9bn a year, making it the biggest dividend payer in the FTSE 100,” he says

Devesh Mamtani, director for investment and advisory at Century Financial, also views energy companies as a top source of income right now. “Currently, the world needs just 75 million barrels per day, but within a year or two, demand should return to nearly 100 million,” he says.

Mr Mamtani tips oil giants Chevron Corp, which yields 6.19 per cent, Exxon Mobil Corp (8.27 per cent), Suncor Energy (9.13 per cent) and ConocoPhillips (4.81 per cent). “Many are reducing capital expenditure and operational expenses to cope up with today’s situation,” he says.

Michael Bolliger, who heads the emerging markets asset allocation team at UBS Wealth Management, says that just because a company is still paying its dividend, doesn't automatically mean that the underlying business is healthy. “While a highly valued feature, paying a dividend when revenue plummet and cash flow is dwindling can be the wrong decision,” he says.

It could mean management is assessing the outlook wrongly, or cutting back on vital capital expenditure, Mr Bolliger adds: “In some cases, it could even be a sign of reckless behaviour.”

Demos Kyprianou, a board member of SimplyFI, a non-profit community of personal finance and investing enthusiasts in Dubai, says dividend-hungry investors should spread risk by investing in an index tracking, exchange traded fund (ETF). “If you buy individual stocks your dividend could disappear altogether and if the company closes, your capital may also be gone,” he says.

Investors wanting US exposure can simply buy the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, or the SPDR S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF, which targets companies that have increased dividends for 25 consecutive years.

The iShares FTSE 100 ETF can tap into high-yielding UK blue chips, while for Europe, popular options include WisdomTree eurozone Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF, SPDR S&P euro Dividend Aristocrats and iShares eurozone EURO STOXX Select Dividend 30 UCITS ETF.

Alternatively, bond funds have held firm in the Covid-19 crisis.

Mr Bolliger says bonds are particularly attractive because they pay a fixed level of income: "US Treasury bonds are considered the safest of all, and annual coupon payments tend to amount to 2 to 3 per cent a year.”

Companies that continue to pay dividends can offer incredible yields, with oil giants BP and Royal Dutch Shell yielding 10.6 per cent and 10.2 per cent respectively. Bloomberg
Companies that continue to pay dividends can offer incredible yields, with oil giants BP and Royal Dutch Shell yielding 10.6 per cent and 10.2 per cent respectively. Bloomberg

Equity dividend yields may be higher, but change over time. "Coupon payments are not subject to fluctuation, so including them in your portfolio helps you plan more reliably,” he says.

Mr Bolliger says a combination of carefully selected high-quality dividend paying stocks and bond funds should work well at the moment. “We prefer US investment grade and high-yield bonds, as well as emerging market sovereign bonds,” he adds.

Mr Mamtani suggests investing in ETFs targeting US investment-grade bonds and also municipal bonds.

His ETF picks include Guggenheim Taxable Municipal Managed Duration Trust, which yields 6.7 per cent, VanEck Vectors High-Yield Municipal Index ETF (4.77 per cent) and BlackRock Taxable Municipal Bond Trust (5.84 per cent).

For investment-grade bonds, he tips iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (3.19 per cent).

For higher-risk investors, Mr Mamtani tips VanEck Vectors JP Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF, which yields 7.3 per cent. “It invests in bonds issued by emerging market governments,” he says

Traditionally, many investors relied on property funds for income, which invest in offices, warehouses and shopping centres. However, Stuart Ritchie, director of wealth advice at AES International, says these are unappealing because they are illiquid, as fund managers cannot simply sell property to meet withdrawals during a bear market. “Many have suspended withdrawals, which means investors cannot get at their money,” he says.

Despite the dividend cuts, Mr Ritchie says investors can still generate income during the pandemic. “Investors and their advisers should have planned for this, and have a suitably diversified portfolio to allow for uncertain times.”

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
 
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Starring: Ajay Devgn, Tabu, Shantanu Maheshwari, Jimmy Shergill, Saiee Manjrekar

Director: Neeraj Pandey

Rating: 2.5/5

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Goalkeepers: Jack Butland, Jordan Pickford, Nick Pope 
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The lowdown

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Rating: 3/5

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Tamkeen's offering
  • Option 1: 70% in year 1, 50% in year 2, 30% in year 3
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Coffee: black death or elixir of life?

It is among the greatest health debates of our time; splashed across newspapers with contradicting headlines - is coffee good for you or not?

Depending on what you read, it is either a cancer-causing, sleep-depriving, stomach ulcer-inducing black death or the secret to long life, cutting the chance of stroke, diabetes and cancer.

The latest research - a study of 8,412 people across the UK who each underwent an MRI heart scan - is intended to put to bed (caffeine allowing) conflicting reports of the pros and cons of consumption.

The study, funded by the British Heart Foundation, contradicted previous findings that it stiffens arteries, putting pressure on the heart and increasing the likelihood of a heart attack or stroke, leading to warnings to cut down.

Numerous studies have recognised the benefits of coffee in cutting oral and esophageal cancer, the risk of a stroke and cirrhosis of the liver. 

The benefits are often linked to biologically active compounds including caffeine, flavonoids, lignans, and other polyphenols, which benefit the body. These and othetr coffee compounds regulate genes involved in DNA repair, have anti-inflammatory properties and are associated with lower risk of insulin resistance, which is linked to type-2 diabetes.

But as doctors warn, too much of anything is inadvisable. The British Heart Foundation found the heaviest coffee drinkers in the study were most likely to be men who smoked and drank alcohol regularly.

Excessive amounts of coffee also unsettle the stomach causing or contributing to stomach ulcers. It also stains the teeth over time, hampers absorption of minerals and vitamins like zinc and iron.

It also raises blood pressure, which is largely problematic for people with existing conditions.

So the heaviest drinkers of the black stuff - some in the study had up to 25 cups per day - may want to rein it in.

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Our legal advisor

Ahmad El Sayed is Senior Associate at Charles Russell Speechlys, a law firm headquartered in London with offices in the UK, Europe, the Middle East and Hong Kong.

Experience: Commercial litigator who has assisted clients with overseas judgments before UAE courts. His specialties are cases related to banking, real estate, shareholder disputes, company liquidations and criminal matters as well as employment related litigation. 

Education: Sagesse University, Beirut, Lebanon, in 2005.

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Company profile

Name: Oulo.com

Founder: Kamal Nazha

Based: Dubai

Founded: 2020

Number of employees: 5

Sector: Technology

Funding: $450,000

Dr Afridi's warning signs of digital addiction

Spending an excessive amount of time on the phone.

Neglecting personal, social, or academic responsibilities.

Losing interest in other activities or hobbies that were once enjoyed.

Having withdrawal symptoms like feeling anxious, restless, or upset when the technology is not available.

Experiencing sleep disturbances or changes in sleep patterns.

What are the guidelines?

Under 18 months: Avoid screen time altogether, except for video chatting with family.

Aged 18-24 months: If screens are introduced, it should be high-quality content watched with a caregiver to help the child understand what they are seeing.

Aged 2-5 years: Limit to one-hour per day of high-quality programming, with co-viewing whenever possible.

Aged 6-12 years: Set consistent limits on screen time to ensure it does not interfere with sleep, physical activity, or social interactions.

Teenagers: Encourage a balanced approach – screens should not replace sleep, exercise, or face-to-face socialisation.

Source: American Paediatric Association
Points to remember
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India v Pakistan

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Bangladesh v Afghanistan

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How Filipinos in the UAE invest

A recent survey of 10,000 Filipino expatriates in the UAE found that 82 per cent have plans to invest, primarily in property. This is significantly higher than the 2014 poll showing only two out of 10 Filipinos planned to invest.

Fifty-five percent said they plan to invest in property, according to the poll conducted by the New Perspective Media Group, organiser of the Philippine Property and Investment Exhibition. Acquiring a franchised business or starting up a small business was preferred by 25 per cent and 15 per cent said they will invest in mutual funds. The rest said they are keen to invest in insurance (3 per cent) and gold (2 per cent).

Of the 5,500 respondents who preferred property as their primary investment, 54 per cent said they plan to make the purchase within the next year. Manila was the top location, preferred by 53 per cent.