Global stock markets are currently trading at all-time highs, and this increases the danger of a sudden correction. Michael Nagle/Bloomberg
Global stock markets are currently trading at all-time highs, and this increases the danger of a sudden correction. Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

The ultimate buy and hold stocks portfolio - if you are brave enough



Private investors can be an impatient bunch, restlessly checking their portfolios every day, repeatedly buying and selling as they seek to make a fast return.

Instead, it might be wiser to take things a bit easier by adopting what is often called a long-term "buy and hold" strategy for equities.

This means taking a position in a steady, established company that pays generous dividends, and holding its stock for year after year. It saves you a lot of dashing around, as well as transaction charges from constantly trading shares.

The following 10 big global stocks could all fit the bill but you want might to dip your toe in rather gently than rush to buy them today. Global stock markets are currently trading at all-time highs, and this increases the danger of a sudden correction.

Like many analysts, Jordan Hiscott, the chief trader at Ayondo Markets, fears share prices are now overvalued. "Valuations don't seem to take into account the fractious nature of geopolitics, with aggressive rhetoric between the United States and North Korea, and the Catalonian independence referendum."

Bankers such as the US Federal Reserve are now reversing interest rate cuts and monetary stimulus, which will also threaten markets.

Your patience will be rewarded if stock markets do dip, as you may then be able to buy shares in the following companies at a discount. Then all you have to do is hold them for years, while occasionally checking on how they are faring.

AIA Group

Russ Mould, investment director at online platform AJ Bell, picks out AIA Group, Asia’s largest independent insurance company, as one of his favourite long-term buy and hold stocks.

Established in Shanghai in 1919, AIA has a market cap of US$93 billion and millions of customers in 18 countries across the Asia Pacific region. When it registered on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2010, it was the third largest global IPO of all time.

The year 2017 has been good for the stock, with shares up
36 per cent year-to-date, according to Bloomberg. It currently yields 1.49 per cent.

Mr Mould says: “AIA is a great long-term play on the rising affluence of the Chinese middle class, who are buying financial services products in ever greater numbers.”

The shares trade in Hong Kong and you can also buy them at the New York Stock Exchange by purchasing its American Depository Receipts (ADRs) which allow investors to invest in foreign listed companies.

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Novo Nordisk

Mr Mould also tips Danish pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk, a global healthcare company with more than 90 years of experience in diabetes care.

Diabetes is soaring, from 108 million cases in 1980 to more than 422 million in 2014, according to the World Health Organisation, with the trend expected to accelerate as more countries adopt unhealthy Western lifestyles. Mr Mould says the $122bn company has been knocked by a feared US clampdown on drug prices and gathering competition from generic rivals. “However, its shares are much cheaper as a result and news flow on new product trials is gathering nicely.”

Operating margins and cash flow are still excellent and the firm has the stability to
weather any stock market storm, he adds. Its share price is up 18 per cent in the last year, and the stock yields an income of 1.93 per cent.

Novo Nordisk’s shares are listed on Nasdaq Copenhagen and on the New York Stock Exchange as ADRs.

Johnson & Johnson

Lee Wild, head of equity strategy at website Interactive Investor, picks out US-listed global healthcare company Johnson & Johnson, which he describes as a household name that never fails to deliver. "Almost all of us have used Johnson's skincare products, baby lotions and medicines, which sell steadily both during an economic boom or recession."

The firm also has a thriving medical devices division and a pipeline of new drug treatments. "Recent third quarter results beat expectations and the company has raised guidance for the full-year," Mr Wild adds.

Johnson & Johnson, which has a market capitalisation of $377bn, currently yields 2.7 per cent, and its share price is up 15 per cent in the past year. Mr Wild says: “Resilience through the economic cycle, strong pricing power and 55 years of consecutive dividend growth make Johnson & Johnson shares one for the bottom drawer.”

Walt Disney

Mr Wild also picks iconic brand and media major Walt Disney. “Its film studios, which now include Pixar, Marvel Studios and Lucasfilm, are behind some of the biggest ever blockbuster movies. Disney theme parks recently posted massive third-quarter revenues of $4.89bn, up almost 12 per cent in a year.

Disney’s ESPN TV network is struggling currently but, as the dominant US sports broadcaster, it can charge higher subscriber fees which pay for further valuable programming rights, Mr Wild adds.

There’s lots to like about this $155bn company. “It is seeing theme park growth in the far east and potential for new over-the-top streaming services from both ESPN and Disney. The company’s mass appeal, near double-digit annual earnings growth and significant free cash flow underpin the long-term investment case.” 

ResMed

Mr Wild’s final tip is US medical devices company ResMed, which makes masks and machines to treat breathing disorders. 

The group should benefit from modern threats such as obesity, pollution and ageing populations. "These issues, along with hypertension and diabetes, are closely correlated to growth in sleep apnoea and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, which is the third leading cause of death in the US."

ResMed is working on new products to tackle sleep apnoea and health problems caused by air pollution. “It’s a global problem, especially in China, India and other fast-growing emerging economies,” says Mr Wild. This New York listed stock is up 22 per cent in the past year and yields 1.88 per cent. “ResMed is a high-quality operator that is likely to grow rapidly for years to come,” Mr Wild adds.

Reckitt Benckiser and Unilever

Laith Khalaf, senior analyst at wealth advisers Hargreaves Lansdown, says you should never completely forget a stock after you have bought it. “Even if you are picking quality companies for the long term it still pays to periodically check they are not veering off course.”

He picks two London-listed companies that have a massive global reach, stretching into kitchens and bathrooms all over the world.

“Reckitt Benckiser and Unilever are both consumer goods giants with robust earnings, strong brands and market pricing power,” he says.

Familiar Reckitt Benckiser brands include Scholl, Finish, Vanish and Cillit Bang, Mr Khalaf says. “The company puts huge weight behind its brands each year, with a marketing budget of over $1.3bn a year. Unilever brands include Domestos, Dove, Knorr, Hellman’s, Magnum and Marmite.

Both companies have offered steady long-term share price growth with a rising yield, currently paying income of 2.17 per cent and 2.48 per cent, respectively.

National Grid

London-listed power and gas company National Grid is one of the largest investor-owned energy companies in the world, covering Massachusetts, New York, Rhode Island and the United Kingdom. The $42bn company is heavily regulated but this gives it a relatively secure revenue and profit outlook, and it also pays an attractive dividend.

Graham Spooner, investment research analyst at share.com, says it is a consistent dividend payer that currently yields an attractive 4.8 per cent. “Furthermore, the dividend is due to grow at least in line with inflation. We have long been fans of the group for income seekers and recent sterling weakness only strengthens this by boosting the value of its dollar earnings.”

Amazon

Online shopping major Amazon's share price crashed to around $7 after the financial crisis; today it trades at close
to $1,130.

The $545bn global firm has been laying waste to its retail rivals, with Toys R Us the latest to file for bankruptcy after failing to compete with web-based shopping. Grocery retailers could be next, as Amazon ramps up fresh food deliveries following its purchase of Whole Foods. Amazon’s share price is up almost 20 per cent in the past 12 months, but there is no dividend.

Geir Lode, head of global equities at Hermes Investment Management, believes this “spectacular behemoth” has a bright outlook. “Technology stocks like this one look vastly overpriced, but its growth prospects represent a valuable investment opportunity.”

The “hyper-growth company” is changing the way we live. “Amazon’s management has exhibited superior execution skills, investing in new business segments and often defeating competition from new contenders,” Mr Lode says.

Amazon offers expected annual revenue growth of roughly 20 per cent, a healthy balance sheet, and phenomenal market sentiment, he concludes.

Tesla

Clem Chambers, the founder of stocks and shares website Advfn.com, makes a controversial choice for his buy and hold stock: electric car maker Tesla.

He counts himself among those who believe that Tesla founder Elon Musk is a visionary of genius. “Today, Tesla is worth $51bn. One day, it will be worth $200bn.”

A growing number believe the risks now outweigh the potential rewards, for example, investor Jim Chanos recently claimed the company was “structurally unprofitable” and had borrowed far too much money. Tesla has burnt through billions pursuing Mr Musk’s vision, with the company reporting a record quarterly loss of $619.4m on November 1. The stock took a further hit when Mr Musk admitted that Tesla’s new mass-market Model 3 was “deep in production hell” due to factory-line glitches.

Mr Chambers nonetheless believes Mr Musk will change the world. A large number of short sellers are equally convinced he will fail. This one could go either way. Approach with caution.

Election pledges on migration

CDU: "Now is the time to control the German borders and enforce strict border rejections" 

SPD: "Border closures and blanket rejections at internal borders contradict the spirit of a common area of freedom" 

The specs

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Power: 480kW

Torque: 850Nm

Transmission: Single-speed automatic

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On sale: Now

Tax authority targets shisha levy evasion

The Federal Tax Authority will track shisha imports with electronic markers to protect customers and ensure levies have been paid.

Khalid Ali Al Bustani, director of the tax authority, on Sunday said the move is to "prevent tax evasion and support the authority’s tax collection efforts".

The scheme’s first phase, which came into effect on 1st January, 2019, covers all types of imported and domestically produced and distributed cigarettes. As of May 1, importing any type of cigarettes without the digital marks will be prohibited.

He said the latest phase will see imported and locally produced shisha tobacco tracked by the final quarter of this year.

"The FTA also maintains ongoing communication with concerned companies, to help them adapt their systems to meet our requirements and coordinate between all parties involved," he said.

As with cigarettes, shisha was hit with a 100 per cent tax in October 2017, though manufacturers and cafes absorbed some of the costs to prevent prices doubling.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Some of Darwish's last words

"They see their tomorrows slipping out of their reach. And though it seems to them that everything outside this reality is heaven, yet they do not want to go to that heaven. They stay, because they are afflicted with hope." - Mahmoud Darwish, to attendees of the Palestine Festival of Literature, 2008

His life in brief: Born in a village near Galilee, he lived in exile for most of his life and started writing poetry after high school. He was arrested several times by Israel for what were deemed to be inciteful poems. Most of his work focused on the love and yearning for his homeland, and he was regarded the Palestinian poet of resistance. Over the course of his life, he published more than 30 poetry collections and books of prose, with his work translated into more than 20 languages. Many of his poems were set to music by Arab composers, most significantly Marcel Khalife. Darwish died on August 9, 2008 after undergoing heart surgery in the United States. He was later buried in Ramallah where a shrine was erected in his honour.

The White Lotus: Season three

Creator: Mike White

Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell

Rating: 4.5/5

MATCH INFO

Uefa Champions League semi-finals, first leg
Liverpool v Roma

When: April 24, 10.45pm kick-off (UAE)
Where: Anfield, Liverpool
Live: BeIN Sports HD
Second leg: May 2, Stadio Olimpico, Rome

UPI facts

More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions

The biog

Title: General Practitioner with a speciality in cardiology

Previous jobs: Worked in well-known hospitals Jaslok and Breach Candy in Mumbai, India

Education: Medical degree from the Government Medical College in Nagpur

How it all began: opened his first clinic in Ajman in 1993

Family: a 90-year-old mother, wife and two daughters

Remembers a time when medicines from India were purchased per kilo

If you go

The flights

There are direct flights from Dubai to Sofia with FlyDubai (www.flydubai.com) and Wizz Air (www.wizzair.com), from Dh1,164 and Dh822 return including taxes, respectively.

The trip

Plovdiv is 150km from Sofia, with an hourly bus service taking around 2 hours and costing $16 (Dh58). The Rhodopes can be reached from Sofia in between 2-4hours.

The trip was organised by Bulguides (www.bulguides.com), which organises guided trips throughout Bulgaria. Guiding, accommodation, food and transfers from Plovdiv to the mountains and back costs around 170 USD for a four-day, three-night trip.

 

Specs

Engine: 51.5kW electric motor

Range: 400km

Power: 134bhp

Torque: 175Nm

Price: From Dh98,800

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The smuggler

Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple. 
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.

Khouli conviction

Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.

For sale

A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.

- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico

- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000

- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950

info-box

COMPANY PROFILE

Company name: Happy Tenant

Started: January 2019

Co-founders: Joe Moufarrej and Umar Rana

Based: Dubai

Sector: Technology, real-estate

Initial investment: Dh2.5 million

Investors: Self-funded

Total customers: 4,000