China is expected to account for 20 per cent of the global luxury market by 2015, with spending in the country nearly tripling to $27 billion by that year from around $10 billion in 2009, according to the consulting firm McKinsey & Co. David Gray / Reuters
China is expected to account for 20 per cent of the global luxury market by 2015, with spending in the country nearly tripling to $27 billion by that year from around $10 billion in 2009, according toShow more

New markets emerging in style with a taste for western luxury brands



Think of the world's biggest luxury brands and you might think Burberry, Ralph Lauren, Gucci, Hermès, Cartier, Tiffany and Louis Vuitton.

They will almost be almost exclusively western companies.

But who is buying these brands? It isn't depressed US and European consumers, for whom austerity chic is the order of the day.

Nearly half of luxury goods sales are made to consumers in buoyant emerging markets, led by China, where brand-hungry consumers are keen to flaunt their newfound riches by wearing glitzy global names.

When western luxury brands and Eastern money come together, you have a great investment story. It could be a safe and stylish way to play emerging markets.

Western perfume, haute couture, jewellery and automobile brands are profiting from the growth of China and other emerging markets, says Laurent Belloni, the co-manager of Pictet Premium Brands, a mutual fund that invests in leading luxury names such as LVMH, which owns the likes of Louis Vuitton, Tiffany & Co, Burberry, Ralph Lauren, Christian Dior and Nike.

Investing in western companies is a clever way to play the emerging-markets story. "You are buying big, established household names with a massive global reputation," Mr Belloni says. "This is much safer than investing directly in emerging-market companies, which tend to be more cyclical and volatile and may also have weaker levels of corporate governance."

This should give you the best of both worlds, the excitement of quick-fire Eastern growth and the reassurance of old-world western stability.

Emerging-market consumers already consume about 40 per cent of luxury goods and that figure is likely to rise sharply, Mr Belloni says. "China, including Hong Kong, Macau and Singapore, now accounts for 25 per cent of the global luxury market. A decade ago, it was only a tiny proportion."

The balance of buying power has shifted. Japan once accounted for 40 per cent of luxury goods sales. Now it buys just 15 per cent.

Russia and India should steadily boost demand for luxury products. "By the end of the next decade, 60 per cent of luxury sales should come from emerging markets," Mr Belloni says.

Better still, luxury brands such as Gucci enjoy higher operating margins in China. "An item that sells for US$100 [Dh367] in France would typically go for $114 in China. That's partly due to taxes and partly because consumers are willing to pay a higher price."

Local operating costs are also relatively low. "The major brands may have just one or two flagship stores in China, but the profit per square foot is much higher. Given the shortage of stores, when consumers come, they tend to spend more."

Many Chinese and emerging-market tourists also embark on a luxury brand splurge on their trips to Europe. "They know prices are much cheaper. Incredibly, half the items luxury companies sell in Europe are actually bought by Chinese tourists," Mr Belloni says.

With GDP growing at nearly 10 per cent a year, the number of super-wealthy Chinese is rapidly multiplying. There were 271 dollar billionaires in China in 2010, double the number in 2009, according to the Hurun rich list, which is published by the Shanghai-based magazine Hurun Report. Only the US has more, with over 400. China also boasts more than one million dollar millionaires.

They're rich and they are keen for people to know it, Mr Belloni says. "They want visible luxury, accessories such as handbags, watches and belts. They also get into luxury at an early age. In Japan, a woman might buy her first Louis Vuitton handbag at age 35. In China, she will be 25."

Consumption is only 36 per cent of Chinese GDP. "In the US, it is 65 per cent and in Europe around 60 per cent, so there is plenty of scope for growth. China has also been considering reducing import taxes on luxury goods to narrow the price with Hong Kong. That will also drive consumption," Mr Belloni says.

The flourishing market in fake luxury goods has little impact on sales of the real thing. "The fake market will always be there, but when people have enough money, they want the real thing. Most Asian customers care about quality and attention to detail. They don't want counterfeits."

Chinese billionaires aren't the only ones who want western brands in their lives and homes. So does the vast emerging middle class.

Their numbers are projected to grow from 430 million in 2000 to 1.2 billion in 2020, an increase from 7.6 per cent to 16.1 per cent of the world's population.

Asian consumers spend four times as much of their income on luxury as their western counterparts, says Nicole Vitesse, the client portfolio manager at JP Morgan, whose Global Consumer Trends Fund targets companies that will benefit from shifts in global consumption patterns. "Asian countries haven't developed their own luxury brands, so consumers look to the West. They want to carry a Gucci handbag or drive a BMW and the likes of LVMH, Gucci, Guess and Abercrombie & Fitch recognise the opportunities."

Fidelity, the fund manager, has named Burberry and Hugo Boss as two luxury stocks to watch.

Burberry is a strong franchise with an excellent management team and robust balance sheet, says Tom Ewing, the portfolio manager at Fidelity UK Growth. "It has a strong presence in China, where the rapidly growing middle class is increasing its demand for aspirational goods. Demand from developed markets has also held up well."

Hugo Boss boasts low levels of debt, strong cash flow and a generous, rising dividend and is only just beginning to exploit its emerging-market potential.

Emerging-market consumers are demanding luxury products across almost every sector, notably cars, says James Thomas, the regional director at Acuma Wealth Management in Dubai. "BMW has more specific models just for the Chinese car market. In China, Porsche is better known for its SUV and saloon cars."

Another German car manufacturer, Volkswagen, which owns a fleet of brands including luxury names such as Lamborghini, Bentley and Bugatti, makes 50 per cent of its sales in China.

Brand-hungry Chinese consumers are making their presence felt in the Middle East as well, Mr Thomas says. "We are seeing Chinese nationals flying to the UAE to purchase luxury goods in the local malls."

As with every specialist investment area, you should invest no more than 5 per cent to 10 per cent of your portfolio in luxury brands, Mr Thomas says. "Although the sector is growing, it could also fall quickly if circumstances change."

Emerging-market consumers aren't just spending their money on fast cars and fashion, they are also splashing out on everyday products. "Many are buying their first ever electrical appliance, medication or electronic device and this market also offers great growth potential."

If you want to play this trend, Mr Thomas recommends a number of offshore mutual funds, including Clariden Leu Luxury Goods Equity, Julius Baer Luxury Brands and SCAM Equities Luxury and Lifestyle.

If you prefer direct equities, large, stable US multinationals like Coca-Cola, Procter & Gamble, Johnson & Johnson and McDonald's now generate large portions of their revenue from emerging markets, says Aris Vatis, the portfolio manager at Fidelity American. "The US remains the location of choice for leading brands and technology firms. They offer exposure to China and wider emerging-market consumer growth, without exposure to the higher volatility associated with this region."

The growing global middle class will also boost sales of food, feed and fuel, says James Govan, the co-manager of the Baring Global Agriculture fund. "Demand for agricultural equipment in the US and western Europe is likely to remain high thanks to strong farm cash receipts, with positive implications for US companies such as Deere & Co."

David Kuo, from Motley Fool, the stocks and shares website, is also excited by the impact of the mass affluent on western stocks. "Shoppers around the world want similar things. We have already seen unprecedented demand for luxury goods among wealthy emerging-market consumers. As wealth filters down, we can assume they will demand the basic household goods that western shoppers take for granted."

Mr Kuo tips Unilever, a UK-listed company whose global brands include Persil, Domestos, Dove soap, Ben & Jerry's, Bertolli and Walls. "It already generates 40 per cent of its revenue from Asia and Africa and this should rise as wealth improves in these regions," he says.

Mr Kuo also rates Procter & Gamble, whose global brands include Daz, Duracell, Gillette, Silvikrin, Pringles and Fairy Liquid. "It boasts a boatload of brands spanning beauty, household care and pet foods. Currently, it generates about one third of its sales from developing markets and is increasingly shifting its emphasis from cash-strapped western shoppers to developing market consumers."

Another UK-listed stock, Reckitt Benckiser, is also committed to driving growth in Asia. "Its products, which include Finish dishwasher tablets and Vanish stain remover, could soon be as ubiquitous in developing economies as they are in the West."

Ditto Swiss food giant Nestlé. "It is the world leader in coffee and bottled water. Throw in baby formula and frozen pizza and you have a company that could dominate food sales around the world," Mr Kuo says.

The emerging middle class is also spending more money looking after its health and, again, western companies will benefit, says Ms Vitesse. "People are demanding better health care and medicine. They remember the 2008 China milk scandal, where more than 300,000 babies fell ill after drinking tainted milk, and feel safer with a western company. This trend will grow as the population ages and global health care companies such as Zimmer, Merck, Glaxo and Sanofi should all reap the rewards."

The emerging world may have the money these days, but the West still has the brands. And luxury investors can't afford to ignore that fact.

US tops drug cost charts

The study of 13 essential drugs showed costs in the United States were about 300 per cent higher than the global average, followed by Germany at 126 per cent and 122 per cent in the UAE.

Thailand, Kenya and Malaysia were rated as nations with the lowest costs, about 90 per cent cheaper.

In the case of insulin, diabetic patients in the US paid five and a half times the global average, while in the UAE the costs are about 50 per cent higher than the median price of branded and generic drugs.

Some of the costliest drugs worldwide include Lipitor for high cholesterol. 

The study’s price index placed the US at an exorbitant 2,170 per cent higher for Lipitor than the average global price and the UAE at the eighth spot globally with costs 252 per cent higher.

High blood pressure medication Zestril was also more than 2,680 per cent higher in the US and the UAE price was 187 per cent higher than the global price.

'The worst thing you can eat'

Trans fat is typically found in fried and baked goods, but you may be consuming more than you think.

Powdered coffee creamer, microwave popcorn and virtually anything processed with a crust is likely to contain it, as this guide from Mayo Clinic outlines: 

Baked goods - Most cakes, cookies, pie crusts and crackers contain shortening, which is usually made from partially hydrogenated vegetable oil. Ready-made frosting is another source of trans fat.

Snacks - Potato, corn and tortilla chips often contain trans fat. And while popcorn can be a healthy snack, many types of packaged or microwave popcorn use trans fat to help cook or flavour the popcorn.

Fried food - Foods that require deep frying — french fries, doughnuts and fried chicken — can contain trans fat from the oil used in the cooking process.

Refrigerator dough - Products such as canned biscuits and cinnamon rolls often contain trans fat, as do frozen pizza crusts.

Creamer and margarine - Nondairy coffee creamer and stick margarines also may contain partially hydrogenated vegetable oils.

Living in...

This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.

Key facilities
  • Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
  • Premier League-standard football pitch
  • 400m Olympic running track
  • NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
  • 600-seat auditorium
  • Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
  • An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
  • Specialist robotics and science laboratories
  • AR and VR-enabled learning centres
  • Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

MATCH INFO

Champions League quarter-final, first leg

Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester City, Tuesday, 11pm (UAE)

Matches can be watched on BeIN Sports

Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
 
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
AUSTRALIA SQUAD

Aaron Finch, Matt Renshaw, Brendan Doggett, Michael Neser, Usman Khawaja, Shaun Marsh, Mitchell Marsh, Tim Paine (captain), Travis Head, Marnus Labuschagne, Nathan Lyon, Jon Holland, Ashton Agar, Mitchell Starc, Peter Siddle

The smuggler

Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple. 
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.

Khouli conviction

Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.

For sale

A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.

- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico

- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000

- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950

UPI facts

More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions

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MATCH INFO

Juventus 1 (Dybala 45')

Lazio 3 (Alberto 16', Lulic 73', Cataldi 90 4')

Red card: Rodrigo Bentancur (Juventus)

WITHIN%20SAND
%3Cp%3EDirector%3A%20Moe%20Alatawi%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EStarring%3A%20Ra%E2%80%99ed%20Alshammari%2C%20Adwa%20Fahd%2C%20Muhand%20Alsaleh%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3ERating%3A%203%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A

Simran

Director Hansal Mehta

Stars: Kangana Ranaut, Soham Shah, Esha Tiwari Pandey

Three stars

TCL INFO

Teams:
Punjabi Legends 
Owners: Inzamam-ul-Haq and Intizar-ul-Haq; Key player: Misbah-ul-Haq
Pakhtoons Owners: Habib Khan and Tajuddin Khan; Key player: Shahid Afridi
Maratha Arabians Owners: Sohail Khan, Ali Tumbi, Parvez Khan; Key player: Virender Sehwag
Bangla Tigers Owners: Shirajuddin Alam, Yasin Choudhary, Neelesh Bhatnager, Anis and Rizwan Sajan; Key player: TBC
Colombo Lions Owners: Sri Lanka Cricket; Key player: TBC
Kerala Kings Owners: Hussain Adam Ali and Shafi Ul Mulk; Key player: Eoin Morgan

Venue Sharjah Cricket Stadium
Format 10 overs per side, matches last for 90 minutes
Timeline October 25: Around 120 players to be entered into a draft, to be held in Dubai; December 21: Matches start; December 24: Finals

Test

Director: S Sashikanth

Cast: Nayanthara, Siddharth, Meera Jasmine, R Madhavan

Star rating: 2/5

The National's picks

4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young

The specs: 2018 Audi Q5/SQ5

Price, base: Dh183,900 / Dh249,000
Engine: 2.0L, turbocharged in-line four-cylinder /  3.0L, turbocharged V6
Gearbox: Seven-speed automatic / Eight-speed automatic
Power: 252hp @ 5,000rpm / 354hp @ 5,400rpm
Torque: 370Nm @ 1,600rpm / 500Nm @ 1,370rpm
Fuel economy: combined 7.2L / 100km / 8.3L / 100km

BLACK%20ADAM
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Jaume%20Collet-Serra%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStars%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Dwayne%20Johnson%2C%20Sarah%20Shahi%2C%20Viola%20Davis%2C%20Pierce%20Brosnan%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E3%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Analysis

Members of Syria's Alawite minority community face threat in their heartland after one of the deadliest days in country’s recent history. Read more

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The specs

Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cylturbo

Transmission: seven-speed DSG automatic

Power: 242bhp

Torque: 370Nm

Price: Dh136,814

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Brief scores:

Southampton 2

Armstrong 13', Soares 20'

Manchester United 2

Lukaku 33', Herrera 39'

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Company profile

Name: Tratok Portal

Founded: 2017

Based: UAE

Sector: Travel & tourism

Size: 36 employees

Funding: Privately funded