The US Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates for the first time in four years at its meeting in September. Nick Donaldson / Getty Images
The US Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates for the first time in four years at its meeting in September. Nick Donaldson / Getty Images
The US Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates for the first time in four years at its meeting in September. Nick Donaldson / Getty Images
The US Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates for the first time in four years at its meeting in September. Nick Donaldson / Getty Images

What does the US Fed’s impending interest rate cut mean for your finances?


Deepthi Nair
  • English
  • Arabic

The Federal Reserve is on the cusp of cutting US interest rates in September. A low interest rate environment will typically lead to better borrowing conditions but end the good run for savers, financial experts say.

Whether it is beneficial to wait and watch for more interest rate cuts or act now will depend on your specific financial circumstances, they advise.

“For example, it is a good idea to act now if you have high-interest debt,” says David Denton, technical consultant at investment management firm Quilter Cheviot.

“Although there may be more cuts on the way, it is never wise to let debts continue to pile up, so making the most of a rate cut sooner rather than later is wise.

“However, while it is good to take advantage of broader macro-economic conditions if you can, it is not sensible to plan your finances solely around things like rate cuts, which are out of your control.”

The Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates for the first time in four years at its meeting on September 17 and 18.

Most central banks in the GCC follow the Fed's policy rate moves due to their currencies being pegged to the US dollar.

The Federal Open Market Committee has kept the federal funds rate at 5.25 per cent to 5.5 per cent since July 2023, but markets are now heavily favouring a quarter-point cut in September.

Expectations of a rate cut are based on the continuing cooling in inflation at all levels in the US.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from July 15 showed a 0.1 per cent drop in prices for June and a modest 3 per cent year-on-year increase.

Inflation in the US had reached a 40-year high of 9.1 per cent in June 2022.

“Awareness is key,” says Carol Glynn, founder of Conscious Finance Coaching. “Knowing it is coming, then look at the areas of your finances it will likely impact.”

“Do you have debt or savings? Then you will be impacted.

“Are you planning to buy a home or take out a loan? Then you will be impacted.”

Lower interest rates mean a range of personal finance products – from loans to credit cards, mortgages and savings – will be affected and borrowing will become less expensive. Here is a look at how consumers can prepare their finances:

Mortgages

A Fed rate cut makes it a good time to refinance existing mortgages or lock in a new, lower fixed-rate loan.

The cut will probably lower interest rates on new mortgages and refinancing options, according to Ben Bolger, a financial planner in Abu Dhabi and co-founder of digital learning platform Squirrel Education.

“This means lower monthly payments for borrowers, making home ownership and refinancing existing mortgages more affordable,” he says.

“Homeowners could consider refinancing to secure a lower rate and reduce their overall interest expense over the life of the loan.”

However, it is important to factor in the costs of refinancing as this may erase any benefits of a lower rate, he warns.

Homeowners can save significantly on interest payments over the life of their loans, increasing disposable income for other investments or savings, Quilter Cheviot’s Mr Denton says.

However, given how much rates have had to climb, he believes it is unlikely that the first cut in rates will have a big impact.

“Mortgage rates are determined by swap rates, which are the interest rates that lenders pay to offset the risk of fixed-rate lending,” he says.

“Swap rates are a major contributing factor to the final mortgage rate offered to a homeowner and these rates often price in the cost of an interest-rate cut far before the event actually happens.”

Fixed-rate mortgage holders will not see a change until their fixed terms have expired.

But there might be an opportunity to lock in lower rates if you have a high-interest mortgage, Ms Glynn suggests.

“Research switching from a variable to a fixed-rate mortgage during times of lower interest rates to stabilise payments and lock in savings on interest,” Ms Glynn recommends.

“But be patient, it may take months, if not years, to see a material impact on rates unless the Fed makes unexpected large interest rate cuts.”

Credit cards

Interest rates on credit card balances typically decrease following a Fed rate cut, Mr Bolger says.

While this reduces the cost of carrying a balance, consumers should still aim to pay off high-interest debt quickly to avoid accumulating more interest charges, he warns.

“Consumers should consider transferring balances to lower-rate cards and paying down high-interest debt more aggressively to take advantage of reducing rates,” Mr Denton says.

However, it is not guaranteed that banks may pass on the interest rate cut to their customers, according to Ms Glynn.

Pay down as much of your credit card debt as possible now, regardless of interest rate, as even in low Fed interest rate periods, credit cards are still extremely expensive forms of debt, she says.

Watch: US Federal Reserve keeps interest rates on hold

Loans

Interest rates on car and personal loans are also likely to decrease, making borrowing cheaper.

This could spur consumer spending in these categories, as lower monthly payments increase affordability, according to Mr Bolger.

Ms Glynn suggests waiting to get a car or personal loan to get better terms after the rate cut.

Shop around for the best deals as rates can vary widely, she says, and it may take time for the rate cuts to trickle down to the consumer.

“But also be aware, lower interest rates tend to create more demand and so can increase prices, which often offset the benefits lower interest rates bring,” she adds.

Savings

The yield on savings accounts, certificates of deposit and other interest-bearing deposit accounts will probably decline, Mr Bolger believes.

Savers may see reduced returns on their deposits, which could prompt a search for higher-yielding investment alternatives, such as bonds or dividend-paying stocks, he says.

Realistically, how much you will save when the Fed lowers rates will depend on how quickly it cuts and by how much each time, he adds.

“A rate cut generally leads to lower interest rates on savings accounts, meaning people will earn less interest,” Mr Denton says.

“Despite many people perceiving cash as safe, unless you are making an inflation-beating return, you will be losing money in real terms constantly.

“Savers, therefore, might consider other investment options to achieve higher returns and help ensure their money does not essentially decay.”

A rate cut generally leads to lower interest rates on savings accounts, meaning people will earn less interest on their savings
David Denton,
technical consultant, Quilter Cheviot

Diversifying into higher-yield investments, such as bonds or stocks, could offer better growth potential but this comes with added risk, he warns.

If you have cash that will not be needed for the coming year or more, consider locking in higher rates with long-term savings products like fixed-term deposits before the rates decrease, Ms Glynn recommends.

Which countries will be affected more?

The US is naturally directly impacted as the Fed’s decisions primarily affect its economy first, says Ms Glynn.

“In countries with currencies pegged to the US dollar, like many countries in the Middle East, including the UAE, monetary policies in these countries often mirror those of the US and so they will also be affected,” she says.

“Any country with US dollar debt or [that] operates trade in USD, will also be impacted. Fed interest rates influence global financial markets, affecting trade, investment and economic stability worldwide.”

Regions with higher dependency on US trade and financial systems, such as Europe and emerging markets, will be more affected by the Fed’s rate cut, according to Mr Denton.

These areas might experience capital inflows, currency appreciation and changes in their own central bank policies to align with the Fed’s actions, he states.

Conversely, regions with less direct economic linkage to the US might see more subdued effects.

“North America, Canada and Mexico will likely experience larger impacts due to their strong economic connections with the US and the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada) trade agreement,” Mr Bolger says.

“In addition, emerging markets with substantial dollar-denominated debt may face increased financial volatility and currency fluctuations.

“A Fed rate cut may initially ease their debt servicing costs, as borrowing in dollars becomes cheaper due to lower interest rates.

“This can provide short-term relief for many countries such as Turkey, Argentina and South Africa, which have significant amounts of debt issued in US dollars.”

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ACL Elite (West) - fixtures

Monday, Sept 30

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Tuesday, Oct 1
Al Hilal v Al Shorta (10pm)
Al Gharafa v Al Ain (10pm)

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE. 

Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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Countries recognising Palestine

France, UK, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Belgium, Malta, Luxembourg, San Marino and Andorra

 

The five new places of worship

Church of South Indian Parish

St Andrew's Church Mussaffah branch

St Andrew's Church Al Ain branch

St John's Baptist Church, Ruwais

Church of the Virgin Mary and St Paul the Apostle, Ruwais

 

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

FIXTURES

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Saint-Etienne v Montpellier (10.45pm)

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Metz v Dijon (10pm)
Nantes v Guingamp (10pm)
Rennes v Lille (10pm)

Sunday
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The years Ramadan fell in May

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While you're here
EA Sports FC 26

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The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo

The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo
Price, base / as tested: Dh182,178
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Dubai Tigers II v Abu Dhabi Saracens

Jebel Ali Dragons II v Abu Dhabi Harlequins II

Sharjah Wanderers v Dubai Exiles II

 

LAST SEASON

West Asia Premiership

Winners – Bahrain

Runners-up – Dubai Exiles

UAE Premiership

Winners – Abu Dhabi Harlequins

Runners-up – Jebel Ali Dragons

Dubai Rugby Sevens

Winners – Dubai Hurricanes

Runners-up – Abu Dhabi Harlequins

UAE Conference

Winners – Dubai Tigers

Runners-up – Al Ain Amblers

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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Premier League

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Friday, June 19 Norwich v Southampton 9pm; Tottenham v Manchester United 11pm  

Saturday, June 20 Watford v Leicester 3.30pm; Brighton v Arsenal 6pm; West Ham v Wolves 8.30pm; Bournemouth v Crystal Palace 10.45pm 

Sunday, June 21 Newcastle v Sheffield United 2pm; Aston Villa v Chelsea 7.30pm; Everton v Liverpool 10pm 

Monday, June 22 Manchester City v Burnley 11pm (Sky)

Tuesday, June 23 Southampton v Arsenal 9pm; Tottenham v West Ham 11.15pm 

Wednesday, June 24 Manchester United v Sheffield United 9pm; Newcastle v Aston Villa 9pm; Norwich v Everton 9pm; Liverpool v Crystal Palace 11.15pm

Thursday, June 25 Burnley v Watford 9pm; Leicester v Brighton 9pm; Chelsea v Manchester City 11.15pm; Wolves v Bournemouth 11.15pm

Sunday June 28 Aston Villa vs Wolves 3pm; Watford vs Southampton 7.30pm 

Monday June 29 Crystal Palace vs Burnley 11pm

Tuesday June 30 Brighton vs Manchester United 9pm; Sheffield United vs Tottenham 11.15pm 

Wednesday July 1 Bournemouth vs Newcastle 9pm; Everton vs Leicester 9pm; West Ham vs Chelsea 11.15pm

Thursday July 2 Arsenal vs Norwich 9pm; Manchester City vs Liverpool 11.15pm

 

The years Ramadan fell in May

1987

1954

1921

1888

The five pillars of Islam
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Power: 134bhp

Torque: 175Nm

Price: From Dh98,800

Available: Now

Day 1, Abu Dhabi Test: At a glance

Moment of the day Dimuth Karunaratne had batted with plenty of pluck, and no little skill, in getting to within seven runs of a first-day century. Then, while he ran what he thought was a comfortable single to mid-on, his batting partner Dinesh Chandimal opted to stay at home. The opener was run out by the length of the pitch.

Stat of the day – 1 One six was hit on Day 1. The boundary was only breached 18 times in total over the course of the 90 overs. When it did arrive, the lone six was a thing of beauty, as Niroshan Dickwella effortlessly clipped Mohammed Amir over the square-leg boundary.

The verdict Three wickets down at lunch, on a featherbed wicket having won the toss, and Sri Lanka’s fragile confidence must have been waning. Then Karunaratne and Chandimal's alliance of precisely 100 gave them a foothold in the match. Dickwella’s free-spirited strokeplay meant the Sri Lankans were handily placed at 227-4 at the close.

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
PRESIDENTS CUP

Draw for Presidents Cup fourball matches on Thursday (Internationals first mention). All times UAE:

02.32am (Thursday): Marc Leishman/Joaquin Niemann v Tiger Woods/Justin Thomas
02.47am (Thursday): Adam Hadwin/Im Sung-jae v Xander Schauffele/Patrick Cantlay
03.02am (Thursday): Adam Scott/An Byeong-hun v Bryson DeChambeau/Tony Finau
03.17am (Thursday): Hideki Matsuyama/CT Pan v Webb Simpson/Patrick Reed
03.32am (Thursday): Abraham Ancer/Louis Oosthuizen v Dustin Johnson/Gary Woodland

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The specs

Engine: Turbocharged four-cylinder 2.7-litre

Power: 325hp

Torque: 500Nm

Transmission: 10-speed automatic

Price: From Dh189,700

On sale: now

GAC GS8 Specs

Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo

Power: 248hp at 5,200rpm

Torque: 400Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm

Transmission: 8-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 9.1L/100km

On sale: Now

Price: From Dh149,900

if you go

The flights

Emirates have direct flights from Dubai to Glasgow from Dh3,115. Alternatively, if you want to see a bit of Edinburgh first, then you can fly there direct with Etihad from Abu Dhabi.

The hotel

Located in the heart of Mackintosh's Glasgow, the Dakota Deluxe is perhaps the most refined hotel anywhere in the city. Doubles from Dh850

 Events and tours

There are various Mackintosh specific events throughout 2018 – for more details and to see a map of his surviving designs see glasgowmackintosh.com

For walking tours focussing on the Glasgow Style, see the website of the Glasgow School of Art. 

More information

For ideas on planning a trip to Scotland, visit www.visitscotland.com

ICC Awards for 2021

MEN

Cricketer of the Year – Shaheen Afridi (Pakistan)

T20 Cricketer of the Year – Mohammad Rizwan (Pakistan)

ODI Cricketer of the Year – Babar Azam (Pakistan)

Test Cricketer of the Year – Joe Root (England)

WOMEN

Cricketer of the Year – Smriti Mandhana (India)

ODI Cricketer of the Year – Lizelle Lee (South Africa)

T20 Cricketer of the Year – Tammy Beaumont (England)

Teaching your child to save

Pre-school (three - five years)

You can’t yet talk about investing or borrowing, but introduce a “classic” money bank and start putting gifts and allowances away. When the child wants a specific toy, have them save for it and help them track their progress.

Early childhood (six - eight years)

Replace the money bank with three jars labelled ‘saving’, ‘spending’ and ‘sharing’. Have the child divide their allowance into the three jars each week and explain their choices in splitting their pocket money. A guide could be 25 per cent saving, 50 per cent spending, 25 per cent for charity and gift-giving.

Middle childhood (nine - 11 years)

Open a bank savings account and help your child establish a budget and set a savings goal. Introduce the notion of ‘paying yourself first’ by putting away savings as soon as your allowance is paid.

Young teens (12 - 14 years)

Change your child’s allowance from weekly to monthly and help them pinpoint long-range goals such as a trip, so they can start longer-term saving and find new ways to increase their saving.

Teenage (15 - 18 years)

Discuss mutual expectations about university costs and identify what they can help fund and set goals. Don’t pay for everything, so they can experience the pride of contributing.

Young adulthood (19 - 22 years)

Discuss post-graduation plans and future life goals, quantify expenses such as first apartment, work wardrobe, holidays and help them continue to save towards these goals.

* JP Morgan Private Bank 

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE. 

Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

 

Korean Film Festival 2019 line-up

Innocent Witness, June 26 at 7pm

On Your Wedding Day, June 27 at 7pm

The Great Battle, June 27 at 9pm

The Witch: Part 1. The Subversion, June 28 at 4pm

Romang, June 28 at 6pm

Mal Mo E: The Secret Mission, June 28 at 8pm

Underdog, June 29 at 2pm

Nearby Sky, June 29 at 4pm

A Resistance, June 29 at 6pm 

 

Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

Scoreline

Arsenal 0 Manchester City 3

  • Agüero 18'
  • Kompany 58'
  • Silva 65'
CREW
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Updated: August 06, 2024, 5:00 AM`