The worst market sell-off in almost a year sent global stock, bond and commodity prices tumbling yesterday amid fresh worries about a return to global recession.
The Dow Jones industrial average, a widely tracked measure of large US stocks, fell 4.3 per cent on Thursday and traded down yesterday after the release of better than expected US jobs data. Asian stocks plunged, with Japan's Nikkei index off by 3.72 per cent yesterday and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index down 4.29 per cent.
The US jobs report showed the world's biggest economy added 117,000 jobs in June, better than the 85,000 that analysts had expected.
European stocks fell even as the European Central Bank (ECB) reactivated a bond-buying programme to prop up Portuguese and Irish government debt. The UK's FTSE 100 closed down 2.7 per cent yesterday.
"We would not rule out further weakness in equity markets," said John Higgins, a senior markets economist at Capital Economics in London.
A spate of bad news from some of the world's biggest economies in recent days has spooked investors and threatened hopes for a gradual global economic recovery. The postive US jobs figures were preceded by a report this week showing stagnant consumer spending in June and slow manufacturing activity.
With investors fleeing stocks for safer assets, gold prices have touched record highs in recent days. The metal moderated yesterday afternoon to about US$1,665 (Dh6,115) an ounce.
While his company was not yet forecasting a return to recession and had expected markets to fall this year, Mr Higgins said risks were rising globally and policy makers would have trouble digging themselves out if the world did lurch back into another slowdown.
Central banks cut interest rates to near zero to free up lending after the financial crisis, and many governments tried to stimulate economic activity with billions of dollars of government spending. A repeat of such expensive tactics may not be possible, Mr Higgins said, a factor that could weaken investor confidence.
"We had a big financial market meltdown and a big recession a few years ago, and policy makers pulled out the stops in fiscal and monetary policy," he said. "The economy is perhaps teetering on the edge of recession now, and can they pull out the stops again?"
Yesterday's US jobs figures were a rare ray of hope for the deteriorating global economic situation, but they failed to calm uneasy investors.
Markets were also weighing new figures on second-quarter economic growth in Italy and Spain that showed only slim gains. Italy's GDP grew at a 0.3 per cent clip during the quarter. Spain's economy registered sluggish 0.7 per cent year-on-year growth.
Italy and Spain have come under increased scrutiny in recent days as their government bond yields hit euro-era highs. Yields move inversely to prices, and a high yield indicates weak investor sentiment.
Elsewhere in Europe, the ECB left its 1.5 per cent interest rate unchanged on Thursday as had been expected. Jean-Claude Trichet, the ECB president, said after the announcement that it was "clear that we have at a global level a slowing down".
Oil prices, meanwhile, have fallen sharply during the recent sell-off, reflecting worries that an economic slowdown in the developed world could impact demand for the commodity.
Brent crude has fallen by about 9 per cent in the past two weeks, and traded at $108.11 a barrel yesterday.
Currency markets have also fluctuated alongside volatile stock and commodity markets. The dollar fell against the yen after yesterday's US jobs report, although the Japanese currency has stayed strong in the past week as investors looked for safe places to park their cash amid renewed fears of an economic slowdown on both sides of the Atlantic.
afitch@thenational.ae
Types of fraud
Phishing: Fraudsters send an unsolicited email that appears to be from a financial institution or online retailer. The hoax email requests that you provide sensitive information, often by clicking on to a link leading to a fake website.
Smishing: The SMS equivalent of phishing. Fraudsters falsify the telephone number through “text spoofing,” so that it appears to be a genuine text from the bank.
Vishing: The telephone equivalent of phishing and smishing. Fraudsters may pose as bank staff, police or government officials. They may persuade the consumer to transfer money or divulge personal information.
SIM swap: Fraudsters duplicate the SIM of your mobile number without your knowledge or authorisation, allowing them to conduct financial transactions with your bank.
Identity theft: Someone illegally obtains your confidential information, through various ways, such as theft of your wallet, bank and utility bill statements, computer intrusion and social networks.
Prize scams: Fraudsters claiming to be authorised representatives from well-known organisations (such as Etisalat, du, Dubai Shopping Festival, Expo2020, Lulu Hypermarket etc) contact victims to tell them they have won a cash prize and request them to share confidential banking details to transfer the prize money.
* Nada El Sawy
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At a glance
Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.
Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year
Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month
Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30
Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse
Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth
Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances
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NO OTHER LAND
Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal
Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham
Rating: 3.5/5
Cricket World Cup League 2
UAE results
Lost to Oman by eight runs
Beat Namibia by three wickets
Lost to Oman by 12 runs
Beat Namibia by 43 runs
UAE fixtures
Free admission. All fixtures broadcast live on icc.tv
Tuesday March 15, v PNG at Sharjah Cricket Stadium
Friday March 18, v Nepal at Dubai International Stadium
Saturday March 19, v PNG at Dubai International Stadium
Monday March 21, v Nepal at Dubai International Stadium
How to help or find other cats to adopt
A MINECRAFT MOVIE
Director: Jared Hess
Starring: Jack Black, Jennifer Coolidge, Jason Momoa
Rating: 3/5
Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Essentials
The flights
Etihad and Emirates fly direct from the UAE to Delhi from about Dh950 return including taxes.
The hotels
Double rooms at Tijara Fort-Palace cost from 6,670 rupees (Dh377), including breakfast.
Doubles at Fort Bishangarh cost from 29,030 rupees (Dh1,641), including breakfast. Doubles at Narendra Bhawan cost from 15,360 rupees (Dh869). Doubles at Chanoud Garh cost from 19,840 rupees (Dh1,122), full board. Doubles at Fort Begu cost from 10,000 rupees (Dh565), including breakfast.
The tours
Amar Grover travelled with Wild Frontiers. A tailor-made, nine-day itinerary via New Delhi, with one night in Tijara and two nights in each of the remaining properties, including car/driver, costs from £1,445 (Dh6,968) per person.
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TCL INFO
Teams:
Punjabi Legends Owners: Inzamam-ul-Haq and Intizar-ul-Haq; Key player: Misbah-ul-Haq
Pakhtoons Owners: Habib Khan and Tajuddin Khan; Key player: Shahid Afridi
Maratha Arabians Owners: Sohail Khan, Ali Tumbi, Parvez Khan; Key player: Virender Sehwag
Bangla Tigers Owners: Shirajuddin Alam, Yasin Choudhary, Neelesh Bhatnager, Anis and Rizwan Sajan; Key player: TBC
Colombo Lions Owners: Sri Lanka Cricket; Key player: TBC
Kerala Kings Owners: Hussain Adam Ali and Shafi Ul Mulk; Key player: Eoin Morgan
Venue Sharjah Cricket Stadium
Format 10 overs per side, matches last for 90 minutes
Timeline October 25: Around 120 players to be entered into a draft, to be held in Dubai; December 21: Matches start; December 24: Finals
How to help
Send “thenational” to the following numbers or call the hotline on: 0502955999
2289 – Dh10
2252 – Dh 50
6025 – Dh20
6027 – Dh 100
6026 – Dh 200
The specs
Engine: 1.6-litre 4-cyl turbo and dual electric motors
Power: 300hp at 6,000rpm
Torque: 520Nm at 1,500-3,000rpm
Transmission: 8-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 8.0L/100km
Price: from Dh199,900
On sale: now