The stock market in the US is “getting ahead of itself”, ignoring the rising rate of Covid-19 infections and a potential second wave of the pandemic in absence of a vaccine, which could force further economic retrenchment, the chief executive of BlackRock said.
“Unquestionably, the disease curve is going to be the most important issue that is going to overwhelm every other issue going forward,” Larry Fink told the World Government Summit webinar series on Thursday evening. “Yesterday, we had the highest infection rate in the world and the markets are still pretty stable.”
Markets are brimming with optimism that an anti-viral treatment to control the disease or mass inoculation within a year will be available to battle the pandemic, Mr Fink, whose firm with $7.4 trillion (Dh27.2tn) in assets, is the world’s biggest asset manager, said.
“What is remarkable ... is that there are more human beings affected today than on March 21, when [US] markets were 40 per cent lower. That just tells you the psychological transformation,” Mr Fink said.
The US government has poured about $3tn into the country’s economy and the Federal Reserve has rolled out monetary easing measures to stabilise the financial system. Giant pools of liquidity created in the market through the policy response to stabilise the country’s economy, are primarily behind the bounceback in US equity markets.
Stocks markets in the US, the largest economy in the world, ended their longest ever bull run in March when the S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell into bear market territory. More than $20 trillion (Dh73.4tn) was wiped off the value of financial markets globally after lockdown measures around the world were introduced to combat the rapid spread of the coronavirus outbreak.
US equities have since recovered losses, ignoring a massive contraction in the country’s $21tn economy, high unemployment rates and a sharp rise in the Covid-19 infection rate in most US states. The S&P 500 index has rallied almost 40 per cent since its March low as the economy gradually reopened.
However, Mr Fink said if a second wave begins and “we don’t have those anti-viral [treatments] or we don’t have a vaccine, it is going to just be another … retrenchment economically” that would require further lockdowns and more fiscal stimulus, which comes with its own problems.
Despite this, the “marketplace is saying [the] policy response is sufficient, they [stimulus measures] are enormous, they are going to be repeated if we have the higher disease rate”, he added.
Mr Fink was joined on the panel by group chief executive of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, Dr Sultan Al Jaber; Bruce Flatt, chief executive of Brookfield Asset Management; Francesca McDonagh, group chief executive of the Bank of Ireland and Adebayo Ogunlesi, chairman of Global Infrastructure Partners.
The International Monetary Fund earlier this week downgraded its forecast for the world economy and said it would contract 4.9 per cent this year due a more severe economic fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic. The US, the world’s largest economy, is expected to contract by 8 per cent in 2020 – a more severe forecast than the 5.9 per cent contraction the fund forecast three months ago.
Unemployment claims in US peaked at 38 million, or 14.7 per cent, in April after economic activity came to grinding halt. The unemployment rate declined to 13.3 per cent in May as the economy began to reopen, but the pandemic has wiped out all of the jobs created in the US since the 2008 global financial crisis.
“We are still witnessing real tragedy in small and medium-sized business [sector],” Mr Fink said, adding that even conversations with global business leaders are not painting a rosy picture.
“I speak to many business leaders in the world and the most important question I ask everybody is: do you believe earnings are going to in 2021 be at least as good as 2019, and only a fraction of business leaders believe their business would be as robust as they were in 2019,” he said.
“But, the marketplace is not saying that. I will leave it at that.”
Benefits of first-time home buyers' scheme
- Priority access to new homes from participating developers
- Discounts on sales price of off-plan units
- Flexible payment plans from developers
- Mortgages with better interest rates, faster approval times and reduced fees
- DLD registration fee can be paid through banks or credit cards at zero interest rates
How it works
Each player begins with one of the great empires of history, from Julius Caesar's Rome to Ramses of Egypt, spread over Europe and the Middle East.
Round by round, the player expands their empire. The more land they have, the more money they can take from their coffers for each go.
As unruled land and soldiers are acquired, players must feed them. When a player comes up against land held by another army, they can choose to battle for supremacy.
A dice-based battle system is used and players can get the edge on their enemy with by deploying a renowned hero on the battlefield.
Players that lose battles and land will find their coffers dwindle and troops go hungry. The end goal? Global domination of course.
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
It Was Just an Accident
Director: Jafar Panahi
Stars: Vahid Mobasseri, Mariam Afshari, Ebrahim Azizi, Hadis Pakbaten, Majid Panahi, Mohamad Ali Elyasmehr
Rating: 4/5
MATCH INFO
Uefa Champions League last-16, second leg:
Real Madrid 1 (Asensio 70'), Ajax 4 (Ziyech 7', Neres 18', Tadic 62', Schone 72')
Ajax win 5-3 on aggregate
The smuggler
Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple.
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.
Khouli conviction
Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.
For sale
A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.
- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico
- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000
- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
The Bio
Favourite holiday destination: Either Kazakhstan or Montenegro. I’ve been involved in events in both countries and they are just stunning.
Favourite book: I am a huge of Robin Cook’s medical thrillers, which I suppose is quite apt right now. My mother introduced me to them back home in New Zealand.
Favourite film or television programme: Forrest Gump is my favourite film, that’s never been up for debate. I love watching repeats of Mash as well.
Inspiration: My late father moulded me into the man I am today. I would also say disappointment and sadness are great motivators. There are times when events have brought me to my knees but it has also made me determined not to let them get the better of me.
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
KILLING OF QASSEM SULEIMANI
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Tearful appearance
Chancellor Rachel Reeves set markets on edge as she appeared visibly distraught in parliament on Wednesday.
Legislative setbacks for the government have blown a new hole in the budgetary calculations at a time when the deficit is stubbornly large and the economy is struggling to grow.
She appeared with Keir Starmer on Thursday and the pair embraced, but he had failed to give her his backing as she cried a day earlier.
A spokesman said her upset demeanour was due to a personal matter.
Gothia Cup 2025
4,872 matches
1,942 teams
116 pitches
76 nations
26 UAE teams
15 Lebanese teams
2 Kuwaiti teams
The specs: 2018 Renault Megane
Price, base / as tested Dh52,900 / Dh59,200
Engine 1.6L in-line four-cylinder
Transmission Continuously variable transmission
Power 115hp @ 5,500rpm
Torque 156Nm @ 4,000rpm
Fuel economy, combined 6.6L / 100km
ESSENTIALS
The flights
Emirates flies from Dubai to Phnom Penh via Yangon from Dh2,700 return including taxes. Cambodia Bayon Airlines and Cambodia Angkor Air offer return flights from Phnom Penh to Siem Reap from Dh250 return including taxes. The flight takes about 45 minutes.
The hotels
Rooms at the Raffles Le Royal in Phnom Penh cost from $225 (Dh826) per night including taxes. Rooms at the Grand Hotel d'Angkor cost from $261 (Dh960) per night including taxes.
The tours
A cyclo architecture tour of Phnom Penh costs from $20 (Dh75) per person for about three hours, with Khmer Architecture Tours. Tailor-made tours of all of Cambodia, or sites like Angkor alone, can be arranged by About Asia Travel. Emirates Holidays also offers packages.
List of officials:
Referees: Chris Broad, David Boon, Jeff Crowe, Andy Pycroft, Ranjan Madugalle and Richie Richardson.
Umpires: Aleem Dar, Kumara Dharmasena, Marais Erasmus, Chris Gaffaney, Ian Gould, Richard Illingworth, Richard Kettleborough, Nigel Llong, Bruce Oxenford, Ruchira Palliyaguruge, Sundaram Ravi, Paul Reiffel, Rod Tucker, Michael Gough, Joel Wilson and Paul Wilson.
Breast cancer in men: the facts
1) Breast cancer is men is rare but can develop rapidly. It usually occurs in those over the ages of 60, but can occasionally affect younger men.
2) Symptoms can include a lump, discharge, swollen glands or a rash.
3) People with a history of cancer in the family can be more susceptible.
4) Treatments include surgery and chemotherapy but early diagnosis is the key.
5) Anyone concerned is urged to contact their doctor
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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Gully Boy
Director: Zoya Akhtar
Producer: Excel Entertainment & Tiger Baby
Cast: Ranveer Singh, Alia Bhatt, Kalki Koechlin, Siddhant Chaturvedi
Rating: 4/5 stars
The Specs:
The Specs:
Engine: 2.9-litre, V6 twin-turbo
Transmission: 8-speed automatic
Power: 444bhp
Torque: 600Nm
Price: AED 356,580 incl VAT
On sale: now.
JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH
Directed by: Shaka King
Starring: Daniel Kaluuya, Lakeith Stanfield, Jesse Plemons
Four stars