Elon Musk, the billionaire founder of Tesla Motors who overtook Jeff Bezos as the world's richest person last month, could see his fortune swell to almost $270 billion if the electric vehicle maker hits a target price of $1,200 per share forecast by a technology analyst, who predicted a surge in the company's shares last year.
Mr Musk, who owns about 20 per cent of the company's 947.9 million shares, is currently worth $194.8bn, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. He also sits on around $42bn of unrealised paper gains on vested stock options, received in 2012 and 2018.
“2020 was a breakout year for Tesla, but in our view, the fireworks aren't over. Even after a 10 times' return over the past 12 months, we don't think investors should be selling this stock,” Alex Potter, a senior research analyst at US investment bank Piper Sadler said in a note to clients.
Tesla's stock closed 5.8 per cent higher at $839.80 per share on Monday. The company's shares have climbed almost 440 per cent in the past 12 months and more than 15 per cent since the start of this year.
Mr Potter, who specialises in transportation technology with a keen focus on EVs and automotive e-commerce, raised his target price on Tesla to $1,200 based on model mapping out the cash flows it expects the company to generate over the next 20 years. The new target is a substantial increase on a previous target of $515 set in September, when the company was trading at about $430 per share.
At $1,200 a share, he is valuing Tesla at about $1.1 trillion. The company's current market capitalisation stands at $796bn.
On Monday, Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas also raised his price target on Tesla to $880 from $810 a share. He pegged this growth on increasing revenue from the company's automotive business and likely gains in its energy arm, which produces storage batteries.
Tesla, which generated about $2.8bn in free cash flow last year, is forecast to have nearly $37bn in free cash flow by 2025.
In an earnings call last week, the California-based company said it aims to deliver more than 750,000 cars this year. However, bullish Piper Sandler analysts expect 894,000 vehicle deliveries in 2021, which they project will increase to more than 9 million units in 2030.
“This level of production would rank Tesla among the top three auto makers globally. More important still, we anticipate a steady ramp in full self-driving software adoption starting in 2030 … this should have a big impact on margins,” Mr Potter said.
Tesla, which joined the S&P 500 index in December, delivered 57,039 Model X and Model S units, about 11 per cent of its total handovers, last year. It sold 442,511 units of the Model 3 and Model Y last year.
“Model S and Model X established Tesla’s brand, but financially, they are growing less relevant,” Mr Potter said.
“By the mid-2030s, the average Tesla should be approaching $30,000. Some models may be priced much lower than this. This reflects a mix shift toward new [cheaper] products, as well as price cuts on existing models.”
Lower average selling prices support the company’s long-term goals.
Tesla’s ASP of vehicles declined nearly 11 per cent in the last quarter, as the company’s product mix continued to shift to the more affordable Model 3 and Model Y.
Among EV manufacturers, Tesla continued to dominate 2019 as market leader. It accounted for 16 per cent of the market, compared with a 12 per cent share in 2018, according to McKinsey’s EV index.
The growing popularity of electric vehicles fuelled a 157 per cent year-on-year increase in fourth quarter profit for Tesla. Net profit rose to $270 million in the three months to December 31.
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MATCH INFO
France 3
Umtiti (8'), Griezmann (29' pen), Dembele (63')
Italy 1
Bonucci (36')
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Living in...
This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.
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Specs
Engine: 51.5kW electric motor
Range: 400km
Power: 134bhp
Torque: 175Nm
Price: From Dh98,800
Available: Now
THE DRAFT
The final phase of player recruitment for the T10 League has taken place, with UAE and Indian players being drafted to each of the eight teams.
Bengal Tigers
UAE players: Chirag Suri, Mohammed Usman
Indian: Zaheer Khan
Karachians
UAE players: Ahmed Raza, Ghulam Shabber
Indian: Pravin Tambe
Kerala Kings
UAE players: Mohammed Naveed, Abdul Shakoor
Indian: RS Sodhi
Maratha Arabians
UAE players: Zahoor Khan, Amir Hayat
Indian: S Badrinath
Northern Warriors
UAE players: Imran Haider, Rahul Bhatia
Indian: Amitoze Singh
Pakhtoons
UAE players: Hafiz Kaleem, Sheer Walli
Indian: RP Singh
Punjabi Legends
UAE players: Shaiman Anwar, Sandy Singh
Indian: Praveen Kumar
Rajputs
UAE players: Rohan Mustafa, Ashfaq Ahmed
Indian: Munaf Patel
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Most sought after workplace benefits in the UAE
- Flexible work arrangements
- Pension support
- Mental well-being assistance
- Insurance coverage for optical, dental, alternative medicine, cancer screening
- Financial well-being incentives
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WHAT IS A BLACK HOLE?
1. Black holes are objects whose gravity is so strong not even light can escape their pull
2. They can be created when massive stars collapse under their own weight
3. Large black holes can also be formed when smaller ones collide and merge
4. The biggest black holes lurk at the centre of many galaxies, including our own
5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed
if you go
The flights
Emirates flies to Delhi with fares starting from around Dh760 return, while Etihad fares cost about Dh783 return. From Delhi, there are connecting flights to Lucknow.
Where to stay
It is advisable to stay in Lucknow and make a day trip to Kannauj. A stay at the Lebua Lucknow hotel, a traditional Lucknowi mansion, is recommended. Prices start from Dh300 per night (excluding taxes).
'The worst thing you can eat'
Trans fat is typically found in fried and baked goods, but you may be consuming more than you think.
Powdered coffee creamer, microwave popcorn and virtually anything processed with a crust is likely to contain it, as this guide from Mayo Clinic outlines:
Baked goods - Most cakes, cookies, pie crusts and crackers contain shortening, which is usually made from partially hydrogenated vegetable oil. Ready-made frosting is another source of trans fat.
Snacks - Potato, corn and tortilla chips often contain trans fat. And while popcorn can be a healthy snack, many types of packaged or microwave popcorn use trans fat to help cook or flavour the popcorn.
Fried food - Foods that require deep frying — french fries, doughnuts and fried chicken — can contain trans fat from the oil used in the cooking process.
Refrigerator dough - Products such as canned biscuits and cinnamon rolls often contain trans fat, as do frozen pizza crusts.
Creamer and margarine - Nondairy coffee creamer and stick margarines also may contain partially hydrogenated vegetable oils.
Zayed Sustainability Prize
We Weren’t Supposed to Survive But We Did
We weren’t supposed to survive but we did.
We weren’t supposed to remember but we did.
We weren’t supposed to write but we did.
We weren’t supposed to fight but we did.
We weren’t supposed to organise but we did.
We weren’t supposed to rap but we did.
We weren’t supposed to find allies but we did.
We weren’t supposed to grow communities but we did.
We weren’t supposed to return but WE ARE.
Amira Sakalla
The specs
Engine: 1.6-litre 4-cyl turbo
Power: 217hp at 5,750rpm
Torque: 300Nm at 1,900rpm
Transmission: eight-speed auto
Price: from Dh130,000
On sale: now
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