Arabtec was the UAE’s big stock story of 2014. Satish Kumar / The National
Arabtec was the UAE’s big stock story of 2014. Satish Kumar / The National

Egypt bourse leads the way in region as Cairo signals economic recovery



The Egyptian stock exchange generated better returns than any other regional bourse in 2014 as the economy entered a new phase of growth spurred by aid from the Arabian Gulf.

Most Middle East stock markets collapsed in December amid a plunge in crude oil, but Egypt is a net oil importer and is set to benefit from the lower prices.

The most populous Arab nation is also on the cusp of an economic comeback. Following years of dismal growth amid political chaos in which the country has had two presidents in as many years, it is now on the path to recovery with the IMF forecasting 3.5 per cent GDP growth next year from 2.2 per cent this year.

Since being elected in May, the president, Abdel Fattah El Sisi, has started to take steps to reduce state expenditure by cutting energy subsidies – huge discounts on petroleum products that have weighed down the government’s finances for decades.

All this has cheered investors who helped boost the value of the EGX30 index by 32 per cent this year. That makes it not only the best performer in the Middle East but the fourth-best performer in the world after indexes in China, Venezuela and Pakistan. But elsewhere in the region, volatility erased many of the gains seen earlier in the year as oil dropped by almost half, heading for its biggest decline since 2008.

“2015 will be the actual implementation of economic reforms in Egypt, the actual announcements by companies investing in the country, when we start to see some of the unemployment numbers come down, and then the economic summit that is due to take place in March,” said Sherif Salem, a portfolio manager at Invest AD, an Abu Dhabi-based asset manager, referring to an investment conference during which it is expected foreign investment will be pledged.

“Providing that everything goes well with the economic changes and improvements, I think we should see a positive return in 2015,” he added.

Elsewhere in the region, the big bourses of the Gulf may have started the year with a bang but they pared those gains as the plummeting value of oil took its toll on the price of listed companies across the region.

The QE Index in Qatar led the gainers in the Gulf, rising 18 per cent. Bahrain followed with 14 per cent. The Dubai Financial Market finished 12 per cent higher, while the Abu Dhabi measure rose 5.5 per cent. However, Saudi Arabia, with the biggest market capitalisation in the Gulf, finished 2.4 per cent lower over the year.

Despite the sharp drops in December, many investors have not written off the region’s prospects.

“I think the UAE has the fiscal buffers, they have accumulated reserves, done the right things in the good days to be weathering this decline in oil revenues quite well,” said John Sfakianakis, the Riyadh-based director for the GCC at Ashmore Group, an emerging market asset manager headquartered in London.

Among the UAE’s listed companies on MSCI’s emerging markets index, the construction company Arabtec stood out as the big stock story of 2014. Markets were sent into free fall when fund managers and retail investors were left in the dark over June following the resignation of Arabtec’s chief executive Hasan Ismaik, and Aabar subsequently boosted its stake in the builder.

Despite the controversy that surrounded the lack of disclosure over the sale of the stake, the stock still returned a gain of almost 43 per cent for the year – the best of the nine UAE companies in the index. That is even after the company’s stock rose as high as Dh7.74 before closing the year at Dh2.93.

Insurers, however, did not fare that well as increased competition among them hurt profit margins, with seven insurers dropping heavily in 2014. The declines for insurers were led by Takaful House and Islamic Arab Insurance in Dubai, which fell 52 per cent and 43 per cent, respectively.

mkassem@thenational.ae

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In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

Last 10 NBA champions

2017: Golden State bt Cleveland 4-1
2016: Cleveland bt Golden State 4-3
2015: Golden State bt Cleveland 4-2
2014: San Antonio bt Miami 4-1
2013: Miami bt San Antonio 4-3
2012: Miami bt Oklahoma City 4-1
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2010: Los Angeles Lakers bt Boston 4-3
2009: Los Angeles Lakers bt Orlando 4-1
2008: Boston bt Los Angeles Lakers 4-2

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The flights

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Defining head lice

Pediculus humanus capitis are tiny wingless insects that feed on blood from the human scalp. The adult head louse is up to 3mm long, has six legs, and is tan to greyish-white in colour. The female lives up to four weeks and, once mature, can lay up to 10 eggs per day. These tiny nits firmly attach to the base of the hair shaft, get incubated by body heat and hatch in eight days or so.

Identifying lice

Lice can be identified by itching or a tickling sensation of something moving within the hair. One can confirm that a person has lice by looking closely through the hair and scalp for nits, nymphs or lice. Head lice are most frequently located behind the ears and near the neckline.

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