A global market rout sent shares tumbling across the region yesterday as Dubai stocks hit a seven-year low and the Egyptian bourse closed at its lowest in more than two and a half years.
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The outbreak of deadly clashes between protesters and police in Egypt added to financial woes on both sides of the Atlantic as fresh doubts emerged about the ability of European and US policymakers to resolve their debt crises.
"We have two big stories at the moment - the ongoing issues in Europe and the deficit reduction in the US and both are driving more risk-off," said Paul Day, the chief strategist and broker at Market Securities in London.
While the euro-zone debt crisis remains a focus of market concerns, attention is expected to increasingly shift this week to the US, where a bipartisan supercommittee is expected to miss a deadline for trimming US$1.2 trillion (Dh4.4tn) from government spending over the next decade.
The Dubai Financial Market General Index dropped 0.8 per cent to 1,355.18 points, a level not seen since June 2004. In Egypt the EGX 30 fell 4 per cent to its lowest close since March 2009 as thousands of protesters poured into Tahrir Square in the third day of violence.
Yesterday, in a further sign of how the European troubles are increasingly risking infecting the euro zone's core, Moody's warned rising debt yields in France and slowing growth on the continent could harm its ratings outlook.
In Germany, the central bank lowered the country's growth forecast.
Economic output would expand by between 0.5 per cent and 1 per cent next year, the Bundesbank said. The forecast was down from its prediction in June of 1.8 per cent.
The Stoxx Europe 600 was down 2.4 per cent to 226.54 points during afternoon trading.
Earlier in the day, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.4 per cent.
Global stocks as measured by MSCI have lost more than 10 per cent of their value this year.
In the euro zone, fresh evidence of the strain the debt troubles were causing emerged in the bond markets.
Yields widened on Spanish bonds to 6.56 per cent as the country shared the spotlight in the turmoil. It became the third economy after Greece and Italy to experience a change of government in recent weeks after the conservative opposition swept to power in elections on Sunday.
Borrowing costs are beginning to surge for even highly rated countries such as Holland and France, as investors flock to established havens. The move is sending yields on benchmark US and German bonds down by several basis points.
The US Dollar Index was up 0.5 per cent. In contrast, the euro depreciated 0.6 per cent to $1.3446.
In a sign of how serious the euro-zone crisis has become, the European Commission is this week likely to issue a proposal for the joint issue of bonds among the currency's 17 governments. The plan to stem the troubles suggests the euro zone use its collective strength in bond markets to replace some or all of the fundraising being done by individual governments.
But the notion of joint debt issues is far-fetched as Germany, the euro zone's economic heavyweight, remains opposed to the idea, say analysts.
Although Europe has remained the main cause of global economic worry in recent months, the US will probably return this week to the forefront of investors' concerns.
The US bipartisan deficit-reduction supercommittee was expected to announce yesterday it had failed to meet its deadline to find $1.2tn in budget cuts over the next 10 years.
Anxieties are rising that a lack of agreement is likely to lead to similar political gridlock that caused global stocks to tank and drove the country to the brink of a historic debt default in August.
tarnold@thenational.ae
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All you need to know about Formula E in Saudi Arabia
What The Saudia Ad Diriyah E-Prix
When Saturday
Where Diriyah in Saudi Arabia
What time Qualifying takes place from 11.50am UAE time through until the Super Pole session, which is due to end at 12.55pm. The race, which will last for 45 minutes, starts at 4.05pm.
Who is competing There are 22 drivers, from 11 teams, on the grid, with each vehicle run solely on electronic power.
Feeding the thousands for iftar
Six industrial scale vats of 500litres each are used to cook the kanji or broth
Each vat contains kanji or porridge to feed 1,000 people
The rice porridge is poured into a 500ml plastic box
350 plastic tubs are placed in one container trolley
Each aluminium container trolley weighing 300kg is unloaded by a small crane fitted on a truck
Skewed figures
In the village of Mevagissey in southwest England the housing stock has doubled in the last century while the number of residents is half the historic high. The village's Neighbourhood Development Plan states that 26% of homes are holiday retreats. Prices are high, averaging around £300,000, £50,000 more than the Cornish average of £250,000. The local average wage is £15,458.
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Fight card
Preliminaries:
Nouredine Samir (UAE) v Sheroz Kholmirzav (UZB); Lucas Porst (SWE) v Ellis Barboza (GBR); Mouhmad Amine Alharar (MAR) v Mohammed Mardi (UAE); Ibrahim Bilal (UAE) v Spyro Besiri (GRE); Aslamjan Ortikov (UZB) v Joshua Ridgwell (GBR)
Main card:
Carlos Prates (BRA) v Dmitry Valent (BLR); Bobirjon Tagiev (UZB) v Valentin Thibaut (FRA); Arthur Meyer (FRA) v Hicham Moujtahid (BEL); Ines Es Salehy (BEL) v Myriame Djedidi (FRA); Craig Coakley (IRE) v Deniz Demirkapu (TUR); Artem Avanesov (ARM) v Badreddine Attif (MAR); Abdulvosid Buranov (RUS) v Akram Hamidi (FRA)
Title card:
Intercontinental Lightweight: Ilyass Habibali (UAE) v Angel Marquez (ESP)
Intercontinental Middleweight: Amine El Moatassime (UAE) v Francesco Iadanza (ITA)
Asian Featherweight: Zakaria El Jamari (UAE) v Phillip Delarmino (PHI)
Real estate tokenisation project
Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.
The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.
Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.
The White Lotus: Season three
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The specs
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Coal Black Mornings
Brett Anderson
Little Brown Book Group
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”