An investor looks at a stock information board in Shanghai. The overall emerging market capital flows in April were supported by $4.8bn going to China's debt and $13.5bn to Chinese equities portfolios. Reuters
An investor looks at a stock information board in Shanghai. The overall emerging market capital flows in April were supported by $4.8bn going to China's debt and $13.5bn to Chinese equities portfolios. Reuters
An investor looks at a stock information board in Shanghai. The overall emerging market capital flows in April were supported by $4.8bn going to China's debt and $13.5bn to Chinese equities portfolios. Reuters
An investor looks at a stock information board in Shanghai. The overall emerging market capital flows in April were supported by $4.8bn going to China's debt and $13.5bn to Chinese equities portfolios

Capital flows to emerging markets climb in April on higher debt investments, IIF says


Sarmad Khan
  • English
  • Arabic

Emerging market securities attracted capital flows of $45.5 billion in April, a significant recovery from the March level of $10.1bn, buoyed by a rise in debt flows, according to the Institute of International Finance.

Debt flows to emerging market portfolios climbed to $26.4bn, excluding  China, while equity flows minus China showed only marginal gains in April, rising to $700 million, the IIF said in a report on Tuesday.

The overall flows in April were helped by a rise in China flows, with $4.8bn going to debt and $13.5bn to Chinese equities portfolios.

“The recovery in EM flows during April was mainly supported by debt flows … [as] a more-supportive environment for active risk is fuelling the rebound in emerging market local debt, and helping total returns recover,” the IIF said.

“Emerging market bond yields are on the rise, yet inflation may prove transitory, and real rates are high versus developed market peers.”

Lower volatility in emerging market currencies also encouraged foreign creditors to invest in countries offering steep yield curves. The real yield in these markets is a draw for creditors to venture offshore “in pursuit of higher inflation-adjusted returns”, the IIF said.

Capital flows to emerging markets portfolios are slowly recovering after a sharp drop in 2020, as global markets were rattled by the coronavirus pandemic. Emerging Market portfolios attracted $313bn in investment inflows last year, a 13 per cent year-on-year decline.

Uncertainty in Turkey, however, is weighing down on the outlook of emerging markets. There are also questions around twin deficits in the wake of Covid-19 and a lack of growth in the run-up to 2020.

“Our view is that contagion risk is less severe than during the emerging market sell-off in 2018 or during the 2013 taper tantrum. Positioning is less stretched and likely to be less vulnerable to shocks,” the IIF said.

Real exchange rates have not risen to the same extent they did during the taper tantrum – the global reactionary panic that triggered a spike in US Treasury yields after investors learned of the Federal Reserve’s plans to put the brakes on its quantitative easing programme. This makes for “more of a favourable FX valuation picture”.

In terms of regional capital flows, IIF data showed positive growth across the board.

Emerging Asian markets were the top performer, with debt inflows of $15.2bn and equities at $5.6bn. Latin America received inflows of $5.5bn and $7.8bn for equity and debt, respectively, while emerging Europe and Africa and Middle East regions accounted for combined $11.3bn inflows.

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UNSC Elections 2022-23

Seats open:

  • Two for Africa Group
  • One for Asia-Pacific Group (traditionally Arab state or Tunisia)
  • One for Latin America and Caribbean Group
  • One for Eastern Europe Group

Countries so far running: 

  • UAE
  • Albania 
  • Brazil 
Bangladesh tour of Pakistan

January 24 – First T20, Lahore

January 25 – Second T20, Lahore

January 27 – Third T20, Lahore

February 7-11 – First Test, Rawalpindi

April 3 – One-off ODI, Karachi

April 5-9 – Second Test, Karachi

Keane on …

Liverpool’s Uefa Champions League bid: “They’re great. With the attacking force they have, for me, they’re certainly one of the favourites. You look at the teams left in it - they’re capable of scoring against anybody at any given time. Defensively they’ve been good, so I don’t see any reason why they couldn’t go on and win it.”

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Global state-owned investor ranking by size

1.

United States

2.

China

3.

UAE

4.

Japan

5

Norway

6.

Canada

7.

Singapore

8.

Australia

9.

Saudi Arabia

10.

South Korea

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Retail gloom

Online grocer Ocado revealed retail sales fell 5.7 per cen in its first quarter as customers switched back to pre-pandemic shopping patterns.

It was a tough comparison from a year earlier, when the UK was in lockdown, but on a two-year basis its retail division, a joint venture with Marks&Spencer, rose 31.7 per cent over the quarter.

The group added that a 15 per cent drop in customer basket size offset an 11.6. per cent rise in the number of customer transactions.

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
 
Started: 2021
 
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
 
Based: Tunisia 
 
Sector: Water technology 
 
Number of staff: 22 
 
Investment raised: $4 million 
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While you're here
Scores

Wales 74-24 Tonga
England 35-15 Japan
Italy 7-26 Australia

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Profile

Company name: Jaib

Started: January 2018

Co-founders: Fouad Jeryes and Sinan Taifour

Based: Jordan

Sector: FinTech

Total transactions: over $800,000 since January, 2018

Investors in Jaib's mother company Alpha Apps: Aramex and 500 Startups

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets