Brexit uncertainty has made the UK an increasingly attractive market to Emirati investors. Dan Kitwood / Getty Images
Brexit uncertainty has made the UK an increasingly attractive market to Emirati investors. Dan Kitwood / Getty Images
Brexit uncertainty has made the UK an increasingly attractive market to Emirati investors. Dan Kitwood / Getty Images
Brexit uncertainty has made the UK an increasingly attractive market to Emirati investors. Dan Kitwood / Getty Images

Brexit makes UK more attractive to UAE investors, senior finance academic says


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The uncertainty around Britain’s future relationship with the EU makes the country increasingly fertile ground for Emirati investors, a senior academic at London’s Cass Business School said.

''The UK saw a strong rise in inward investment by UAE banks in the first quarter of 2019, rising over 23 per cent year on year, reaching Dh61 billion ($16.6bn)," Prof Stephen Thomas, associate dean of Cass MBA programmes in Dubai and London, told The National.

"This was the fastest growing market for UAE lenders.

"The ongoing uncertainty around Britain's relationship with the EU has kept downward pressure on the dirham-pound exchange rate, making UK investments increasingly attractive to Emirati investors."

Britain is due to leave the bloc on October 31, but it is still unclear whether it will be leaving with a deal, without a deal or if it will extend the deadline.

"Regional tensions around the Gulf also reinforce the allure of the UK as a desirable destination," Prof Thomas said.

He said that Britain and the UAE's long diplomatic, cultural and business links would further encourage the UK as it sought new post-Brexit trade deals.

Prof Thomas said that GCC countries “are in prime position to benefit from these developments".

Real estate is one UK market in which Middle East investors still have a strong presence, despite concerns about Brexit and how it would affect property.

In September, it was revealed that two thirds of the capital tracked from GCC countries was in Britain’s property sector.

In April, then-British trade secretary Liam Fox called the UAE a “natural home for British business in the Middle East”.

Mr Fox made his comments at the fifth UK-UAE Joint Economic Committee meeting in London.

“The UAE is one of our most important trading partners," he said. "it is our fourth largest export market outside of Europe and accounted for £10.5bn of UK exports in 2018.

"The importance of this market to the UK will only grow as we leave the EU."

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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