Veteran tech investor Jack Selby has warned there is still a mounting wall of worry about tech, and it would only take a few cracks to break the bubble.
Just a few months ago, he warned of the risk of the incineration of cash investments in the tech world. He doubled down on that as he joined me at the Bloomberg New Economy Forum in Singapore.
Mr Selby, managing partner at US-based venture capital firm AZ-VC, was in the country just a few months ago and issued a warning about the risks of investments in the tech and artificial intelligence space. He said it was only a matter of time before we tipped over.
It is now a question of what the catalyst will be to bring this irritation, as it were, to a conclusion. Nothing specific will tip us over the edge. There is not going to be one specific cataclysmic event that will cause it to implode, Mr Selby said.
He added that the warnings of a tech bubble have now become consensus.
"Imagine if there was another DeepSeek moment today, so another company that maybe comes out of China that no one previously had ever heard of, how much market cap do you think would get wiped out today? I would argue it would be much more than half a trillion dollars," Mr Selby said. "So maybe it's a trillion dollars, maybe it's a trillion and a half dollars. Whatever that number is, it's quite large."
The Nvidia results help steady the ship, giving everybody a little bit of breathing space and a moment to reflect on where they are. But Mr Selby is wary of the avalanche of deals from OpenAI and he questioned how much of them are actually legally binding or letters of intent.
He also said debt will be the nemesis. He has concerns of a mounting level of debt in these high-end tech and AI companies.
"I think there's even more fragility sitting here today because there's an awareness that we might be in this bubble," Mr Selby said. "And so there's a mounting wall of worry, it seems like, around this topic. It only takes a few cracks potentially to bring this to some sort of conclusion."
The specs
Price, base / as tested Dh1,100,000 (est)
Engine 5.2-litre V10
Gearbox seven-speed dual clutch
Power 630bhp @ 8,000rpm
Torque 600Nm @ 6,500rpm
Fuel economy, combined 15.7L / 100km (est)Â
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UAE - India ties
The UAE is India’s third-largest trade partner after the US and China
Annual bilateral trade between India and the UAE has crossed US$ 60 billion
The UAE is the fourth-largest exporter of crude oil for India
Indians comprise the largest community with 3.3 million residents in the UAE
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi first visited the UAE in August 2015
His visit on August 23-24 will be the third in four years
Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi and Deputy Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces, visited India in February 2016
Sheikh Mohamed was the chief guest at India’s Republic Day celebrations in January 2017
Modi will visit Bahrain on August 24-25
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