Some in the real estate sector warn the plan will have a dramatic effect on housing market, with higher costs deterring developers from building affordable housing. AFP
Some in the real estate sector warn the plan will have a dramatic effect on housing market, with higher costs deterring developers from building affordable housing. AFP

Land reform comes at a high price



Arun Varman is a hotel manager from Mumbai who scrimped and saved for a decade to try to make his dream of buying a flat in the suburbs a reality.

But now he is not sure that will ever happen. "I had hoped a deposit of 2 lakh [Dh14,695] would have been enough to buy a two-bedroom place but if house prices rise more than 20 per cent, I will not be able to afford to buy a place at all."

His fears may not unfounded. Many first-time buyers will face difficulties in getting their feet on the property ladder if the country's land acquisition, rehabilitation and resettlement bill becomes law say some commentators, who fear it will cause house prices to soar.

At the heart of the bill is a compensation package, the central aim of which is to protect landowners who could become displaced as India's emerging economy moves to modernise by creating new towns, cities and roads.

Landowners subject to compulsory purchases by the government would be entitled to a new house, relocation costs, employment for one family member, 2,000 rupees per month for 20 years and 20 per cent of capital gains, every time the land is sold within 10 years.

Plus their land will be be compulsorarily purchased at a premium, twice the market rate for urban areas and at least four times the market rate in the countryside.

However, private deals between willing parties will also be subject to the compensation package. Any private developer wishing to buy 50 acres of urban land or 100 acres of rural land from a willing seller will also have cover the cost of the 'rehabilitation and resettlement' package.

The Indian government hopes this new, more transparent bill - which replaces the current law drawn up by the British more than 100 year ago - will give landowners a fairer deal, whether they want to sell or not.

But some in the real estate sector warn it will have a dramatic effect on housing market, with higher costs deterring developers from building affordable housing.

Pankaj Bajaj, the president of the Confederation of Real Estate Developers' Associations of India, said there is aready a shortage of urban land for large housing projects, the mainstay of new buyers and young families, he says.

"It [the bill] will lead to a drastic dwindling of the supply of urbanisable land," Mr Bajaj says. "The rehabilitation and resettlement benefits, which suggest giving 20 per cent of the developed land back to the landowner, will increase the cost of land needed for township projects by as much as 60 per cent, taking housing out of the affordability range of middle-class buyers."

A report by the investment bank Nomura backs Mr Bajaj's argument. "Under the proposed set of rehabilitation and resettlement guidelines, the developers' cost of acquiring land greater than 100 acres [40 hectares] is likely to increase by 25 to 35 per cent, depending on current costs," the report says.

It's not just new buyers who are jittery, existing home owners fear price increases too.

Deepali Joshi has a young family in the leafy suburb of Khar in Mumbai. Her husband runs an exporting business and the family had hoped to move into a bigger home because their current apartment is too cramped. but a drastic change in the market could put their next step up out of reach.

"Look at the prices - everything is going up. Soon only the very rich can afford to live here, and we have to move and up sticks to be able to afford to live," she says.

The Joshis are not alone. Critics say the legislation will widen the gap between the rich and poor. "The land price hike will result either in super premium housing for the rich or unauthorised slum housing for those who can not afford to buy," says Mr Bajaj.

"The recent transactions in acquiring land for projects are a fair representation of the correct market price, as they have been determined by free market forces without any statutory or exploitative pressure," says Mr Bajaj. "The new rules will make land assembly for urbanisation impossible as all landowners will hold on to their lands in the hope of getting double the market price at a later date."

It is easy to see why politicians have been forced to look at the issue of land deals. According to the latest census figures more than 50 per cent of the country's population - or about 600 million people - get their livelihood from the land and the government has come under pressure to protect their rights amid the moves to expand the economy,

By doing so officials also hope that they can in fact boost agricultural output, stemming a tide of falling production figures. The contribution of agriculture to the economy's GDP has been steadily dropping since the 1950s. Today about 18.5 per cent of India's GDP is derived from the agriculture sector which is disorganised and impoverished.

Harsh Mander, a member of the National Advisory Council and a key member of the team who drafted the proposal, says the time is right for farmers to get a better deal.

"The original, ancient law was without any interest for the landowners," he says. "It is time to make the issue more transparent and prevent the devastation of the land and stop impoverishing the landowners because undervalued sales deals have been going on for too long.

"India is a democratic country, and we should do things openly."

However, industry observers fear the bill saying it could hurt corporate growth. To build factories and production facilities, India currently utilises only 3 to 4 per cent of all land, but to facilitate growth targets, industry estimates put the need at about 15 per cent. But the new bill, businesses say, will mean buying land will become too costly and as a result the country's long-term economic growth could be jeopardised because the manufacturing sector will be hit by costlier land deals.

"How can the country's largely young population get employed unless manufacturing contributes considerably more to the economy? There are 13 million new entrants to the workforce annually which need to be placed by the manufacturing sector, says Rajiv Kumar from the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry.

"The service sector alone cannot facilitate this amount of people."

Developers fear the bill will increase the threat of litigation as a lack of legal documents establishing ownership is a major hurdle and constitutes a potential source of friction. For instance the proposed construction of Navi Mumbai international airport has ground to a halt because of landowners demanding higher compensation. And a Tata Motors battle in Singur, West Bengal, over land acquisition issues has been drawn out in the courts for years.

For highway developers,land acquisition is a major concern and some fear the proposed legislation will delay projects. The bill has proposed a blanket ban on the acquisition of arable land where a variety of crops can be grown together. But many say such a rule is impractical, especially in the north of India where much of the land falls into this category.

"All lands in these cities are multi-cropped and these are also the cities with the highest trends of urbanisation and population growth," says Mr Kumar. "These trends cannot be contained by imposing a ban. Cities are engines of economic growth and urbanisation cannot be banned."

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Fourth Arab Economic and Social Development Summit

As he spoke, Mr Aboul Gheit repeatedly referred to the need to tackle issues affecting the welfare of people across the region both in terms of preventing conflict and in pushing development.
Lebanon is scheduled to host the fourth Arab Economic and Social Development Summit in January that will see regional leaders gather to tackle the challenges facing the Middle East. The last such summit was held in 2013. Assistant Secretary-General Hossam Zaki told The National that the Beirut Summit “will be an opportunity for Arab leaders to discuss solely economic and social issues, the conference will not focus on political concerns such as Palestine, Syria or Libya". He added that its slogan will be “the individual is at the heart of development”, adding that it will focus on all elements of human capital.

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COMPANY PROFILE

Name: Lamsa

Founder: Badr Ward

Launched: 2014

Employees: 60

Based: Abu Dhabi

Sector: EdTech

Funding to date: $15 million

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Dr Afridi's warning signs of digital addiction

Spending an excessive amount of time on the phone.

Neglecting personal, social, or academic responsibilities.

Losing interest in other activities or hobbies that were once enjoyed.

Having withdrawal symptoms like feeling anxious, restless, or upset when the technology is not available.

Experiencing sleep disturbances or changes in sleep patterns.

What are the guidelines?

Under 18 months: Avoid screen time altogether, except for video chatting with family.

Aged 18-24 months: If screens are introduced, it should be high-quality content watched with a caregiver to help the child understand what they are seeing.

Aged 2-5 years: Limit to one-hour per day of high-quality programming, with co-viewing whenever possible.

Aged 6-12 years: Set consistent limits on screen time to ensure it does not interfere with sleep, physical activity, or social interactions.

Teenagers: Encourage a balanced approach – screens should not replace sleep, exercise, or face-to-face socialisation.

Source: American Paediatric Association
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Name: Tharb

Started: December 2016

Founder: Eisa Alsubousi

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Favourite place to travel to: Any walkable city. I also love nature and wildlife 

What do you love eating or cooking: I’m constantly in the kitchen. Ever since I changed the way I eat I enjoy choosing and creating what goes into my body. However, nothing can top home cooked food from my parents. 

Favorite place to go in the UAE: A quiet beach.

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Dh3.7 million

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The number, in kilograms, that Swarovski’s wedding gown weighed.

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The hours it took to create Cinco’s vermillion petal gown, as seen in his atelier [note, is the one he’s playing with in the corner of a room]

50

How many looks Cinco has created in a new collection to celebrate Ballet Philippines’ 50th birthday

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The hours needed to create the butterfly gown worn by Aishwarya Rai to the 2018 Cannes Film Festival.

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The number of followers that Michael Cinco’s Instagram account has garnered.

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At a glance

Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.

 

Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year

 

Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month

 

Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30 

 

Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse

 

Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth

 

Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances