The euro-zone crisis may have clouded investors' visibility with negativity but the continent still offers attractive corporate investment opportunities if identified by the right sourcing and screening process with a view to long-term investment.
In advance of considering corporate investing in Europe, one must consider the dynamics affecting three key participants today - sovereigns, banks and private equity.
The euro zone became the focal point of the global financial crisis when some of its member states required foreign assistance to refinance their debts.
The euro-zone constitutes both the debtors and lenders. More than 60 per cent of the exposure to peripherals (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain) is owned by France, Germany and the United Kingdom; and just under 90 per cent of this total exposure is owned by all of Europe - so this is a European issue to solve and not one that is easily separable from the continent as a whole.
Solutions to improve the financial condition of the euro zone are difficult to implement; and virtually all proposed put pressure on GDP or put further strains on balance sheets in the near and medium term. Those in debt can address it by: increasing receipts/taxes tied to GDP; austerity measures, sale of assets (privatisations) or by assuming further leverage. Indebted peripheral countries can only push so hard before social unrest threatens their economic programmes.
Europe's ability to resolve the crisis is complicated by having so many parties at the decision-making table. While there are talented people continuing to work on solutions, sovereign dynamics should create sustained downward pressure on the euro-zone economy - an important factor when thinking of corporate investing.
Banks also play a leading role in the corporate investing dynamics. In an effort to decrease the chances of another crisis such as 2008, Basel III was created requiring increased capital requirements. To achieve this, banks must do one (or more) of the following: sell assets; raise equity (this is unlikely given the difficult economic conditions currently); generate income (this is most unlikely to contribute adequately in near term); and/or tighten financing standards.
One should expect disposition of assets and tightening of financing standards will continue for the foreseeable future.
These will continue to put downward pressure on GDP in Europe making it more difficult to find companies with adequately attractive projected growth for corporate investing.
However, since default rates correlate to tightening of financing standards, there should be arising number of opportunities as companies seek alternatives to the lack of available refinancing.
To more completely understand the dynamics affecting the environment for corporate investing, one must also assess the asset flows of private-equity (PE) participants. PE firms' dry powder (uninvested capital) is at 90 per cent of their all-time highs.
This is because 2006 to 2008 were huge fund-raising years and PE firms were not able to deploy as usual due to the lack of financing in the market. PE-backed deal volumes decreased since the crisis.
Over the past year, Europe has experienced a 50 per cent-plus decline in deal volume to US$12 billion (Dh44.08bn). A record number (1,800 plus) of funds are attempting to raise almost $1 trillion.
Capital committed to investment in corporations in Europe typically has five years to invest. Therefore, there should be willingness to deploy of capital over the next three years. This factor demands caution over the next couple years.
However, if the current conditions continue, it would be difficult to imagine market dynamics changing to facilitate deployment. This, in part, is why so many entities are raising funds now as their deployment performance is unlikely to materially change in the near term.
It is also difficult to see how it is possible to raise such amounts. A potential counter to this is that relatively attractive PE returns may create allocation shifts to the asset class as investors seek returns.
However, if that does not happen, we may well see a reduction in the number of PE participants. This means corporate investing is likely to get advantaged with time.
Interestingly, a high-level comparison between the economies of Europe and the United States shows the European Union is a $17tn economy, slightly larger than the US with $15tn. Additionally, the US is arguably experiencing the slowest economic recovery in more than 50 years of recessions based on cumulative GDP growth and job creation.
While one may invest predicated upon the continuing fall or near-term rebound of the euro zone, we believe it is more prudent to invest on opportunities without requiring such risk.
There are a range of specific, targeted strategies including: recession-advantaged industry segments; and companies domiciled in Europe without dependence on the European economy.
In the UK, there are a number of very high-quality participants in highly fragmented sectors of the education space that are well positioned to capitalise on strong international appetite.
This creates both organic and add-on acquisition growth possibilities. There are also a number of participants that benefit from well established and advanced technology or processes but whose principal markets are outside Europe.
Europe is the largest economy in the world with a strong and reliable framework for investors. It has stood the test of time and will continue to do so.
Corporate investing has slowed to a trickle yet the timing is right with an understanding of the market and asset class dynamics, thoughtfulness in sourcing and discipline in assessing opportunities.
While corporate investing in Europe can be interesting in this environment, many factors indicate it will get more attractive.
Scott Freidheim is the chief executive of Europe for Investcorp
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A MINECRAFT MOVIE
Director: Jared Hess
Starring: Jack Black, Jennifer Coolidge, Jason Momoa
Rating: 3/5
French Touch
Carla Bruni
(Verve)
Armies of Sand
By Kenneth Pollack (Oxford University Press)
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Company Profile:
Name: The Protein Bakeshop
Date of start: 2013
Founders: Rashi Chowdhary and Saad Umerani
Based: Dubai
Size, number of employees: 12
Funding/investors: $400,000 (2018)
Singham Again
Director: Rohit Shetty
Stars: Ajay Devgn, Kareena Kapoor Khan, Ranveer Singh, Akshay Kumar, Tiger Shroff, Deepika Padukone
Rating: 3/5
Notable cricketers and political careers
- India: Kirti Azad, Navjot Sidhu and Gautam Gambhir (rumoured)
- Pakistan: Imran Khan and Shahid Afridi (rumoured)
- Sri Lanka: Arjuna Ranatunga, Sanath Jayasuriya, Tillakaratne Dilshan (rumoured)
- Bangladesh (Mashrafe Mortaza)
SHAITTAN
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The biog
Family: He is the youngest of five brothers, of whom two are dentists.
Celebrities he worked on: Fabio Canavaro, Lojain Omran, RedOne, Saber Al Rabai.
Where he works: Liberty Dental Clinic
Paatal Lok season two
Directors: Avinash Arun, Prosit Roy
Stars: Jaideep Ahlawat, Ishwak Singh, Lc Sekhose, Merenla Imsong
Rating: 4.5/5
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
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THE BIO
Bio Box
Role Model: Sheikh Zayed, God bless his soul
Favorite book: Zayed Biography of the leader
Favorite quote: To be or not to be, that is the question, from William Shakespeare's Hamlet
Favorite food: seafood
Favorite place to travel: Lebanon
Favorite movie: Braveheart
PROFILE OF SWVL
Started: April 2017
Founders: Mostafa Kandil, Ahmed Sabbah and Mahmoud Nouh
Based: Cairo, Egypt
Sector: transport
Size: 450 employees
Investment: approximately $80 million
Investors include: Dubai’s Beco Capital, US’s Endeavor Catalyst, China’s MSA, Egypt’s Sawari Ventures, Sweden’s Vostok New Ventures, Property Finder CEO Michael Lahyani
MWTC
Tickets start from Dh100 for adults and are now on sale at www.ticketmaster.ae and Virgin Megastores across the UAE. Three-day and travel packages are also available at 20 per cent discount.
Specs
Engine: Dual-motor all-wheel-drive electric
Range: Up to 610km
Power: 905hp
Torque: 985Nm
Price: From Dh439,000
Available: Now
Indoor Cricket World Cup - Sept 16-20, Insportz, Dubai
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The specs: 2018 Harley-Davidson Fat Boy
Price, base / as tested Dh97,600
Engine 1,745cc Milwaukee-Eight v-twin engine
Transmission Six-speed gearbox
Power 78hp @ 5,250rpm
Torque 145Nm @ 3,000rpm
Fuel economy, combined 5.0L / 100km (estimate)
The Outsider
Stephen King, Penguin
Frankenstein in Baghdad
Ahmed Saadawi
Penguin Press
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RESULTS
6.30pm: Longines Conquest Classic Dh150,000 Maiden 1,200m.
Winner: Halima Hatun, Antonio Fresu (jockey), Ismail Mohammed (trainer).
7.05pm: Longines Gents La Grande Classique Dh155,000 Handicap 1,200m.
Winner: Moosir, Dane O’Neill, Doug Watson.
7.40pm: Longines Equestrian Collection Dh150,000 Maiden 1,600m.
Winner: Mazeed, Richard Mullen, Satish Seemar.
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Winner: Thegreatcollection, Pat Dobbs, Doug Watson.
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Winner: Cosmo Charlie, Pat Dobbs, Doug Watson.
9.25pm: Longines Ladies La Grande Classique Dh155,000 Handicap 1,600m.
Winner: Secret Trade, Tadhg O’Shea, Ali Rashid Al Raihe.
10pm: Longines Moon Phase Master Collection Dh170,000 Handicap 2,000m.
Winner:
Match info
Premier League
Manchester United 2 (Martial 30', Lingard 69')
Arsenal 2 (Mustafi 26', Rojo 68' OG)
About Krews
Founder: Ahmed Al Qubaisi
Based: Abu Dhabi
Founded: January 2019
Number of employees: 10
Sector: Technology/Social media
Funding to date: Estimated $300,000 from Hub71 in-kind support
Skewed figures
In the village of Mevagissey in southwest England the housing stock has doubled in the last century while the number of residents is half the historic high. The village's Neighbourhood Development Plan states that 26% of homes are holiday retreats. Prices are high, averaging around £300,000, £50,000 more than the Cornish average of £250,000. The local average wage is £15,458.
HWJN
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The full list of 2020 Brit Award nominees (winners in bold):
British group
Coldplay
Foals
Bring me the Horizon
D-Block Europe
Bastille
British Female
Mabel
Freya Ridings
FKA Twigs
Charli xcx
Mahalia
British male
Harry Styles
Lewis Capaldi
Dave
Michael Kiwanuka
Stormzy
Best new artist
Aitch
Lewis Capaldi
Dave
Mabel
Sam Fender
Best song
Ed Sheeran and Justin Bieber - I Don’t Care
Mabel - Don’t Call Me Up
Calvin Harrison and Rag’n’Bone Man - Giant
Dave - Location
Mark Ronson feat. Miley Cyrus - Nothing Breaks Like A Heart
AJ Tracey - Ladbroke Grove
Lewis Capaldi - Someone you Loved
Tom Walker - Just You and I
Sam Smith and Normani - Dancing with a Stranger
Stormzy - Vossi Bop
International female
Ariana Grande
Billie Eilish
Camila Cabello
Lana Del Rey
Lizzo
International male
Bruce Springsteen
Burna Boy
Tyler, The Creator
Dermot Kennedy
Post Malone
Best album
Stormzy - Heavy is the Head
Michael Kiwanuka - Kiwanuka
Lewis Capaldi - Divinely Uninspired to a Hellish Extent
Dave - Psychodrama
Harry Styles - Fine Line
Rising star
Celeste
Joy Crookes
beabadoobee
Brief scores:
Day 2
England: 277 & 19-0
West Indies: 154
The specs
Engine: 4.0-litre flat-six
Torque: 450Nm at 6,100rpm
Transmission: 7-speed PDK auto or 6-speed manual
Fuel economy, combined: 13.8L/100km
On sale: Available to order now
The specs
Engine: 6.2-litre V8
Power: 502hp at 7,600rpm
Torque: 637Nm at 5,150rpm
Transmission: 8-speed dual-clutch auto
Price: from Dh317,671
On sale: now