India's government should embrace the infatuation with gold



The World Gold Council struck a deal with India Post back in May to allow the world's biggest postal service to sell Swiss-made gold coins of varying sizes and of 99.9 per cent purity at a 7 per cent discount to the normal retail price.
Pure gold on sale at the post office next to the stamps, the envelopes, the money orders and the postcards.
Most of the 600 or so post offices involved in the first, trial sale of discount gold sold out almost immediately, so it is being expanded to include more of the remaining 155,000 or so offices across the subcontinent.
At the same time the Indian government was engaged in an unprecedented taxation programme to try to stop the import of gold.
The taxes have been levied and increased all year with the most recent duty rising to 10 per cent on all gold imports just two weeks ago. At the same time, less than three months after striking the deal with the World Gold Council, India banned the import of gold coins.
This somewhat schizophrenic approach by two branches of the same government illustrates perfectly the country's peculiar relationship with gold.
Indians cannot get enough of it. It is the country's second biggest import after oil. There are multiple religious festivals devoted to the yellow metal and it is the country's favourite means of storing wealth used by everyone from the richest billionaire in Bangalore to the poorest farmer's wife in Uttar Pradesh.
Demand for gold bars and coins surged by more than 115 per cent in the second quarter of this year to 122 tonnes, far above the global increase of 78 per cent in the same period.
According to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the country is the largest gold importer in the world with about US$56 billion worth of the yellow metal coming across borders during the 2011-2012 fiscal year.
On top of that there are about 400 tonnes of scrap gold entering the Indian market every year, worth another $17bn or so at today's prices.
Yet the import of such huge quantities of gold needed to sate India's huge appetite for it, and the inability of the Indian government to properly regulate those imports, has contributed to a record current account deficit that has in turn led to a generational depreciation of the rupee.
India imports far more than it exports - largely because it imports more than 80 per cent of its oil and gas needs and all that gold.
India's current account deficit is at around 4.9 per cent of GDP this year. At $98bn it is third in the world in absolute numbers behind the US with $473bn and the UK with $106bn.
Among emerging economies, India has by far the biggest deficit. Brazil is in second place with $58b at 2.4 per cent of GDP and Indonesia in third with $31bn at 3.3 per cent.
Taxing the import of gold as a key policy in the effort to improve the deficit, meanwhile, has done nothing of the sort.
Arguably, in fact, it has made the problem worse by driving even more capital out of the official banking system into the black economy as more Indians seek to invest in trusty gold through foreign or illegal means as the real economy worsens.
Instead, India should embrace the country's infatuation with gold and bring all those tonnes and tonnes of precious metal that currently reside outside the economy into the fold as currency.
India holds about 20,000 tonnes of gold, according to the World Gold Council - worth close to a trillion dollars at today's prices. Only 558 tonnes is officially held by the Reserve Bank of India, though.
Many veterans of the gold market, including Jeff Rhodes of Kaloti Group, have suggested India establish an official bullion banking system to allow all of that shiny yellow metal recognised as currency alongside the rupee.
Such a move could solve the currency and deficit crisis overnight.
Indeed, the RBI recognises this and has been suggesting the same since 1992.
The plans for a Bullion Corporation of India to perform this role were revived in a discussion paper published earlier this year by the RBI but nothing has been done since.
Gold is a crucial element of the Indian psyche. It is ludicrous that it has become the source of so much economic hardship where with a small change of policy it could become the saviour it ought to be.
Indians have put their faith in gold for thousands of years. It is time their government followed suit.
 
jdoran@thenational.ae

RESULTS

5pm: Wathba Stallions Cup – Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (Turf) 2,200m
Winner: M'A Yaromoon, Jesus Rosales (jockey), Khalifa Al Neydai (trainer)

5.30pm: Khor Al Baghal – Conditions (PA) Dh80,000 (T) 1,600m
Winner: No Riesgo Al Maury, Antonio Fresu, Ibrahim Al Hadhrami

6pm: Khor Faridah – Handicap (PA) Dh80,000 (T) 1,600m
Winner: JAP Almahfuz, Royston Ffrench, Irfan Ellahi

6.30pm: Abu Dhabi Fillies Classic – Prestige (PA) Dh110,000 (T) 1,400m
Winner: Mahmouda, Pat Cosgrave, Abdallah Al Hammadi

7pm: Abu Dhabi Colts Classic – Prestige (PA) Dh110,000 (T) 1,400m
Winner: AS Jezan, George Buckell, Ahmed Al Mehairbi

7.30pm: Khor Laffam – Handicap (TB) Dh80,000 (T) 2,200m
Winner: Dolman, Antonio Fresu, Bhupath Seemar

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Engine: 6.2-litre V8

Power: 420hp

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Transmission: 10-speed automatic

Price: From Dh330,800 (Elevation: Dh236,400; AT4: Dh286,800; Denali: Dh345,800)

On sale: Now

The smuggler

Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple. 
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.

Khouli conviction

Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.

For sale

A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.

- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico

- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000

- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950

The White Lotus: Season three

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In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

Results

5pm: UAE Martyrs Cup (TB) Conditions Dh90,000 2,200m

Winner: Mudaarab, Jim Crowley (jockey), Erwan Charpy (trainer).

5.30pm: Wathba Stallions Cup (PA) Handicap Dh70,000 1,400m

Winner: Jawal Al Reef, Richard Mullen, Hassan Al Hammadi.

6pm: UAE Matyrs Trophy (PA) Maiden Dh80,000 1,600m

Winner: Salima Al Reef, Jesus Rosales, Abdallah Al Hammadi.

6.30pm: Sheikha Fatima bint Mubarak (IFAHR) Apprentice Championship (PA) Prestige Dh100,000 1,600m

Winner: Bainoona, Ricardo Iacopini, Eric Lemartinel.

7pm: Sheikha Fatima bint Mubarak (IFAHR) Ladies World Championship (PA) Prestige Dh125,000 1,600m

Winner: Assyad, Victoria Larsen, Eric Lemartinel.

8pm: Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan Jewel Crown (PA) Group 1 Dh5,000,000 1,600m

Winner: Mashhur Al Khalediah, Jean-Bernard Eyquem, Phillip Collington.

Abu Dhabi race card

5pm Abu Dhabi Fillies Classic Prestige Dh110,000 1,400m

5.30pm Abu Dhabi Colts Classic Prestige Dh110,000 1,400m

6pm Abu Dhabi Championship Listed Dh180,000 1,600m

6.30pm Maiden Dh80,000 1,600m

7pm Wathba Stallions Cup Handicap Dh80,000 1,400m

7.30pm Handicap (TB) |Dh100,000 2,400m

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At a glance

Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.

 

Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year

 

Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month

 

Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30 

 

Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse

 

Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth

 

Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances

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