Financial French farce stars a sardine led by donkeys



In the financial world, if you do not understand what someone is saying, the fault probably lies with them and not with you. The case of Jerome Kerviel, the disgraced Societe Generale trader, is a classic example of this, not just because he speaks French. It was another Frenchman who puzzled us all a few years ago with a gnomic utterance and that time he was speaking in English. "When the seagulls follow the trawler, it's because they think sardines will be thrown into the sea."

At those immortal and incomprehensible words of Eric Cantona, once football's "King of Old Trafford", the Anglo-Saxon world has pondered and shaken its head. What on earth could he talking about? We all thought he was a one-off and that we would never look on his like again - but one of the few participants who took the side of Jerome Kerviel uttered something in a similar vein. A certain Benoit Tailleu, a fellow trader, went into the witness box and pronounced: "It's as if Jerome Kerviel had a mandate to buy 10 tonnes of strawberries but bought 100 tonnes of potatoes and the supervisor passes through the hangar every day and says nothing."

One suspects that this sort of oblique comment is taught at the Lycee, one of the reasons that convinced me to take my children out of French school. I could tell that any day soon I would ask them where the remote control for the television was and they would respond, "When the seagull follows the trawler, it looks for a sack of strawberries," when the correct answer would be more like, "under the sofa".

But whichever way you look at it, to borrow King Eric's phraseology, it does look like poor old Jerome has been thrown into the sea like a sardine. His sorry tale has been told repeatedly this week but for anyone who hasn't been paying attention, young Jerome, a modest man with apparently much to be modest about, the son of a Breton metalworker and a hairdresser, joined snooty Societe Generale in his 20s.

He made such little impact on his co-workers that they nicknamed him "Monsieur Personne", or Mr Nobody. It is always a mistake to overlook a Breton. They have their own language and are rather like the Cornish of France, although somewhat inexplicably the pasty does not feature in their cuisine. It is not documented what Monsieur Kerviel ate for lunch. It is possible that he failed to take the obligatory two hours and three courses beloved by proper Frenchmen, which is probably why he got into such a mess. For at one point he had wagered €50 billion (Dh256.5bn) of the bank's capital on a complex series of events.

The defence of Daniel Bouton, then the chief executive of Societe Generale and a man who was clearly not on the "bouton", was that Kerviel was a rogue trader, a "financial terrorist". In this sense, Kerviel resembles Nick Leeson, the former Singapore-based trader for Barings Bank, once one of the grandest names in the city of London. Mr Leeson produced marvellous results and profits for his bosses in London, who paid him £50,000 plus a bonus of £130,000 in 1992. The bank made £10 million from his efforts and no doubt the blue-blooded chiefs trousered hefty bonuses from his efforts.

Like Kerviel, Mr Leeson had come from the edge of society with something to prove. In his case it was Watford, a rather nasty town close to the M25. Elton John, then known as Reg Dwight, bought the football club, but he at least can sing. Mr Leeson invented a phoney client when things started to go wrong - a technique Kerviel copied. Then the pressure got to Mr Leeson, who left a note saying simply, "I'm sorry" and fled Singapore. After a Keystone Cops-style chase through Malaysia, Thailand and Germany - why Germany? - he was finally collared and charged. Barings went bust.

Of course, it is always convenient for managers to blame their underlings when things go wrong and they certainly never apologise. There is clearly an element of the outsider in the story of Kerviel, Nick Leeson and other rogue traders who have popped up in the past. But I would have thought that if I were running a bank, I would want to know exactly what my exposure was on a daily basis to every situation. That Kerviel was able to risk €50bn is a damning indictment of the management of Societe Generale.

Equally surprising is that he only earned €100,000 a year "in a good year". I guess it was this roguish element that Monsieur Bouton was referring to. Not so much roguish as foolish, I would have thought. Now contemplating three years in jail, Kerviel has been surprisingly restrained in his comments, although he did say he thought " soldier Kerviel had been shot to save the general". It is well known that soldiers will come up with any old claptrap in the heat of battle to save themselves and their comrades.

But it is the job of the generals to decipher the messages, keep a cool head and sort the sardines from the trawlers, whether they are in sacks of strawberries or potatoes.

2025 Fifa Club World Cup groups

Group A: Palmeiras, Porto, Al Ahly, Inter Miami.

Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.

Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.

Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, Leon.

Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.

Group F: Fluminense, Borussia Dortmund, Ulsan, Mamelodi Sundowns.

Group G: Manchester City, Wydad, Al Ain, Juventus.

Group H: Real Madrid, Al Hilal, Pachuca, Salzburg.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Chelsea 2 Burnley 3
Chelsea
 Morata (69'), Luiz (88')
Burnley Vokes (24', 43'), Ward (39')
Red cards Cahill, Fabregas (Chelsea)

2025 Fifa Club World Cup groups

Group A: Palmeiras, Porto, Al Ahly, Inter Miami.

Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.

Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.

Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, (Leon banned).

Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.

Group F: Fluminense, Borussia Dortmund, Ulsan, Mamelodi Sundowns.

Group G: Manchester City, Wydad, Al Ain, Juventus.

Group H: Real Madrid, Al Hilal, Pachuca, Salzburg.

UPI facts

More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
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