Saudi energy Minister Khalid Al Falih, left with his Russian counterpart Alexander Novak the Opec+ technical committee meeting in Jeddah. REUTERS
Saudi energy Minister Khalid Al Falih, left with his Russian counterpart Alexander Novak the Opec+ technical committee meeting in Jeddah. REUTERS
Saudi energy Minister Khalid Al Falih, left with his Russian counterpart Alexander Novak the Opec+ technical committee meeting in Jeddah. REUTERS
Saudi energy Minister Khalid Al Falih, left with his Russian counterpart Alexander Novak the Opec+ technical committee meeting in Jeddah. REUTERS

Opec+ unconcerned about falling demand and expects to keep cuts


Jennifer Gnana
  • English
  • Arabic

Opec+ was unconcerned about falling oil demand as it plans to rollover ongoing production cuts well into the second half of the year at its latest technical committee meeting in Jeddah.

"So far I'm nor concerned about demand. US demand has gone up significantly and I think Asian demand has picked up," Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al Falih said in the Saudi Red Sea city.

"Chinese demand over the 12 months has gone up easily by 50 to 60 per cent. Indian demand is going up, Japanese demand and Korean demand has gone up. Demand growth is at healthy levels,” he added.

However, the markets need to be careful during the second half, in the event of any "demand shocks", he said.

The minister's comments come amid concerns over faltering demand from Asia, particularly China.

The International Energy Agency revised downward headline demand forecast for 2019 by 90,000 barrels per day to 1.3 million barrels per day, citing weaker growth expected from Brazil, China, Japan, Korea and Nigeria.

The slow demand growth will, however, be "short-lived" the agency said, with a pick up expected for the rest of 2019. The IEA also warned of considerable imbalance on the supply side for the second quarter, despite a surplus of 700,000 bpd over demand at the start of the year.

Opec+, which is led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, reached a vague consensus at their joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting in Jeddah saying, “critical uncertainties” remained and left it to the upcoming session in Vienna in June for effective recommendations.

Mr Al Falih said that continuing present  production cuts to the tune of 1.2 million bpd since January would be likely.

"The one that seemed to resonate with large number of ministers is to rollover agreements from the first half while also looking at how things will change between now and then,” he said.

"Ministers planning on the rollover also acknowledged the need to stay vigilant, watch the markets and adjust to any major unintended changes, major shocks, supply disruptions of that sort,” Mr Al Falih added.

The markets were well supplied Opec said, even to withstand what could be a million barrels of Iranian oil leaving the markets following the US cancellation of waivers to Iran's buyers.

Mr Al Falih, however, said the committee was unclear on how much oil Iran was getting to the markets. Tehran had no representative at Opec’s technical committee meeting.

"There is a lot of oil leaving the markets from Iran," he said. "No body knows what is doing, what Iran is losing. [It is] highly speculative, and highly uncertain."

Saudi production, meanwhile, averaged 9.7 million bpd, Mr Al Falih added, and said the country was willing to be flexible with its output, if needed.

The Opec committee would monitor the build-up on crude inventory levels ahead of its next meeting, but declined to say what specific level of reduction in stocks they would likely target.

“We’re not fooled by current prices. We think the market has been fragile. We’ve seen it in the second half of last year because inventories were still high and we prematurely increased production because of [Iran] sanctions and as a result we saw output leave the markets,” said Mr Al Falih.

“[We look to] keep production and allow inventories to decline softly and towards normal levels until we get to solid fundamental grounds,” he added.

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Tailors and retailers miss out on back-to-school rush

Tailors and retailers across the city said it was an ominous start to what is usually a busy season for sales.
With many parents opting to continue home learning for their children, the usual rush to buy school uniforms was muted this year.
“So far we have taken about 70 to 80 orders for items like shirts and trousers,” said Vikram Attrai, manager at Stallion Bespoke Tailors in Dubai.
“Last year in the same period we had about 200 orders and lots of demand.
“We custom fit uniform pieces and use materials such as cotton, wool and cashmere.
“Depending on size, a white shirt with logo is priced at about Dh100 to Dh150 and shorts, trousers, skirts and dresses cost between Dh150 to Dh250 a piece.”

A spokesman for Threads, a uniform shop based in Times Square Centre Dubai, said customer footfall had slowed down dramatically over the past few months.

“Now parents have the option to keep children doing online learning they don’t need uniforms so it has quietened down.”

Where to donate in the UAE

The Emirates Charity Portal

You can donate to several registered charities through a “donation catalogue”. The use of the donation is quite specific, such as buying a fan for a poor family in Niger for Dh130.

The General Authority of Islamic Affairs & Endowments

The site has an e-donation service accepting debit card, credit card or e-Dirham, an electronic payment tool developed by the Ministry of Finance and First Abu Dhabi Bank.

Al Noor Special Needs Centre

You can donate online or order Smiles n’ Stuff products handcrafted by Al Noor students. The centre publishes a wish list of extras needed, starting at Dh500.

Beit Al Khair Society

Beit Al Khair Society has the motto “From – and to – the UAE,” with donations going towards the neediest in the country. Its website has a list of physical donation sites, but people can also contribute money by SMS, bank transfer and through the hotline 800-22554.

Dar Al Ber Society

Dar Al Ber Society, which has charity projects in 39 countries, accept cash payments, money transfers or SMS donations. Its donation hotline is 800-79.

Dubai Cares

Dubai Cares provides several options for individuals and companies to donate, including online, through banks, at retail outlets, via phone and by purchasing Dubai Cares branded merchandise. It is currently running a campaign called Bookings 2030, which allows people to help change the future of six underprivileged children and young people.

Emirates Airline Foundation

Those who travel on Emirates have undoubtedly seen the little donation envelopes in the seat pockets. But the foundation also accepts donations online and in the form of Skywards Miles. Donated miles are used to sponsor travel for doctors, surgeons, engineers and other professionals volunteering on humanitarian missions around the world.

Emirates Red Crescent

On the Emirates Red Crescent website you can choose between 35 different purposes for your donation, such as providing food for fasters, supporting debtors and contributing to a refugee women fund. It also has a list of bank accounts for each donation type.

Gulf for Good

Gulf for Good raises funds for partner charity projects through challenges, like climbing Kilimanjaro and cycling through Thailand. This year’s projects are in partnership with Street Child Nepal, Larchfield Kids, the Foundation for African Empowerment and SOS Children's Villages. Since 2001, the organisation has raised more than $3.5 million (Dh12.8m) in support of over 50 children’s charities.

Noor Dubai Foundation

Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum launched the Noor Dubai Foundation a decade ago with the aim of eliminating all forms of preventable blindness globally. You can donate Dh50 to support mobile eye camps by texting the word “Noor” to 4565 (Etisalat) or 4849 (du).

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Dr Ayham Ammora, scientist and business executive

Ali Azeem, business leader

Tony Booth, professor of education

Lord Browne, former BP chief executive

Dr Mohamed El-Erian, economist

Professor Wyn Evans, astrophysicist

Dr Mark Mann, scientist

Gina MIller, anti-Brexit campaigner

Lord Smith, former Cabinet minister

Sandi Toksvig, broadcaster

 

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What is Reform?

Reform is a right-wing, populist party led by Nigel Farage, a former MEP who won a seat in the House of Commons last year at his eighth attempt and a prominent figure in the campaign for the UK to leave the European Union.

It was founded in 2018 and originally called the Brexit Party.

Many of its members previously belonged to UKIP or the mainstream Conservatives.

After Brexit took place, the party focused on the reformation of British democracy.

Former Tory deputy chairman Lee Anderson became its first MP after defecting in March 2024.

The party gained support from Elon Musk, and had hoped the tech billionaire would make a £100m donation. However, Mr Musk changed his mind and called for Mr Farage to step down as leader in a row involving the US tycoon's support for far-right figurehead Tommy Robinson who is in prison for contempt of court.

What the law says

Micro-retirement is not a recognised concept or employment status under Federal Decree Law No. 33 of 2021 on the Regulation of Labour Relations (as amended) (UAE Labour Law). As such, it reflects a voluntary work-life balance practice, rather than a recognised legal employment category, according to Dilini Loku, senior associate for law firm Gateley Middle East.

“Some companies may offer formal sabbatical policies or career break programmes; however, beyond such arrangements, there is no automatic right or statutory entitlement to extended breaks,” she explains.

“Any leave taken beyond statutory entitlements, such as annual leave, is typically regarded as unpaid leave in accordance with Article 33 of the UAE Labour Law. While employees may legally take unpaid leave, such requests are subject to the employer’s discretion and require approval.”

If an employee resigns to pursue micro-retirement, the employment contract is terminated, and the employer is under no legal obligation to rehire the employee in the future unless specific contractual agreements are in place (such as return-to-work arrangements), which are generally uncommon, Ms Loku adds.

Our legal columnist

Name: Yousef Al Bahar

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Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers

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