Oil prices are set to fall further after US futures closed the week at 18-year lows in spite of a global pact to stabilise markets.
Brent and West Texas Intermediate, both crude commodity benchmarks, settled below $30 and $20 per barrel on Friday, at least 20 per cent lower than at the start of the week, as markets began to worry about the volume of cuts promised by producers.
The Opec+ alliance including Saudi Arabia and Russia pledged to cut back 9.7 million barrels per day in May and June, with tapered cuts set to hold until 2022.
Oil producers were nudged into a meeting by the US, the world's largest producer of crude. Involuntary commitments secured from other G20 nations means the overall volume of cuts could be as high as 20m bpd.
The commitment by producers to cut back has not had a lasting impact on markets weighed down by demand concerns.
The US crude benchmark, WTI, plunged to 18-year lows, settling at $18.27 per barrel on Friday. Brent also remained weak, closing at $28 per barrel. The benchmarks have lost nearly 70 per cent of their value from their most recent peak in January following the drop in global demand from the lockdowns enforced to contain the coronavirus pandemic.
The Opec+ agreement indicated 'bearishness' for the markets in the short term, even if it showed some positive signals for the future, noted Fereidun Fesharaki, chairman at London-based consultancy Facts Global Energy.
"It does not put a floor under the price of oil in the short term. We expect prices to fall further by $5-$10 per barrel once the market realises the Opec+ agreement is far less substantial than has been touted, as stocks keep building rapidly worldwide," he added.
Crude oil inventories rose by a record amount last week and will continue to build in the coming weeks, according to Ben Jones, a multi-asset class strategist at investment manager State Street Global Advisors.
The decline in demand "far outweighs the supply cuts", with gasoline sales reaching a record low in the US over the past week and fewer than 100,000 people passing through airports, Mr Jones said, citing Transportation Security Administration figures.
"Even when economies begin to open up again we do not expect people to rush to start travelling for ‘unnecessary’ reasons straight away, meaning the oil demand hangover will have a long tail," he said.
The rapid spread of the novel coronavirus known as Covid-19 has slashed oil demand to 29m bpd for April, the lowest since 1995, according to the International Energy Agency. The Paris-headquartered organisation also expects oil demand to decline by a record 9.3m bpd in 2020. Opec, in its monthly oil market report for April, sounded a slightly more optimistic note, forecasting a demand decline of around 6.8m bpd.
The Vienna-headquartered group of oil exporters cited the lockdown in China, the world's largest crude importer, in the first quarter as having a negative impact on demand.
"It [Covid-19] has since spread globally and is now affecting oil demand growth in most other countries and regions, with an unprecedented impact on global oil demand, transportation fuels in particular," Opec said.
Even as China eases lockdown measures and looks at restarting its economy, its economic data seems bleak, indicating tepid future demand growth. Data released on Friday showed gross domestic product shrank by 6.8 per cent year-on-year, the first contraction in the country since 1992.
Wicked
Director: Jon M Chu
Stars: Cynthia Erivo, Ariana Grande, Jonathan Bailey
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Florida: The critical Sunshine State
Though mostly conservative, Florida is usually always “close” in presidential elections. In most elections, the candidate that wins the Sunshine State almost always wins the election, as evidenced in 2016 when Trump took Florida, a state which has not had a democratic governor since 1991.
Joe Biden’s campaign has spent $100 million there to turn things around, understandable given the state’s crucial 29 electoral votes.
In 2016, Mr Trump’s democratic rival Hillary Clinton paid frequent visits to Florida though analysts concluded that she failed to appeal towards middle-class voters, whom Barack Obama won over in the previous election.
Six tips to secure your smart home
Most smart home devices are controlled via the owner's smartphone. Therefore, if you are using public wi-fi on your phone, always use a VPN (virtual private network) that offers strong security features and anonymises your internet connection.
Keep your smart home devices’ software up-to-date. Device makers often send regular updates - follow them without fail as they could provide protection from a new security risk.
Use two-factor authentication so that in addition to a password, your identity is authenticated by a second sign-in step like a code sent to your mobile number.
Set up a separate guest network for acquaintances and visitors to ensure the privacy of your IoT devices’ network.
Change the default privacy and security settings of your IoT devices to take extra steps to secure yourself and your home.
Always give your router a unique name, replacing the one generated by the manufacturer, to ensure a hacker cannot ascertain its make or model number.
MATCH INFO
Red Star Belgrade v Tottenham Hotspur, midnight (Thursday), UAE
In numbers: China in Dubai
The number of Chinese people living in Dubai: An estimated 200,000
Number of Chinese people in International City: Almost 50,000
Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2018/19: 120,000
Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2010: 20,000
Percentage increase in visitors in eight years: 500 per cent
DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE
Starring: Ryan Reynolds, Hugh Jackman, Emma Corrin
Director: Shawn Levy
Rating: 3/5
The five pillars of Islam
JAPAN SQUAD
Goalkeepers: Masaaki Higashiguchi, Shuichi Gonda, Daniel Schmidt
Defenders: Yuto Nagatomo, Tomoaki Makino, Maya Yoshida, Sho Sasaki, Hiroki Sakai, Sei Muroya, Genta Miura, Takehiro Tomiyasu
Midfielders: Toshihiro Aoyama, Genki Haraguchi, Gaku Shibasaki, Wataru Endo, Junya Ito, Shoya Nakajima, Takumi Minamino, Hidemasa Morita, Ritsu Doan
Forwards: Yuya Osako, Takuma Asano, Koya Kitagawa
Disability on screen
Empire — neuromuscular disease myasthenia gravis; bipolar disorder; post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD)
Rosewood and Transparent — heart issues
24: Legacy — PTSD;
Superstore and NCIS: New Orleans — wheelchair-bound
Taken and This Is Us — cancer
Trial & Error — cognitive disorder prosopagnosia (facial blindness and dyslexia)
Grey’s Anatomy — prosthetic leg
Scorpion — obsessive compulsive disorder and anxiety
Switched at Birth — deafness
One Mississippi, Wentworth and Transparent — double mastectomy
Dragons — double amputee
Learn more about Qasr Al Hosn
In 2013, The National's History Project went beyond the walls to see what life was like living in Abu Dhabi's fabled fort:
Groom and Two Brides
Director: Elie Semaan
Starring: Abdullah Boushehri, Laila Abdallah, Lulwa Almulla
Rating: 3/5
The specs: 2019 Lincoln MKC
Price, base / as tested: Dh169,995 / Dh192,045
Engine: Turbocharged, 2.0-litre, in-line four-cylinder
Transmission: Six-speed automatic
Power: 253hp @ 5,500rpm
Torque: 389Nm @ 2,500rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 10.7L / 100km
Wicked: For Good
Director: Jon M Chu
Starring: Ariana Grande, Cynthia Erivo, Jonathan Bailey, Jeff Goldblum, Michelle Yeoh, Ethan Slater
Rating: 4/5
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Juliot Vinolia’s checklist for adopting alternate-day fasting
- Don’t do it more than once in three days
- Don’t go under 700 calories on fasting days
- Ensure there is sufficient water intake, as the body can go in dehydration mode
- Ensure there is enough roughage (fibre) in the food on fasting days as well
- Do not binge on processed or fatty foods on non-fasting days
- Complement fasting with plant-based foods, fruits, vegetables, seafood. Cut out processed meats and processed carbohydrates
- Manage your sleep
- People with existing gastric or mental health issues should avoid fasting
- Do not fast for prolonged periods without supervision by a qualified expert
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The bio
Favourite food: Japanese
Favourite car: Lamborghini
Favourite hobby: Football
Favourite quote: If your dreams don’t scare you, they are not big enough
Favourite country: UAE