The Total Culzean platform is pictured on the North Sea, east of the Aberdeen, on Scotland's northeast coast. Brent could hit $100 per barrel over the next three years, the Bank of America says. AFP
The Total Culzean platform is pictured on the North Sea, east of the Aberdeen, on Scotland's northeast coast. Brent could hit $100 per barrel over the next three years, the Bank of America says. AFP
The Total Culzean platform is pictured on the North Sea, east of the Aberdeen, on Scotland's northeast coast. Brent could hit $100 per barrel over the next three years, the Bank of America says. AFP
The Total Culzean platform is pictured on the North Sea, east of the Aberdeen, on Scotland's northeast coast. Brent could hit $100 per barrel over the next three years, the Bank of America says. AFP

Brent to rise at fastest pace since 1970s over the next 3 years, BofA says


Jennifer Gnana
  • English
  • Arabic

Brent, the international benchmark for crude, is expected to rise at its fastest pace since the 1970s over the next three years, potentially hitting $100 per barrel, according to the Bank of America.

In the medium term, the lender expects prices to average between $50 and $70 per barrel between now and 2026.

A return of global exports and industrial production to pre-Covid levels have bolstered expectations of a faster recovery in demand for crude.

Improving oil supply and demand fundamentals, unprecedented global fiscal and monetary stimulus and a stronger economy in China, the world's largest commodity importer, all indicate a broader recovery for crude.

BofA expects Opec+, which has been withholding 7.2 million barrels per day since the beginning of the year, to reverse course as prices continue to trade above $60 per barrel.

Brent has surged 18.6 per cent over the past month, aided last week by outages in the US, which halted around 4m bpd of production.

West Texas Intermediate, the benchmark tracking US crude grades, is also up 18 per cent over the past 30 days.

Brent, under which two-thirds of the world's oil is traded, was up 1.28 per cent to $66.21 at 6.32pm UAE time on Wednesday, while WTI was up 1.26 per cent at $62.45 per barrel.

Opec+, headed by Saudi Arabia and Russia, will convene next week to assess members' compliance to current curbs. The producers are widely expected to bring additional barrels back into the market. Saudi Arabia, which volunteered an extraordinary cut of 1m bpd is also likely to roll it back by the end of March.

"We believe that slower shale growth and oil price stability will likely require a continuation of Opec+'s market management beyond April 2022," BofA said in its report.

The bank cautioned of bearish risks for prices, including the possible return of Iranian barrels back to the market following the renegotiation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action between the Joe Biden administration and Tehran.

MATCH INFO

Syria v Australia
2018 World Cup qualifying: Asia fourth round play-off first leg
Venue: Hang Jebat Stadium, Malayisa
Kick-off: Thursday, 4.30pm (UAE)
Watch: beIN Sports HD

* Second leg in Australia on October 10

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
West Asia Premiership

Dubai Hurricanes 58-10 Dubai Knights Eagles

Dubai Tigers 5-39 Bahrain

Jebel Ali Dragons 16-56 Abu Dhabi Harlequins

Should late investors consider cryptocurrencies?

Wealth managers recommend late investors to have a balanced portfolio that typically includes traditional assets such as cash, government and corporate bonds, equities, commodities and commercial property.

They do not usually recommend investing in Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies due to the risk and volatility associated with them.

“It has produced eye-watering returns for some, whereas others have lost substantially as this has all depended purely on timing and when the buy-in was. If someone still has about 20 to 25 years until retirement, there isn’t any need to take such risks,” Rupert Connor of Abacus Financial Consultant says.

He adds that if a person is interested in owning a business or growing a property portfolio to increase their retirement income, this can be encouraged provided they keep in mind the overall risk profile of these assets.

Muslim Council of Elders condemns terrorism on religious sites

The Muslim Council of Elders has strongly condemned the criminal attacks on religious sites in Britain.

It firmly rejected “acts of terrorism, which constitute a flagrant violation of the sanctity of houses of worship”.

“Attacking places of worship is a form of terrorism and extremism that threatens peace and stability within societies,” it said.

The council also warned against the rise of hate speech, racism, extremism and Islamophobia. It urged the international community to join efforts to promote tolerance and peaceful coexistence.

Tips for newlyweds to better manage finances

All couples are unique and have to create a financial blueprint that is most suitable for their relationship, says Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial. He offers his top five tips for couples to better manage their finances.

Discuss your assets and debts: When married, it’s important to understand each other’s personal financial situation. It’s necessary to know upfront what each party brings to the table, as debts and assets affect spending habits and joint loan qualifications. Discussing all aspects of their finances as a couple prevents anyone from being blindsided later.

Decide on the financial/saving goals: Spouses should independently list their top goals and share their lists with one another to shape a joint plan. Writing down clear goals will help them determine how much to save each month, how much to put aside for short-term goals, and how they will reach their long-term financial goals.

Set a budget: A budget can keep the couple be mindful of their income and expenses. With a monthly budget, couples will know exactly how much they can spend in a category each month, how much they have to work with and what spending areas need to be evaluated.

Decide who manages what: When it comes to handling finances, it’s a good idea to decide who manages what. For example, one person might take on the day-to-day bills, while the other tackles long-term investments and retirement plans.

Money date nights: Talking about money should be a healthy, ongoing conversation and couples should not wait for something to go wrong. They should set time aside every month to talk about future financial decisions and see the progress they’ve made together towards accomplishing their goals.

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Torque: 1075Nm
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Quick pearls of wisdom

Focus on gratitude: And do so deeply, he says. “Think of one to three things a day that you’re grateful for. It needs to be specific, too, don’t just say ‘air.’ Really think about it. If you’re grateful for, say, what your parents have done for you, that will motivate you to do more for the world.”

Know how to fight: Shetty married his wife, Radhi, three years ago (he met her in a meditation class before he went off and became a monk). He says they’ve had to learn to respect each other’s “fighting styles” – he’s a talk it-out-immediately person, while she needs space to think. “When you’re having an argument, remember, it’s not you against each other. It’s both of you against the problem. When you win, they lose. If you’re on a team you have to win together.” 

While you're here
UK-EU trade at a glance

EU fishing vessels guaranteed access to UK waters for 12 years

Co-operation on security initiatives and procurement of defence products

Youth experience scheme to work, study or volunteer in UK and EU countries

Smoother border management with use of e-gates

Cutting red tape on import and export of food

RESULTS: 2018 WORLD CUP QUALIFYING - EUROPE

Albania 0 Italy 1
Finland 2 Turkey 2
Macedonia 4 Liechtenstein
Iceland 2 Kosovo 0
Israel 0 Spain 1
Moldova 0 Austria 1
Serbia 1 Georgia 0
Ukraine 0 Croatia 2
Wales 0 Ireland 1

The alternatives

• Founded in 2014, Telr is a payment aggregator and gateway with an office in Silicon Oasis. It’s e-commerce entry plan costs Dh349 monthly (plus VAT). QR codes direct customers to an online payment page and merchants can generate payments through messaging apps.

• Business Bay’s Pallapay claims 40,000-plus active merchants who can invoice customers and receive payment by card. Fees range from 1.99 per cent plus Dh1 per transaction depending on payment method and location, such as online or via UAE mobile.

• Tap started in May 2013 in Kuwait, allowing Middle East businesses to bill, accept, receive and make payments online “easier, faster and smoother” via goSell and goCollect. It supports more than 10,000 merchants. Monthly fees range from US$65-100, plus card charges of 2.75-3.75 per cent and Dh1.2 per sale.

2checkout’s “all-in-one payment gateway and merchant account” accepts payments in 200-plus markets for 2.4-3.9 per cent, plus a Dh1.2-Dh1.8 currency conversion charge. The US provider processes online shop and mobile transactions and has 17,000-plus active digital commerce users.

• PayPal is probably the best-known online goods payment method - usually used for eBay purchases -  but can be used to receive funds, providing everyone’s signed up. Costs from 2.9 per cent plus Dh1.2 per transaction.