Oil prices dipped on Friday but were on track to record a weekly gain amid a surprise drop in US crude stocks and an improving global oil demand outlook.
Brent, the benchmark for two thirds of the world’s oil, settled 0.09 per cent lower at $85.34 a barrel.
West Texas Intermediate, the gauge that tracks US crude, closed 0.27 per cent lower at $81.04 a barrel.
On Thursday, the International Energy Agency raised its oil demand growth forecast for this year by 110,000 barrels per day, and said it expected oil markets to be in a deficit in 2024 instead of the surplus predicted by the agency earlier.
The IEA said its forecast was based on the assumption that Opec+ supply cuts would continue into the second half of the year.
Opec+ members, including Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait, have extended voluntary supply cuts of 2.2 million bpd into the second quarter to stabilise the market. The producer alliance will next meet in Vienna on June 1.
This week, Opec stuck to its oil demand projections for 2024 and 2025, and raised its forecast for economic growth this year, citing strong activity in the US and India.
“We view that oil’s slow-but-steady advance this year still has further to run in the near term in the wake of the Opec+ decision to roll over its output cuts to June,” said Ehsan Khoman, head of commodities, ESG and emerging markets at MUFG, in a research note on Thursday.
“While oil is often given to haring around, it’s the snail's slow-and-steady pace that we are convinced will be more effective as the year further advances, than the animal spirits at the current juncture.”
Meanwhile, US crude stocks, an indicator of fuel demand, decreased by 1.5 million barrels in the week that ended on March 8, according to the US Energy Information Administration.
Analysts polled by Reuters were expecting a growth of 1.3 million barrels.
Total petroleum stocks fell by 5.7 million barrels, while distillate fuel inventories rose by 900,000 barrels, EIA data showed.
Oil prices also gained as Ukraine’s attacks on Russian refineries stoked fears of a supply disruption.
On Wednesday, Ukraine's drone strikes resulted in a fire at Rosneft's largest refinery. The incident stood out as one of the most severe attacks on Russia's energy sector in recent months.
Recently, Kyiv has intensified its strikes on Russian refineries and energy installations.
“Trend and momentum indicators support a further rise in oil prices. But oil bulls could hit a wall if we see a hawkish shift from the [US Federal Reserve] at next week’s meeting,” said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, a senior analyst at Swissquote Bank.
The Federal Open Market Committee is set to convene on March 19 and March 20.
While it is widely believed to maintain the interest rates, markets look for hints on the potential timing for policy tightening.
Lower interest rates typically encourage economic growth, improving crude demand.
“The Fed will update its dot plot having seen a two-month jump in inflation, robust jobs data, a relatively strong gross domestic product print and healthy earnings,” Ms Ozkardeskaya said.
Getting there
The flights
Emirates and Etihad fly to Johannesburg or Cape Town daily. Flights cost from about Dh3,325, with a flying time of 8hours and 15 minutes. From there, fly South African Airlines or Air Namibia to Namibia’s Windhoek Hosea Kutako International Airport, for about Dh850. Flying time is 2 hours.
The stay
Wilderness Little Kulala offers stays from £460 (Dh2,135) per person, per night. It is one of seven Wilderness Safari lodges in Namibia; www.wilderness-safaris.com.
Skeleton Coast Safaris’ four-day adventure involves joining a very small group in a private plane, flying to some of the remotest areas in the world, with each night spent at a different camp. It costs from US$8,335.30 (Dh30,611); www.skeletoncoastsafaris.com
The Lowdown
Us
Director: Jordan Peele
Starring: Lupita Nyong'o, Winston Duke, Shahadi Wright Joseqph, Evan Alex and Elisabeth Moss
Rating: 4/5
From Conquest to Deportation
Jeronim Perovic, Hurst
The alternatives
• Founded in 2014, Telr is a payment aggregator and gateway with an office in Silicon Oasis. It’s e-commerce entry plan costs Dh349 monthly (plus VAT). QR codes direct customers to an online payment page and merchants can generate payments through messaging apps.
• Business Bay’s Pallapay claims 40,000-plus active merchants who can invoice customers and receive payment by card. Fees range from 1.99 per cent plus Dh1 per transaction depending on payment method and location, such as online or via UAE mobile.
• Tap started in May 2013 in Kuwait, allowing Middle East businesses to bill, accept, receive and make payments online “easier, faster and smoother” via goSell and goCollect. It supports more than 10,000 merchants. Monthly fees range from US$65-100, plus card charges of 2.75-3.75 per cent and Dh1.2 per sale.
• 2checkout’s “all-in-one payment gateway and merchant account” accepts payments in 200-plus markets for 2.4-3.9 per cent, plus a Dh1.2-Dh1.8 currency conversion charge. The US provider processes online shop and mobile transactions and has 17,000-plus active digital commerce users.
• PayPal is probably the best-known online goods payment method - usually used for eBay purchases - but can be used to receive funds, providing everyone’s signed up. Costs from 2.9 per cent plus Dh1.2 per transaction.
RESULTS
2pm: Handicap (PA) Dh40,000 (Dirt) 1,000m
Winner: AF Mozhell, Saif Al Balushi (jockey), Khalifa Al Neyadi (trainer)
2.30pm: Maiden (PA) Dh40,000 (D) 2,000m
Winner: Majdi, Szczepan Mazur, Abdallah Al Hammadi.
3pm: Handicap (PA) Dh40,000 (D) 1,700m
Winner: AF Athabeh, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel.
3.30pm: Handicap (PA) Dh40,000 (D) 1,700m
Winner: AF Eshaar, Bernardo Pinheiro, Khalifa Al Neyadi
4pm: Gulf Cup presented by Longines Prestige (PA) Dh150,000 (D) 1,700m
Winner: Al Roba’a Al Khali, Al Moatasem Al Balushi, Younis Al Kalbani
4.30pm: Handicap (TB) Dh40,000 (D) 1,200m
Winner: Apolo Kid, Antonio Fresu, Musabah Al Muahiri
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
Power: 261hp at 5,500rpm
Torque: 405Nm at 1,750-3,500rpm
Transmission: 9-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 6.9L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh117,059
Pharaoh's curse
British aristocrat Lord Carnarvon, who funded the expedition to find the Tutankhamun tomb, died in a Cairo hotel four months after the crypt was opened.
He had been in poor health for many years after a car crash, and a mosquito bite made worse by a shaving cut led to blood poisoning and pneumonia.
Reports at the time said Lord Carnarvon suffered from “pain as the inflammation affected the nasal passages and eyes”.
Decades later, scientists contended he had died of aspergillosis after inhaling spores of the fungus aspergillus in the tomb, which can lie dormant for months. The fact several others who entered were also found dead withiin a short time led to the myth of the curse.
Disability on screen
Empire — neuromuscular disease myasthenia gravis; bipolar disorder; post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD)
Rosewood and Transparent — heart issues
24: Legacy — PTSD;
Superstore and NCIS: New Orleans — wheelchair-bound
Taken and This Is Us — cancer
Trial & Error — cognitive disorder prosopagnosia (facial blindness and dyslexia)
Grey’s Anatomy — prosthetic leg
Scorpion — obsessive compulsive disorder and anxiety
Switched at Birth — deafness
One Mississippi, Wentworth and Transparent — double mastectomy
Dragons — double amputee
Sri Lanka-India Test series schedule
- 1st Test India won by 304 runs at Galle
- 2nd Test India won by innings and 53 runs at Colombo
- 3rd Test August 12-16 at Pallekele
