Oil prices climbed on Monday as China’s reopening of its borders eased concerns about fuel demand.
Brent, the benchmark for two thirds of the world’s oil, was 3.23 per cent higher at $81.11 a barrel at 4.10pm UAE time while West Texas Intermediate, the gauge that tracks US crude, was up 3.51 per cent at $76.36 a barrel.
China’s near-total reversal of border controls — introduced to stem the spread of Covid-19 — came into effect on Sunday.
The reopening ended about three years of strict entry requirements that had slowed growth in the world’s second-largest economy and biggest crude oil importer.
Futures have registered sharp declines since the start of 2023 amid concerns about China and the growing possibility of a recession.
Both Brent and WTI benchmarks declined by more than 8 per cent last week, their biggest weekly loss in the first seven days of a new year since 2016.
“The reopening of the Chinese borders has been the biggest driver for today’s price move,” said Sudharsan Sarathy, lead analyst at the London Stock Exchange Group.
“With this, the zero-Covid policy comes to an end effectively and brings up the prospects of … strong travel by Chinese citizens, both domestically and internationally.
“Forecasts suggest a strong airline demand in the Lunar New Year period.”
Expectations of less aggressive US interest rate rises are supporting financial markets while weakening the US dollar.
A weaker dollar makes oil cheaper for holders of other currencies.
The US Dollar Index, a measure of the value of the greenback against a weighted basket of major currencies, was down 0.25 per cent at 103.62 on Monday morning. The index is lower by 1 per cent since January 1.
US non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations slightly, with the addition of 223,000 jobs in December, the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) reported on Friday.
A survey of Bloomberg economists had forecast employers would add 203,000 jobs.
The unemployment rate dipped to a 53-year low of 3.5 per cent, from 3.6 per cent, while wage growth was up 0.3 per cent but still below forecasts of 0.4 per cent.
The slowing wage growth has raised hopes that the US Federal Reserve “might yet achieve a soft landing despite its aggressive rate hiking”, said Edward Bell, senior director of market economics at Emirates NBD.
Last month, the Fed raised its interest rates by 50 basis points, its seventh increase in 2022, to curb inflation, which hit a four-decade high last June.
The US central bank indicated in December that more increases were planned this year.
Inflation in the eurozone, which hit a record high in 2022, fell more than expected in December amid an easing in energy prices.
Consumer prices rose at an annual rate of 9.2 per cent in December, compared with a 10.1 per cent increase the previous month.
“This was slower even than the projected 9.5 per cent and marked the slowest pace of price growth since August as slower growth in energy prices brought down the headline level,” said Mr Bell.
Danish investment bank Saxo Bank expects Brent to trade below $80 a barrel in the first quarter before bouncing back to about $90 on China's recovery and seasonal demand.
“We have strong doubts about the recession risk to the US economy and see demand from some of the world’s largest consumers underpin the price during a year where supply will continue to be managed by the Opec+ and US producers' inability or unwillingness to ramp up production,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.
Last week, Swiss bank UBS forecast that Brent would trade at $110 a barrel in the middle of 2023 while WTI would average $107 a barrel.
China’s reopening may result in oil demand hitting a “record high” in the second half of this year, the Swiss lender said in a research note.
“Meanwhile, Russian oil production should fall in 2023 due to the European Union's embargo on Russian crude and refined products,” UBS strategists said.
An increase in production outside the Opec+ group of countries is expected to be modest, given years of underinvestment in new oil and gas projects, they said.
Planes grounded by coronavirus
British Airways: Cancels all direct flights to and from mainland China
Hong Kong-based Cathay Pacific: Cutting capacity to/from mainland China by 50 per cent from Jan. 30
Chicago-based United Airlines: Reducing flights to Beijing, Shanghai, and Hong Kong
Ai Seoul: Suspended all flights to China
Finnair: Suspending flights to Nanjing and Beijing Daxing until the end of March
Indonesia's Lion Air: Suspending all flights to China from February
South Korea's Asiana Airlines, Jeju Air and Jin Air: Suspend all flights
Australia men's Test cricket fixtures 2021/22
One-off Test v Afghanistan:
Nov 27-Dec 1: Blundstone Arena, Hobart
The Ashes v England:
Dec 8-12: 1st Test, Gabba, Brisbane
Dec 16-20: 2nd Test, Adelaide Oval, Adelaide (day/night)
Dec 26-30: 3rd Test, Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
Jan 5-9, 2022: 4th Test, Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney
Jan 14-18: 5th Test, Optus Stadium, Perth
The biog
Born: High Wycombe, England
Favourite vehicle: One with solid axels
Favourite camping spot: Anywhere I can get to.
Favourite road trip: My first trip to Kazakhstan-Kyrgyzstan. The desert they have over there is different and the language made it a bit more challenging.
Favourite spot in the UAE: Al Dhafra. It’s unique, natural, inaccessible, unspoilt.
More from Neighbourhood Watch:
Gothia Cup 2025
4,872 matches
1,942 teams
116 pitches
76 nations
26 UAE teams
15 Lebanese teams
2 Kuwaiti teams
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Sole survivors
- Cecelia Crocker was on board Northwest Airlines Flight 255 in 1987 when it crashed in Detroit, killing 154 people, including her parents and brother. The plane had hit a light pole on take off
- George Lamson Jr, from Minnesota, was on a Galaxy Airlines flight that crashed in Reno in 1985, killing 68 people. His entire seat was launched out of the plane
- Bahia Bakari, then 12, survived when a Yemenia Airways flight crashed near the Comoros in 2009, killing 152. She was found clinging to wreckage after floating in the ocean for 13 hours.
- Jim Polehinke was the co-pilot and sole survivor of a 2006 Comair flight that crashed in Lexington, Kentucky, killing 49.
The Kingfisher Secret
Anonymous, Penguin Books
ARABIAN GULF LEAGUE FIXTURES
Thursday, September 21
Al Dahfra v Sharjah (kick-off 5.35pm)
Al Wasl v Emirates (8.30pm)
Friday, September 22
Dibba v Al Jazira (5.25pm)
Al Nasr v Al Wahda (8.30pm)
Saturday, September 23
Hatta v Al Ain (5.25pm)
Ajman v Shabab Al Ahli (8.30pm)
Fixtures:
Thursday:
Hatta v Al Jazira, 4.55pm
Al Wasl v Dibba, 7.45pm
Friday:
Al Dhafra v Al Nasr, 5.05pm
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al Wahda, 7.45pm
Saturday:
Ajman v Emirates, 4.55pm
Al Ain v Sharjah, 7.45pm
Benefits of first-time home buyers' scheme
- Priority access to new homes from participating developers
- Discounts on sales price of off-plan units
- Flexible payment plans from developers
- Mortgages with better interest rates, faster approval times and reduced fees
- DLD registration fee can be paid through banks or credit cards at zero interest rates
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
UFC Fight Night 2
1am – Early prelims
2am – Prelims
4am-7am – Main card
7:30am-9am – press cons
The Little Things
Directed by: John Lee Hancock
Starring: Denzel Washington, Rami Malek, Jared Leto
Four stars
Global state-owned investor ranking by size
1.
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United States
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China
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UAE
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4.
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Japan
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5
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Norway
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Canada
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Singapore
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Australia
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Saudi Arabia
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South Korea
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Pharaoh's curse
British aristocrat Lord Carnarvon, who funded the expedition to find the Tutankhamun tomb, died in a Cairo hotel four months after the crypt was opened.
He had been in poor health for many years after a car crash, and a mosquito bite made worse by a shaving cut led to blood poisoning and pneumonia.
Reports at the time said Lord Carnarvon suffered from “pain as the inflammation affected the nasal passages and eyes”.
Decades later, scientists contended he had died of aspergillosis after inhaling spores of the fungus aspergillus in the tomb, which can lie dormant for months. The fact several others who entered were also found dead withiin a short time led to the myth of the curse.
Lexus LX700h specs
Engine: 3.4-litre twin-turbo V6 plus supplementary electric motor
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Transmission: 10-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 11.7L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh590,000
RESULT
Aston Villa 1
Samatta (41')
Manchester City 2
Aguero (20')
Rodri (30')
Ferrari 12Cilindri specs
Engine: naturally aspirated 6.5-liter V12
Power: 819hp
Torque: 678Nm at 7,250rpm
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