Oil tankers unload at a terminal in Birkenhead, England. Crude prices touched a seven-year high on Wednesday. Getty
Oil tankers unload at a terminal in Birkenhead, England. Crude prices touched a seven-year high on Wednesday. Getty
Oil tankers unload at a terminal in Birkenhead, England. Crude prices touched a seven-year high on Wednesday. Getty
Oil tankers unload at a terminal in Birkenhead, England. Crude prices touched a seven-year high on Wednesday. Getty

Commodity price volatility adds uncertainty to global energy transition


Sarmad Khan
  • English
  • Arabic

Volatile commodity prices, fragmented economic growth and fragile geopolitics stemming from increased energy interdependence have emerged as top concerns that will add to the uncertainty of achieving the global energy agenda, according to the World Energy Council.

The volatility in hydrocarbon prices were the biggest critical concern across almost all regions in 2021, a 12 times increase from 2020, the World Energy Council said in its annual World Energy Issues Monitor on Thursday.

Record price increases in natural gas, driven by shortages and supply bottlenecks, particularly in the UK and Europe, have contributed to the climate of uncertainty. Northern European and Asian gas markets are also similarly affected.

Wild swings in oil prices also “speak for themselves”, said the report, which surveyed 2,200 energy industry executives and government and civil society leaders from 108 countries, said.

The implications of this “tremendous oscillation in commodities markets are profound and not yet fully understood”. However, it is clear that investment decisions in major energy projects have been affected, the report said.

“Energy matters are now centre stage in a world of more digitally connected, politically contested, interdependent and diverse societies,” said Angela Wilkinson, secretary general of the World Energy Council.

The report underlines the increasing global uncertainty about the collective ability to manage “a steady global energy transition”, as rising energy costs and shifting geopolitics hinder the ability to find solutions to address climate change, she said.

“Leadership uncertainty reflects the complex challenges of co-ordinating actions on net-zero energy uses, without triggering new threats to regional and global stability,” Ms Wilkinson said.

Prices of natural gas rose steeply last year amid supply chain disruptions and a rise in demand for cleaner fuels for power generation by governments seeking to meet their climate pledges.

Crude prices, which rallied about 67 per cent last year amid steady demand despite coronavirus-induced uncertainties, have carried their momentum into 2022. Oil futures in New York rose as much as 2 per cent on Wednesday, touching $90 a barrel for the first time in seven years.

Brent, the benchmark for more than half of the world’s crude, was trading 0.76 per cent lower at $89.25 per barrel while US crude gauge WTI was down 0.79 per cent at $86.66 a barrel at 9.51am UAE time.

The geopolitics of energy also scored high in the latest report. This higher impact score reflects the perceptions of big energy players such as the US, China and Russia.

Continued energy interdependence, despite record growth in renewable capacity, and growing trade tensions contributed to keeping geopolitics on the critical uncertainty list.

Energy matters are now centre stage in a world of more digitally connected, politically contested, interdependent and diverse societies
Angela Wilkinson,
secretary general of the World Energy Council

Despite a degree of optimism coming out of Cop26, climate change was not at the top of leaders’ list of critical uncertainties, the report said. Bucking this trend, North America emerged as the only region where climate change management was attributed the highest degree of impact.

Renewable energy, a long-standing priority for energy leaders, remained at the top of the action priority agenda in this year’s report.

Global renewable energy capacity jumped 4.7 per cent in 2021, a record year for renewables worldwide.

New installed renewable capacity rose to 227 gigawatts this year, mainly driven by residential solar, offshore wind projects, as well as other forms of stored energy including batteries, according to Norway-based consultancy Rystad Energy.

Renewables were a focus area, notably in the Middle East and the six-member GCC economic bloc, where they form a key pillar of energy transition strategies, the World Energy Council report said.

Countries such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain have already pledged to achieve carbon neutrality by the middle of the century. The UAE plans to invest $160 billion over the next three decades to speed up renewable energy development.

Hydrogen is another focus area for GCC countries but the energy leaders view it with a high degree of uncertainty across most regions as the nascent industry explores ways to build a functioning hydrogen economy, the report said.

The report also underscored a focus on issues affecting equity, with access to quality energy becoming a priority for the first time across all regions.

“Commodity prices are inherently linked to system costs, affordability, taxation and, crucially, equity. Humanising energy is an imperative – we must involve more people and voices, community solutions and ways of holding leaders to account,” Ms Wilkinson said.

“Better solutions for people and planet will require new models of human and economic development and a shift from incremental improvements to transformational strategies that work across borders, across sectors, involve all levels of society and deal with more than one issue at a time.”

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Teaching your child to save

Pre-school (three - five years)

You can’t yet talk about investing or borrowing, but introduce a “classic” money bank and start putting gifts and allowances away. When the child wants a specific toy, have them save for it and help them track their progress.

Early childhood (six - eight years)

Replace the money bank with three jars labelled ‘saving’, ‘spending’ and ‘sharing’. Have the child divide their allowance into the three jars each week and explain their choices in splitting their pocket money. A guide could be 25 per cent saving, 50 per cent spending, 25 per cent for charity and gift-giving.

Middle childhood (nine - 11 years)

Open a bank savings account and help your child establish a budget and set a savings goal. Introduce the notion of ‘paying yourself first’ by putting away savings as soon as your allowance is paid.

Young teens (12 - 14 years)

Change your child’s allowance from weekly to monthly and help them pinpoint long-range goals such as a trip, so they can start longer-term saving and find new ways to increase their saving.

Teenage (15 - 18 years)

Discuss mutual expectations about university costs and identify what they can help fund and set goals. Don’t pay for everything, so they can experience the pride of contributing.

Young adulthood (19 - 22 years)

Discuss post-graduation plans and future life goals, quantify expenses such as first apartment, work wardrobe, holidays and help them continue to save towards these goals.

* JP Morgan Private Bank 

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Name: Mamo 

 Year it started: 2019 Founders: Imad Gharazeddine, Asim Janjua

 Based: Dubai, UAE

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 Sector: Financial services

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25 under -  Antoine Rozner (FRA)

23 - Francesco Laporta (ITA), Mike Lorenzo-Vera (FRA), Andy Sullivan (ENG), Matt Wallace (ENG)

21 - Grant Forrest (SCO)

20 - Ross Fisher (ENG)

19 - Steven Brown (ENG), Joakim Lagergren (SWE), Niklas Lemke (SWE), Marc Warren (SCO), Bernd Wiesberger (AUT)

MATCH INFO

Liverpool 0

Stoke City 0

Man of the Match: Erik Pieters (Stoke)

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Monday, January 28
Iran v Japan, Hazza bin Zayed Stadium (6pm)

Tuesday, January 29
UAEv Qatar, Mohamed Bin Zayed Stadium (6pm)

Friday, February 1
Final, Zayed Sports City Stadium (6pm)

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Emergency

Director: Kangana Ranaut

Stars: Kangana Ranaut, Anupam Kher, Shreyas Talpade, Milind Soman, Mahima Chaudhry 

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Winner: Solar Shower; William Lee (jockey); Helal Al Alawi (trainer)

4.35pm: Handicap; Dh165,000 (D); 2,000m
Winner: Thaaqib; Antonio Fresu; Erwan Charpy.

5.10pm: Maiden; Dh165,000 (Turf); 1,800m
Winner: Bila Shak; Adrie de Vries; Fawzi Nass

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Winner: Beachcomber Bay; Richard Mullen; Satish Seemar

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6.55pm: Handicap;​​​​​​​ Dh185,000 (D); 1,600m
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7.30pm: Handicap; Dh205,000 (T); 1,200m
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MATCH INFO

Everton 2 Southampton 1
Everton: Walcott (15'), Richarlison (31' )
Southampton: Ings (54')

Man of the match: Theo Walcott (Everton)

TWISTERS

Director: Lee Isaac Chung

Starring: Glen Powell, Daisy Edgar-Jones, Anthony Ramos

Rating: 2.5/5

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  • Technology expert in robotics and automation: Dh20,000 to Dh40,000 
  • Energy engineer: Dh25,000 to Dh30,000 
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  • Senior maintenance engineer: Dh22,000 to Dh34,000 
  • Field engineer: Dh6,500 to Dh7,500
  • Field supervisor: Dh9,000 to Dh12,000
  • Field operator: Dh5,000 to Dh7,000
Wicked: For Good

Director: Jon M Chu

Starring: Ariana Grande, Cynthia Erivo, Jonathan Bailey, Jeff Goldblum, Michelle Yeoh, Ethan Slater

Rating: 4/5

The specs

Engine: 1.5-litre 4-cylinder petrol

Power: 154bhp

Torque: 250Nm

Transmission: 7-speed automatic with 8-speed sports option 

Price: From Dh79,600

On sale: Now

Tips for used car buyers
  • Choose cars with GCC specifications
  • Get a service history for cars less than five years old
  • Don’t go cheap on the inspection
  • Check for oil leaks
  • Do a Google search on the standard problems for your car model
  • Do your due diligence. Get a transfer of ownership done at an official RTA centre
  • Check the vehicle’s condition. You don’t want to buy a car that’s a good deal but ends up costing you Dh10,000 in repairs every month
  • Validate warranty and service contracts with the relevant agency and and make sure they are valid when ownership is transferred
  • If you are planning to sell the car soon, buy one with a good resale value. The two most popular cars in the UAE are black or white in colour and other colours are harder to sell

Tarek Kabrit, chief executive of Seez, and Imad Hammad, chief executive and co-founder of CarSwitch.com

Our legal consultants

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Skoda Superb Specs

Engine: 2-litre TSI petrol

Power: 190hp

Torque: 320Nm

Price: From Dh147,000

Available: Now

Surianah's top five jazz artists

Billie Holliday: for the burn and also the way she told stories.  

Thelonius Monk: for his earnestness.

Duke Ellington: for his edge and spirituality.

Louis Armstrong: his legacy is undeniable. He is considered as one of the most revolutionary and influential musicians.

Terence Blanchard: very political - a lot of jazz musicians are making protest music right now.

Updated: January 27, 2022, 10:10 AM