Oil prices are trading higher as demand outstrips supply due to a surge in gas prices along with a quicker than expected economic recovery in some countries. AP Photo / Eric Gay
Oil prices are trading higher as demand outstrips supply due to a surge in gas prices along with a quicker than expected economic recovery in some countries. AP Photo / Eric Gay
Oil prices are trading higher as demand outstrips supply due to a surge in gas prices along with a quicker than expected economic recovery in some countries. AP Photo / Eric Gay
Oil prices are trading higher as demand outstrips supply due to a surge in gas prices along with a quicker than expected economic recovery in some countries. AP Photo / Eric Gay

Oil prices rise as Opec+ sticks with plan to add 400,000 bpd in November


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Oil prices rose on Monday as Opec+ stuck to its plan to increase production by 400,000 barrels per day of supply for November.

The alliance, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, plans to bring 2 million bpd back to the markets by the end of the year, as it gradually unwinds a historic production agreement.

Brent, the international benchmark for more than half of the world's crude, rose 2.91 per cent to $81.59 per barrel at 6.55pm UAE time. West Texas Intermediate, the key gauge for US oil, jumped 2.71 per cent to $77.94 per barrel.

Oil prices are trading higher as demand outstrips supply owing to a surge in gas prices along with a quicker-than-expected economic recovery in developed countries. The rise in natural gas prices as winter approaches has raised the prospect of higher volumes of oil products being consumed in power generation, boosting overall demand.

“Unless a shock in demand, crude oil prices should remain firm going into the winter, at least a lot of indicators are flashing green,” said Malik Zetchi, financial analyst, energy, metals and mining at Pictet Wealth Management.

He also said shale oil suppliers in the US have “no more ambitions to grow volumes like in the past as capital discipline and shareholder returns are now two principles anchored in their strategies.

“Given investors' positive response to this shift, we expect US shale oil producers to maintain a strong discipline.”

Opec also remains largely bullish on oil demand, with its latest forecast expecting consumption to exceed pre-pandemic levels by 2022. The group expects global oil demand to reach 100.8 million bpd next year, according to its monthly oil market report for September.

Opec revised upwards its estimated demand growth for 2022, by 900,000 bpd to 4.2 million bpd amid expectations of higher levels of economic activity and fewer movement restrictions.

The global economy is forecast to grow 6 per cent this year, according to the International Monetary Fund's last World Economic Outlook update in July.

Crude is also expected to remain the biggest component of the international energy mix until 2045, as the world's population increases and the global economy more than doubles in size to $270 trillion, Opec said in its World Oil Outlook 2021 report last week.

“The indications are that the gas market is likely to remain in deficit during the winter season, which in turn potentially further increases demand for crude oil,” Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, said in a note.

Separately on Monday, the chief executive of Aramco, the world's biggest crude exporter, said demand for oil is rising amid tighter natural gas supplies globally as well as due to a fall in surplus oil inventories.

“There is some shift that we have seen from gas to liquids, especially in certain markets in Asia, and that impacts oil demand by additional almost half a million barrels," Amin Nasser told the Energy Intelligence Forum.

"The surplus inventories are behind us right now, down more than 10 per cent from the five-year average so overall the demand is very healthy,” he added.

Aramco also plans to boost its production capacity to 13 million barrels per day by 2027, from 12 million currently.

The state-owned oil company seeks to expand capacity from new and existing fields, Mr Nasser said. The capacity expansion will also be done in phases, he added.

Brief scoreline:

Liverpool 5

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Huddersfield 0

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Goalkeepers Henderson, Pickford, Pope.

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The Saga Continues

Wu-Tang Clan

(36 Chambers / Entertainment One)

Get Out

Director: Jordan Peele

Stars: Daniel Kaluuya, Allison Williams, Catherine Keener, Bradley Whitford

Four stars

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.

Part three: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

UPI facts

More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions

The specs: 2018 Opel Mokka X

Price, as tested: Dh84,000

Engine: 1.4L, four-cylinder turbo

Transmission: Six-speed auto

Power: 142hp at 4,900rpm

Torque: 200Nm at 1,850rpm

Fuel economy, combined: 6.5L / 100km

Country-size land deals

US interest in purchasing territory is not as outlandish as it sounds. Here's a look at some big land transactions between nations:

Louisiana Purchase

If Donald Trump is one who aims to broker "a deal of the century", then this was the "deal of the 19th Century". In 1803, the US nearly doubled in size when it bought 2,140,000 square kilometres from France for $15 million.

Florida Purchase Treaty

The US courted Spain for Florida for years. Spain eventually realised its burden in holding on to the territory and in 1819 effectively ceded it to America in a wider border treaty. 

Alaska purchase

America's spending spree continued in 1867 when it acquired 1,518,800 km2 of  Alaskan land from Russia for $7.2m. Critics panned the government for buying "useless land".

The Philippines

At the end of the Spanish-American War, a provision in the 1898 Treaty of Paris saw Spain surrender the Philippines for a payment of $20 million. 

US Virgin Islands

It's not like a US president has never reached a deal with Denmark before. In 1917 the US purchased the Danish West Indies for $25m and renamed them the US Virgin Islands.

Gwadar

The most recent sovereign land purchase was in 1958 when Pakistan bought the southwestern port of Gwadar from Oman for 5.5bn Pakistan rupees. 

Updated: October 04, 2021, 4:28 PM`