Bahrain is implementing fiscal reform measures to eliminate its budget deficit by 2022. Getty Images
Bahrain is implementing fiscal reform measures to eliminate its budget deficit by 2022. Getty Images
Bahrain is implementing fiscal reform measures to eliminate its budget deficit by 2022. Getty Images
Bahrain is implementing fiscal reform measures to eliminate its budget deficit by 2022. Getty Images

S&P revises Bahrain outlook to positive on improving fiscal position


Deena Kamel
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  • Arabic

S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook for Bahrain to positive from stable, citing expectations that the country's fiscal deficit will shrink as the government continues to implement its reform plans.

The credit rating agency also affirmed its 'B+/B' long- and short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings, it said in a report on Friday.

"The positive outlook primarily indicates that we expect the government to implement further reforms to keep fiscal deficits on a decreasing trajectory," S&P said. "The positive outlook also demonstrates the more stable external position, with support from other GCC sovereigns bolstering reserve assets."

Bahrain received a pledge of $10 billion (Dh36.7bn) in October 2018 from the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait to financially support its reforms that aim to eliminate the budget deficit by 2022. S&P forecasts that the fiscal deficit will decline to 5.1 per cent of Bahrain's gross domestic product in 2020, compared to 5.7 per cent this year. The government has been implementing reform measures to reduce the budget deficit including this year introducing VAT and a voluntary early retirement scheme that reduced the public sector workforce by around 18 per cent.

S&P's positive outlook for Bahrain shows the country's "more stable external position" as support from other Gulf countries bolsters reserve assets, it said. The $3.7bn tranche Bahrain received from the $10bn total sum has supported its foreign currency reserves.

"We expect these deposits to stay, helping to improve Bahrain's external resilience and maintain confidence in the exchange rate peg," the report said.

The agency's ratings are constrained by its view of Bahrain's continued dependence on oil revenue, high stock of government debt and weak trend in economic growth as measured by real GDP per capita, it said.

Still, S&P expects Bahrain's economy to expand 2.1 per cent this year and the next while growing 2.4 per cent in 2021 and 2022.

The government's plans to promote infrastructure development, including several large projects like the refinery modernisation programme, are expected to stimulate growth, S&P said.

"Bahrain's relatively diversified economy still benefits from its proximity to the large market of Saudi Arabia, strong regulatory oversight of the financial sector, relatively well-educated workforce and low-cost environment," it said.

In 2019, Bahrain's economy will grow 2.1 per cent compared to 2.2 per cent a year ago as the government services sector is expected to shrink, weighing on growth, S&P said.

The government is seeking to balance its budget by 2022, a plan that will involve seeking more non-oil sector revenue and reducing government expenditure such as cuts in the public sector workforce.

S&P expects Bahrain's fiscal deficit will narrow to 4.2 per cent of GDP by 2022 — an improvement over recent years — but falling short of the target because of expected continued dependence on oil, it said.

Non-oil revenue increased in 2019 as Bahrain introduced VAT, which could increase revenue by 1.5 per cent of the GDP per year, S&P said.

Government expenditure is expected to drop through to 2022 amid plans to decrease spending through centralised procurement, reducing government transfers to the Electricity and Water Authority, and forms to subsidy programmes.

S&P could raise its ratings on Bahrain within the next 12 months if its "fiscal performance proves stronger" than currently expected.

It could revise its outlook downward to stable if fiscal reforms slow or reverse, it said.

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The Saga Continues

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Courtesy: Crystal Intelligence

Tailors and retailers miss out on back-to-school rush

Tailors and retailers across the city said it was an ominous start to what is usually a busy season for sales.
With many parents opting to continue home learning for their children, the usual rush to buy school uniforms was muted this year.
“So far we have taken about 70 to 80 orders for items like shirts and trousers,” said Vikram Attrai, manager at Stallion Bespoke Tailors in Dubai.
“Last year in the same period we had about 200 orders and lots of demand.
“We custom fit uniform pieces and use materials such as cotton, wool and cashmere.
“Depending on size, a white shirt with logo is priced at about Dh100 to Dh150 and shorts, trousers, skirts and dresses cost between Dh150 to Dh250 a piece.”

A spokesman for Threads, a uniform shop based in Times Square Centre Dubai, said customer footfall had slowed down dramatically over the past few months.

“Now parents have the option to keep children doing online learning they don’t need uniforms so it has quietened down.”

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ELIO

Starring: Yonas Kibreab, Zoe Saldana, Brad Garrett

Directors: Madeline Sharafian, Domee Shi, Adrian Molina

Rating: 4/5

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MATCH INFO

Tottenham Hotspur 3 (Son 1', Kane 8' & 16') West Ham United 3 (Balbuena 82', Sanchez og 85', Lanzini 90' 4)

Man of the match Harry Kane

Essentials

The flights

Emirates and Etihad fly direct from the UAE to Geneva from Dh2,845 return, including taxes. The flight takes 6 hours. 

The package

Clinique La Prairie offers a variety of programmes. A six-night Master Detox costs from 14,900 Swiss francs (Dh57,655), including all food, accommodation and a set schedule of medical consultations and spa treatments.

MOUNTAINHEAD REVIEW

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Director: Jesse Armstrong

Rating: 3.5/5

Recent winners

2002 Giselle Khoury (Colombia)

2004 Nathalie Nasralla (France)

2005 Catherine Abboud (Oceania)

2007 Grace Bijjani  (Mexico)

2008 Carina El-Keddissi (Brazil)

2009 Sara Mansour (Brazil)

2010 Daniella Rahme (Australia)

2011 Maria Farah (Canada)

2012 Cynthia Moukarzel (Kuwait)

2013 Layla Yarak (Australia)              

2014 Lia Saad  (UAE)

2015 Cynthia Farah (Australia)

2016 Yosmely Massaad (Venezuela)

2017 Dima Safi (Ivory Coast)

2018 Rachel Younan (Australia)

The biog

Place of birth: Kalba

Family: Mother of eight children and has 10 grandchildren

Favourite traditional dish: Al Harees, a slow cooked porridge-like dish made from boiled cracked or coarsely ground wheat mixed with meat or chicken

Favourite book: My early life by Sheikh Dr Sultan bin Muhammad Al Qasimi, the Ruler of Sharjah

Favourite quote: By Sheikh Zayed, the UAE's Founding Father, “Those who have no past will have no present or future.”

Omar Yabroudi's factfile

Born: October 20, 1989, Sharjah

Education: Bachelor of Science and Football, Liverpool John Moores University

2010: Accrington Stanley FC, internship

2010-2012: Crystal Palace, performance analyst with U-18 academy

2012-2015: Barnet FC, first-team performance analyst/head of recruitment

2015-2017: Nottingham Forest, head of recruitment

2018-present: Crystal Palace, player recruitment manager

 

 

 

 

LIVING IN...

This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.

Globalization and its Discontents Revisited
Joseph E. Stiglitz
W. W. Norton & Company

The biog

Name: Younis Al Balooshi

Nationality: Emirati

Education: Doctorate degree in forensic medicine at the University of Bonn

Hobbies: Drawing and reading books about graphic design

SERIE A FIXTURES

Saturday (All UAE kick-off times)

Lecce v SPAL (6pm)

Bologna v Genoa (9pm)

Atlanta v Roma (11.45pm)

Sunday

Udinese v Hellas Verona (3.30pm)

Juventus v Brescia (6pm)

Sampdoria v Fiorentina (6pm)

Sassuolo v Parma (6pm)

Cagliari v Napoli (9pm)

Lazio v Inter Milan (11.45pm)

Monday

AC Milan v Torino (11.45pm)