Qatar Central Bank in Doha. The IMF has forecast that non-oil growth will reverse for the country this year. REUTERS/Naseem Zeitoon/Reuters
Qatar Central Bank in Doha. The IMF has forecast that non-oil growth will reverse for the country this year. REUTERS/Naseem Zeitoon/Reuters

Qatar non-oil growth to slow as isolation continues, says IMF



Qatar’s non-oil economic growth will slow this year as a result of the country’s economic isolation by its Arabian Gulf neighbours, according to the IMF.

“Non-oil growth is projected to moderate to 4.6 per cent in 2017 from 5.6 per cent in 2016, due to the ongoing fiscal consolidation and trade diversion,” said Mohammed El Qorchi, the leader of an IMF team that visited Doha from August 13-20 to take stock of recent economic developments.

“Over the medium term, non-hydrocarbon GDP growth is expected to reach 4.8 per cent, as structural reforms are implemented," he added.”

Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain, Egypt and other countries severed diplomatic, economic and transport ties with Qatar on June 5, accusing Doha of supporting terrorism and meddling in their internal affairs. Qatar has denied the charges.

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Mr El Qorchi noted the country’s isolation prompted a 40 per cent contraction in imports for June, followed by a slight recovery in July. The country’s efforts to diversify sources of imports and external financing and enhance domestic food processing had subsequently accelerated, he said.

But the standoff between Qatar and its neighbours could seriously harm the country's economy if not resolved soon, said Mr El Qorchi. 
"Over the longer term, the diplomatic rift could weaken confidence and reduce investment and growth," he said, adding that it might "possibly" affect other GCC countries as well.

Fitch Ratings last week cut Qatar’s sovereign rating by a notch, saying citing slim prospects of ending the diplomatic and logistical isolation by its neighbours.

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Moody's cuts Qatar's bank outlook to negative as concerns about profitability rise amid Gulf crisis

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Qatar’s headline inflation remains subdued at 0.8 per cent for June, even though transportation (8.9 per cent) and food costs (2 per cent) have edged up, according to the IMF.  Delays caused by rerouting trade have raised operational costs for some businesses, the fund noted.

Local banks had come under pressure during the dispute, with some lenders in Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Bahrain cutting their exposure to Qatar.

Foreign deposits dropped the most in two years in June, according to Bloomberg, and Moody’s Investors Service cut its outlook on Qatar’s banking system to negative on weakening operating conditions.

Policymakers mitigated the impact on local lenders’ balance sheets by injecting liquidity and boosting public sector deposits, and Qatari banks remain “sound, with high asset quality and strong capitalisation,” the IMF said.

In line with the rest of the GCC, Qatar plans to introduce VAT next year, which should help to shore up its reserves, the fund noted.

Correspondents

By Tim Murphy

(Grove Press)

About Krews

Founder: Ahmed Al Qubaisi

Based: Abu Dhabi

Founded: January 2019

Number of employees: 10

Sector: Technology/Social media 

Funding to date: Estimated $300,000 from Hub71 in-kind support

 

2025 Fifa Club World Cup groups

Group A: Palmeiras, Porto, Al Ahly, Inter Miami.

Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.

Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.

Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, (Leon banned).

Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.

Group F: Fluminense, Borussia Dortmund, Ulsan, Mamelodi Sundowns.

Group G: Manchester City, Wydad, Al Ain, Juventus.

Group H: Real Madrid, Al Hilal, Pachuca, Salzburg.

Company%20profile
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The specs: 2018 Jaguar F-Type Convertible

Price, base / as tested: Dh283,080 / Dh318,465

Engine: 2.0-litre inline four-cylinder

Transmission: Eight-speed automatic

Power: 295hp @ 5,500rpm

Torque: 400Nm @ 1,500rpm

Fuel economy, combined: 7.2L / 100km

The%20specs
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The rules on fostering in the UAE

A foster couple or family must:

  • be Muslim, Emirati and be residing in the UAE
  • not be younger than 25 years old
  • not have been convicted of offences or crimes involving moral turpitude
  • be free of infectious diseases or psychological and mental disorders
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  • undertake to treat and raise the child in a proper manner and take care of his or her health and well-being
  • A single, divorced or widowed Muslim Emirati female, residing in the UAE may apply to foster a child if she is at least 30 years old and able to support the child financially
The specs

AT4 Ultimate, as tested

Engine: 6.2-litre V8

Power: 420hp

Torque: 623Nm

Transmission: 10-speed automatic

Price: From Dh330,800 (Elevation: Dh236,400; AT4: Dh286,800; Denali: Dh345,800)

On sale: Now

Company profile

Company name: Suraasa

Started: 2018

Founders: Rishabh Khanna, Ankit Khanna and Sahil Makker

Based: India, UAE and the UK

Industry: EdTech

Initial investment: More than $200,000 in seed funding

2025 Fifa Club World Cup groups

Group A: Palmeiras, Porto, Al Ahly, Inter Miami.

Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.

Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.

Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, Leon.

Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.

Group F: Fluminense, Borussia Dortmund, Ulsan, Mamelodi Sundowns.

Group G: Manchester City, Wydad, Al Ain, Juventus.

Group H: Real Madrid, Al Hilal, Pachuca, Salzburg.

In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

Company profile

Name: Oulo.com

Founder: Kamal Nazha

Based: Dubai

Founded: 2020

Number of employees: 5

Sector: Technology

Funding: $450,000

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Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal

Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham

Rating: 3.5/5