The IMF is urging Oman to implement structural reforms to boost private sector-led growth, increase economic diversification and create jobs. Silvia Razgova / The National
The IMF is urging Oman to implement structural reforms to boost private sector-led growth, increase economic diversification and create jobs. Silvia Razgova / The National

Oman's economy to grow faster this year and next as energy exports rise



Oman's economy is expected to grow faster this year and next as rising oil and gas production boosts exports while the government increases investments in the non-oil sector to diversify hydrocarbons revenue.

The Gulf nation's gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, is set to accelerate to 2.8 per cent in 2018 and 3.5 per cent next year, from 0.4 per cent in 2017, according to a report released on Tuesday by BMI, a unit of Fitch Ratings.

"The rising price of oil will offer upsides to fiscal revenues, boosting government consumption," the report said. "Economic diversification efforts will continue apace and generate considerable investment in manufacturing, logistics and tourism."

Oman, the biggest Arab oil exporter that is not a member of Opec, has one of the weakest financial positions among the Gulf's nations. It planned to introduce a 5 per cent value-added tax at the beginning of this year, but delayed it over concerns about a negative impact on consumer spending. Oman also extended a six-month freeze on hiring foreign workers – in sectors including media, information technology, marketing, insurance and aviation – until the end of the year, to boost local employment.

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In the second half of the year, Oman's crude output is expected to increase as part of an agreement in Vienna among Opec members last month to boost production. Together with a rise in natural gas production from Oman's Khazan field, oil and gas exports should increase net exports and boost real GDP, BMI said. A rise in the price of oil, which accounted for 55 per cent of state revenues in 2017, will also support government spending.

"Hydrocarbon gains – both in prices and production – will allow the government to return to expansionary fiscal policy in 2018 after three consecutive years of spending cuts, boosting government consumption," the report said.

Government investments in non-oil sectors will lead to an uptick in economic activity over the coming quarters.

Oman’s construction sector outperformed the region, with forecasts of real industry growth of 10.4 per cent in 2018 and 11.5 per cent in 2019. This is compared to the regional averages of 7.1 per cent and 7.3 per cent respectively, BMI says.  The sultanate is also investing in projects in the budding shipping hubs in Sohar and Duqm.

The Oxford Economics and ICAEW's report on the Middle East economic outlook also echoed BMI views projecting Oman's GDP growth to reach 3.6 per cent this year and 2.8 per cent next year from 0.2 per cent a year ago.

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Explainer: Tanween Design Programme

Non-profit arts studio Tashkeel launched this annual initiative with the intention of supporting budding designers in the UAE. This year, three talents were chosen from hundreds of applicants to be a part of the sixth creative development programme. These are architect Abdulla Al Mulla, interior designer Lana El Samman and graphic designer Yara Habib.

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Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi and Deputy Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces, established Edge in 2019.

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Pox that threatens the Middle East's native species

Camelpox

Caused by a virus related to the one that causes human smallpox, camelpox typically causes fever, swelling of lymph nodes and skin lesions in camels aged over three, but the animal usually recovers after a month or so. Younger animals may develop a more acute form that causes internal lesions and diarrhoea, and is often fatal, especially when secondary infections result. It is found across the Middle East as well as in parts of Asia, Africa, Russia and India.

Falconpox

Falconpox can cause a variety of types of lesions, which can affect, for example, the eyelids, feet and the areas above and below the beak. It is a problem among captive falcons and is one of many types of avian pox or avipox diseases that together affect dozens of bird species across the world. Among the other forms are pigeonpox, turkeypox, starlingpox and canarypox. Avipox viruses are spread by mosquitoes and direct bird-to-bird contact.

Houbarapox

Houbarapox is, like falconpox, one of the many forms of avipox diseases. It exists in various forms, with a type that causes skin lesions being least likely to result in death. Other forms cause more severe lesions, including internal lesions, and are more likely to kill the bird, often because secondary infections develop. This summer the CVRL reported an outbreak of pox in houbaras after rains in spring led to an increase in mosquito numbers.