Food and beverage price increases were blamed for the rising costs by eight in 10 respondents while 67 per cent cited rising utility bills. Jaime Puebla / The National
Food and beverage price increases were blamed for the rising costs by eight in 10 respondents while 67 per cent cited rising utility bills. Jaime Puebla / The National

More than half of UAE professionals expect a pay rise in 2018: survey



More than half of UAE professionals are expecting a pay rise this year, a new study from online job site Bayt.com revealed on Monday, with close to a third believing inflation and the rise in the cost of living will drive the increases.

According to the Middle East and North Africa Salaries survey from YouGov and Bayt.com, 56 per cent of respondents expect a salary hike before the end of the year while 27 per cent believe their raise will be as much as 10 per cent.

“It’s no surprise that as the cost of living increases in the Mena region, so do salaries and raise expectations," said Suhail Masri, vice president of employer solutions, at Bayt.com.

However, David Mackenzie, managing director of Mackenzie Jones Group, one of the largest independent recruitment groups in the GCC, said that employees expecting an increase are “really hoping here”.

“The economy is still creaking along and for companies to increase their cost line over decreasing profits is a wish scenario,” he said. “The people expecting a salary increase of 10 per cent are just dreaming."

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According to the Bayt.com survey, almost half of respondents received a salary raise in 2017 - a year that saw cost of living increases of up to 30 per cent for the majority of those polled. Food and beverage price increases were blamed for the rising costs by eight in 10 respondents while 67 per cent cited rising utility bills. The majority of those surveyed also anticipate a further increase in the cost of living in 2018, saying that most of their current monthly expenditure goes on food and dining out followed by education and books.

Mr Mackenzie said that rising prices do not guarantee a pay rise.

“Just because the cost of living goes up does not mean the company you work for has to bear those costs – that’s not how it works,” he said. “The reality is that you get an increase in your salary whether the market’s good or bad depending on how well you are doing."

The Bayt.com study, which aims to gauge employee satisfaction with their current salary levels, found that the current salary package for six in 10 UAE respondents consists of a basic salary with benefits while just under a quarter say they only receive a basic salary. The benefits residents are most likely to receive are medical insurance (53 per cent), followed by an annual air ticket (45 per cent) and an end of service gratuity (32 per cent). Only 28 per cent receive a bonus and 27 per cent a housing allowance.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

At a glance

Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.

 

Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year

 

Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month

 

Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30 

 

Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse

 

Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth

 

Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances

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