Digital transformation will reshape the GCC’s $275.4 billion (Dh1.01tn) retail sector post-pandemic, in turn ‘right-sizing’ a glut and leading to the adoption of artificial intelligence across the industry, according to the UAE’s leading retailers.
“Data will be the new soil – the new engine for growth in the retail sector,” Piyush Chowhan, group chief information officer at Lulu Group International, the region's largest retailer in the GCC, told delegates at a webinar organised by RetailME, a regional retail sector market intelligence provider. “Technology will drive digital initiatives. Good customer experience will come from an innovation mindset, driven using different technology tools."
Prior to the outbreak of the pandemic, retail in the GCC showed strong growth, with fashion and beauty sales projected to grow by $6bn between 2020 and 2023, reaching a market size of $16bn in 2023, according to a July report on the GCC retail sector by CBRE and Roland Berger. However, the sector is also facing challenges due to the high density levels of retail space and the growth in e-commerce.
The retail business is being "right-sized”, said Ashish Panjabi, chief operating officer of Jacky’s Retail & Jacky’s Business Solutions.
"A shrinkage means changes now, but when things get better we will surely rethink how we adapt to growth as we will make use of all available routes to market (online and physical) and maximising our returns on it instead of overexpanding."
The retail market's "massive oversupply" was now being "corrected”, he added.
The Covid-19 pandemic has triggered a global recession that is expected to be the worst since the Great Depression, according to the International Monetary Fund.
A number of retail giants across the world are reporting losses in the wake of movement restrictions imposed by governments to contain the spread of the virus. Major retail brands have been forced to file for bankruptcy in the US including Brooks Brothers, JC Penney, J Crew, Neiman Marcus, Muji USA, Luck Brand, nutritional supplement seller GNC and others.
Retailers are meanwhile initiating a rapid shift to online, embracing technology and integrating artificial intelligence into their operations. The pandemic also means new trends, including contactless checkout, are being expedited across the GCC due to social distancing measures.
Two-thirds of UAE consumers, for example, made their first online grocery purchase due to lockdown measures, according to the Visa CEMEA Impact Tracker.
In Saudi Arabia, Dubai retailer Danube saw a threefold increase in average daily sales through its website and app by the end of March, compared with the previous month.
Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia’s Bin Dawood Group saw online sales triple, according to RetailME.
“Our sector has been highly resilient through the pandemic. During the lockdown, there was huge demand as customers stocked up and prepared food at home. Our online platforms – both BinDawood and Danube Online – saw huge traction, so much so that we had to expand the capacity of operations,” said Waleed Bin Dawood, chief commercial officer, BinDawood Holding.
The region’s retail sector is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4 per cent reaching $308bn in 2023 from a base of $253.2bn in 2018, according to Dubai-based Alpen Capital.
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Profile
Company name: Jaib
Started: January 2018
Co-founders: Fouad Jeryes and Sinan Taifour
Based: Jordan
Sector: FinTech
Total transactions: over $800,000 since January, 2018
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Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
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Khouli conviction
Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.
For sale
A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.
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Myofascial pain syndrome refers to pain and inflammation in the body’s soft tissue. MPS is a chronic condition that affects the fascia (connective tissue that covers the muscles, which develops knots, also known as trigger points).
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How to get exposure to gold
Although you can buy gold easily on the Dubai markets, the problem with buying physical bars, coins or jewellery is that you then have storage, security and insurance issues.
A far easier option is to invest in a low-cost exchange traded fund (ETF) that invests in the precious metal instead, for example, ETFS Physical Gold (PHAU) and iShares Physical Gold (SGLN) both track physical gold. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF invests directly in mining companies.
Alternatively, BlackRock Gold & General seeks to achieve long-term capital growth primarily through an actively managed portfolio of gold mining, commodity and precious-metal related shares. Its largest portfolio holdings include gold miners Newcrest Mining, Barrick Gold Corp, Agnico Eagle Mines and the NewMont Goldcorp.
Brave investors could take on the added risk of buying individual gold mining stocks, many of which have performed wonderfully well lately.
London-listed Centamin is up more than 70 per cent in just three months, although in a sign of its volatility, it is down 5 per cent on two years ago. Trans-Siberian Gold, listed on London's alternative investment market (AIM) for small stocks, has seen its share price almost quadruple from 34p to 124p over the same period, but do not assume this kind of runaway growth can continue for long
However, buying individual equities like these is highly risky, as their share prices can crash just as quickly, which isn't what what you want from a supposedly safe haven.
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