The PMI's of Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt improved in May with the gradual easing of lockdowns. Bloomberg
The PMI's of Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt improved in May with the gradual easing of lockdowns. Bloomberg
The PMI's of Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt improved in May with the gradual easing of lockdowns. Bloomberg
The PMI's of Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt improved in May with the gradual easing of lockdowns. Bloomberg

Arab world's three largest economies improve as pandemic restrictions ease


Sarmad Khan
  • English
  • Arabic

The non-oil private sector in Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt, the Arab world's three largest economies, improved in May as restrictions imposed amid the Covid-19 pandemic began to ease.

The seasonally-adjusted IHS Markit Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers' Index – a composite gauge designed to give a single-figure snapshot of operating conditions in the non-oil private sector economy – improved to 48.1 in May from 44.4 in April.  Slower declines in output, new work and employment helped improve the contraction. A reading above a neutral 50 level indicates economic expansion and below points to a contraction.

The overall decline in output volumes was slower than the survey-record seen in April. However, businesses continued to report an impact on customer demand from the Covid-19 pandemic, according to the survey.

Non-oil private sector output has now decreased for three consecutive months, according to the latest survey data. The latest drop was “overwhelmingly attributed” to business closures and constrained capacity amid the public health emergency. Some firms, however, said that an easing of lockdown measures had helped alleviate pressure on private sector businesses.

“Business conditions in Saudi Arabia deteriorated again during May, but the speed of the downturn moderated from April's survey-record pace,” Tim Moore, economics director at IHS Markit, which compiles the survey, said.

“Some firms noted that an easing of lockdown measures had helped mitigate the downturn in May, alongside efforts to boost online business operations,” he said.

May data also shows businesses have increasingly sought to agree salary cuts in the face of reduced workloads, with the latest drop in average staff costs the fastest since the survey began in August 2009, he added.

The latest data collected in Saudi Arabia between 12-21 May also shows a decline in new order volumes across the private sector economy due to worsening global economic conditions and spending cutbacks. Export sales also decreased, largely because of international border closures and a lack of shipping availability.

Purchasing managers' indexes and production gauges in most developed and emerging economies have declined as government imposed lockdowns to stem the spread of Covid-19. The pandemic is the greatest challenge for the world economy, which is set to slide into the deepest recession since the 1930s. Economies are gradually opening four months after the World Health Organisation declared Covid-19 a pandemic.

Saudi Arabia and the UAE are now opening up, as restrictions on peoples’ movements are eased. Public and private sector employees are returning to work in phases, while malls and other private sector businesses have reopened. On Tuesday, Dubai said all malls and private sector business will operate at 100 per cent capacity.

The UAE's headline seasonally adjusted IHS Markit PMI increased to 46.7 in May from a record low of 44.1 in April.

Output fell to a much lesser extent than April's unprecedented drop. Though private sector firms were still constrained by weaker market environment and lower employment, greater freedom of movement in the country led to an easing of supply chain pressures, while input costs ticked up for the first time since February, according to the survey.

“The change in curfew hours in May helped to lighten the impact on the UAE economy,” David Owen, an economist at IHS Markit, said.

"Some firms noted that an easing of lockdown measures had helped mitigate the downturn in May, alongside efforts to boost online business operations," Tim Moore, economics director at IHS Markit, said.

Lockdown measures worldwide have notably reduced exports, and limited input supply. Export sales in the UAE fell in May, but at a softer rate, while the lifting of travel restrictions helped deliveries, he added.

UAE firms continued to reduce employment numbers in May, although the latest fall was the softest since February. Rising cost pressures led them to make further adjustments to salaries, as staffing costs fell at the quickest pace in the survey's history.

Meanwhile, Egypt's non-oil private sector has also rebounded from a record low in April, with the headline IHS Markit Egypt Purchasing Managers’ Index rising to 40.7 in May from 29.7 in April.

Output levels in the Arab world's third largest economy continued to contract midway through the second quarter, although the rate of decline eased considerably from April when businesses were mainly shut.

“Solace for Egyptian firms is that overall cost burdens eased for the first time in the series history, as wage cuts coupled with only a marginal rise in purchase prices in May,” Mr Owen said.  “This could be important as firms look to maintain low output prices for when the economy recovers, with the market environment likely to be challenging.”

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1971 Abu Dhabi National Oil Company established

1980 Ruwais Housing Complex built, located 10 kilometres away from industrial plants

1982 120,000 bpd capacity Ruwais refinery complex officially inaugurated by the founder of the UAE Sheikh Zayed

1984 Second phase of Ruwais Housing Complex built. Today the 7,000-unit complex houses some 24,000 people.  

1985 The refinery is expanded with the commissioning of a 27,000 b/d hydro cracker complex

2009 Plans announced to build $1.2 billion fertilizer plant in Ruwais, producing urea

2010 Adnoc awards $10bn contracts for expansion of Ruwais refinery, to double capacity from 415,000 bpd

2014 Ruwais 261-outlet shopping mall opens

2014 Production starts at newly expanded Ruwais refinery, providing jet fuel and diesel and allowing the UAE to be self-sufficient for petrol supplies

2014 Etihad Rail begins transportation of sulphur from Shah and Habshan to Ruwais for export

2017 Aldar Academies to operate Adnoc’s schools including in Ruwais from September. Eight schools operate in total within the housing complex.

2018 Adnoc announces plans to invest $3.1 billion on upgrading its Ruwais refinery 

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2018 Adnoc announces new downstream strategy at event in Abu Dhabi on May 13

Source: The National

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Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

Company Profile
Company name: OneOrder

Started: October 2021

Founders: Tamer Amer and Karim Maurice

Based: Cairo, Egypt

Industry: technology, logistics

Investors: A15 and self-funded 

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