The Riyadh skyline. Saudi Arabia’s economy grew at the fastest pace since 2022 in the fourth quarter of last year. Photo: Abaca Press.
The Riyadh skyline. Saudi Arabia’s economy grew at the fastest pace since 2022 in the fourth quarter of last year. Photo: Abaca Press.
The Riyadh skyline. Saudi Arabia’s economy grew at the fastest pace since 2022 in the fourth quarter of last year. Photo: Abaca Press.
The Riyadh skyline. Saudi Arabia’s economy grew at the fastest pace since 2022 in the fourth quarter of last year. Photo: Abaca Press.

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil business activity records strongest growth since 2014


Deena Kamel
  • English
  • Arabic

Saudi Arabia's non-oil private sector economy in January recorded the strongest expansion in more than a decade, buoyed by a surge in new orders, as the kingdom continues to diversify its economy away from hydrocarbons.

The headline Riyad Bank purchasing managers' index climbed to 60.5 last month, from 58.4 in December, well above the 50-point mark that separates expansion from contraction.

“This strong performance underscores the resilience of the non-oil private sector, fuelled by surging new orders and a significant rise in business output,” Naif Al-Ghaith, chief economist at Riyad Bank, said. “Nearly 45 per cent of firms observed higher sales volumes, attributing this growth to positive economic conditions and the acceleration of infrastructure projects.”

The rise in export orders further complemented domestic demand, particularly from the Gulf countries, reflecting effective marketing and competitive pricing strategies employed by businesses in the Arab world's largest economy, Mr Al-Ghaith added.

Economic overhaul

Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter, is overhauling its economy under its Vision 2030 diversification agenda. It aims to reduce its dependence on oil, encourage domestic industries and create more jobs for its citizens. Developing non-oil industries such as aviation, tourism, technology, real estate and infrastructure projects is one of the central planks of Riyadh's diversification strategy.

The kingdom has also introduced sweeping fiscal, social and economic reforms to attract foreign investment and support the private sector to boost its economic contribution.

Saudi Arabia’s economy grew at the fastest pace since 2022 during the fourth quarter of last year, buoyed by expansion of the oil and non-oil sectors.

The country’s gross domestic product grew by 4.4 per cent on an annual basis during the three-month period to the end of December 2024 “supported by the growth of key economic activities”, according to its General Authority for Statistics. The rise is higher than the 2.8 per cent year-on-year GDP growth recorded in the third quarter of 2024.

Saudi Arabia's non-oil sector last month recorded the fastest increase in total new orders in 13 and a half years, which led to rapid expansion in activity and stocks, according to Riyad Bank survey data.

The sharp rise in new orders was due to “accommodative economic conditions” that supported a strong boost to customer orders, while some companies benefitted from new infrastructure projects, the report said.

Export sales also helped to boost new orders, with the latest data pointing to the fastest growth in foreign demand for 18 months in January. Some companies said increased marketing, competitive prices and better relations with international customers had driven up sales.

Year-ahead optimism

Businesses surveyed also reported an increase in activity in January, the sharpest for 18 months, driven by higher demand. The upturn reflected expansion across the sector, leading companies to hire more staff for the ninth consecutive month.

The latest survey data also showed the strongest year-ahead forecasts for business activity in 10 months.

“This came despite another uptick in input price pressures, which firms mainly attributed to increased material prices amid geopolitical tensions,” the report said.

The outlook for the kingdom's non-oil economy remains optimistic and businesses expect sustained demand growth and supportive market conditions throughout 2025. Mr Al-Ghaith said.

Employment trends underline the “positive sentiment”, while supply chain improvements and higher purchasing activity have improved efficiencies, preparing businesses for sustained growth.

“These indicators highlight the progress being made toward Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, as the economy diversifies and strengthens its non-oil foundations,” he said.

The Red Sea resort town of Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt. The country's non-oil business activity in January was at its highest level since November 2020. Getty Images.
The Red Sea resort town of Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt. The country's non-oil business activity in January was at its highest level since November 2020. Getty Images.

Egypt swings to growth

Meanwhile, Egypt's non-oil private sector began 2025 by swinging back to growth territory, recording its fastest expansion in more than four years as output and sales volumes increased while costs fell to an eight-month low.

The headline seasonally adjusted S&P Global Egypt Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 50.7 in January, from 48.1 in December, reaching a 50-month high in the first month of the year.

"The ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas likely added confidence to markets in January," David Owen, senior economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said.

Improved domestic market conditions drove January sales higher, supported by easing inflationary pressure, which helped to slow the rate of output price inflation to its lowest in four-and-a-half years. New orders, particularly in the manufacturing, construction and wholesale and retail sectors also rose.

Despite business conditions improving, companies were "restrained" in their outlook of future activity, with expectations slipping from December to a historically low level in January, according to the survey report.

"Business expectations for the next 12 months remain subdued, showing that firms are still uncertain about economic stability over the longer term," Mr Owen said.

UPI facts

More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions

In Praise of Zayed

A thousand grains of Sand whirl in the sky
To mark the journey of one passer-by
If then a Cavalcade disturbs the scene,
Shall such grains sing before they start to fly?

What man of Honour, and to Honour bred
Will fear to go wherever Truth has led?
For though a Thousand urge him to retreat
He'll laugh, until such counsellors have fled.

Stands always One, defiant and alone
Against the Many, when all Hope has flown.
Then comes the Test; and only then the time
Of reckoning what each can call his own.

History will not forget: that one small Seed
Sufficed to tip the Scales in time of need.
More than a debt, the Emirates owe to Zayed
Their very Souls, from outside influence freed.
No praise from Roderic can increase his Fame.
Steadfastness was the Essence of his name.
The changing years grow Gardens in the Sand
And build new Roads to Sand which stays the same.
But Hearts are not rebuilt, nor Seed resown.
What was, remains, essentially Alone.
Until the Golden Messenger, all-wise,
Calls out: "Come now, my Friend!" - and All is known

- Roderic Fenwick Owen

The National's picks

4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young

ONCE UPON A TIME IN GAZA

Starring: Nader Abd Alhay, Majd Eid, Ramzi Maqdisi

Directors: Tarzan and Arab Nasser

Rating: 4.5/5

The National Archives, Abu Dhabi

Founded over 50 years ago, the National Archives collects valuable historical material relating to the UAE, and is the oldest and richest archive relating to the Arabian Gulf.

Much of the material can be viewed on line at the Arabian Gulf Digital Archive - https://www.agda.ae/en

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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UAE WARRIORS RESULTS

Featherweight

Azouz Anwar (EGY) beat Marcelo Pontes (BRA)

TKO round 2

Catchweight 90kg

Moustafa Rashid Nada (KSA) beat Imad Al Howayeck (LEB)

Split points decision

Welterweight

Gimbat Ismailov (RUS) beat Mohammed Al Khatib (JOR)

TKO round 1

Flyweight (women)

Lucie Bertaud (FRA) beat Kelig Pinson (BEL)

Unanimous points decision

Lightweight

Alexandru Chitoran (ROU) beat Regelo Enumerables Jr (PHI)

TKO round 1

Catchweight 100kg

Marc Vleiger (NED) beat Mohamed Ali (EGY)

Rear neck choke round 1

Featherweight

James Bishop (NZ) beat Mark Valerio (PHI)

TKO round 2

Welterweight

Abdelghani Saber (EGY) beat Gerson Carvalho (BRA)

TKO round 1

Middleweight

Bakhtiyar Abbasov (AZE) beat Igor Litoshik (BLR)

Unanimous points decision

Bantamweight

Fabio Mello (BRA) beat Mark Alcoba (PHI)

Unanimous points decision

Welterweight

Ahmed Labban (LEB) v Magomedsultan Magomedsultanov (RUS)

TKO round 1

Bantamweight

Trent Girdham (AUS) beat Jayson Margallo (PHI)

TKO round 3

Lightweight

Usman Nurmagomedov (RUS) beat Roman Golovinov (UKR)

TKO round 1

Middleweight

Tarek Suleiman (SYR) beat Steve Kennedy (AUS)

Submission round 2

Lightweight

Dan Moret (USA) v Anton Kuivanen (FIN)

TKO round 2

In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

In The Heights

Directed by: Jon M. Chu

Stars: Anthony Ramos, Lin-Manual Miranda

Rating: ****

UAE%20Warriors%2045%20Results
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Company%20Profile
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Company%20profile
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EName%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EPurpl%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECo-founders%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EKarl%20Naim%2C%20Wissam%20Ghorra%2C%20Jean-Marie%20Khoueir%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EHub71%20in%20Abu%20Dhabi%20and%20Beirut%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E2021%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ENumber%20of%20employees%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E12%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ESector%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EFinTech%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EFunding%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E%242%20million%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
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Power: 254hp

Torque: 390Nm

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Dubai World Cup nominations

UAE: Thunder Snow/Saeed bin Suroor (trainer), North America/Satish Seemar, Drafted/Doug Watson, New Trails/Ahmad bin Harmash, Capezzano, Gronkowski, Axelrod, all trained by Salem bin Ghadayer

USA: Seeking The Soul/Dallas Stewart, Imperial Hunt/Luis Carvajal Jr, Audible/Todd Pletcher, Roy H/Peter Miller, Yoshida/William Mott, Promises Fulfilled/Dale Romans, Gunnevera/Antonio Sano, XY Jet/Jorge Navarro, Pavel/Doug O’Neill, Switzerland/Steve Asmussen.

Japan: Matera Sky/Hideyuki Mori, KT Brace/Haruki Sugiyama. Bahrain: Nine Below Zero/Fawzi Nass. Ireland: Tato Key/David Marnane. Hong Kong: Fight Hero/Me Tsui. South Korea: Dolkong/Simon Foster.

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.

Part three: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

The biog

Favourite book: Homegoing by Yaa Gyasi

Favourite holiday destination: Spain

Favourite film: Bohemian Rhapsody

Favourite place to visit in the UAE: The beach or Satwa

Children: Stepdaughter Tyler 27, daughter Quito 22 and son Dali 19

57%20Seconds
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Key facilities
  • Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
  • Premier League-standard football pitch
  • 400m Olympic running track
  • NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
  • 600-seat auditorium
  • Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
  • An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
  • Specialist robotics and science laboratories
  • AR and VR-enabled learning centres
  • Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
Specs
Engine: Electric motor generating 54.2kWh (Cooper SE and Aceman SE), 64.6kW (Countryman All4 SE)
Power: 218hp (Cooper and Aceman), 313hp (Countryman)
Torque: 330Nm (Cooper and Aceman), 494Nm (Countryman)
On sale: Now
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The specs

AT4 Ultimate, as tested

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Torque: 623Nm

Transmission: 10-speed automatic

Price: From Dh330,800 (Elevation: Dh236,400; AT4: Dh286,800; Denali: Dh345,800)

On sale: Now

Analysis

Maros Sefcovic is juggling multiple international trade agreement files, but his message was clear when he spoke to The National on Wednesday.

The EU-UAE bilateral trade deal will be finalised soon, he said. It is in everyone’s interests to do so. Both sides want to move quickly and are in alignment. He said the UAE is a very important partner for the EU. It’s full speed ahead - and with some lofty ambitions - on the road to a free trade agreement. 

We also talked about US-EU tariffs. He answered that both sides need to talk more and more often, but he is prepared to defend Europe's position and said diplomacy should be a guiding principle through the current moment. 

 

Why seagrass matters
  • Carbon sink: Seagrass sequesters carbon up to 35X faster than tropical rainforests
  • Marine nursery: Crucial habitat for juvenile fish, crustations, and invertebrates
  • Biodiversity: Support species like sea turtles, dugongs, and seabirds
  • Coastal protection: Reduce erosion and improve water quality
Most sought after workplace benefits in the UAE
  • Flexible work arrangements
  • Pension support
  • Mental well-being assistance
  • Insurance coverage for optical, dental, alternative medicine, cancer screening
  • Financial well-being incentives 
MATCH INFO

Euro 2020 qualifier

Croatia v Hungary, Thursday, 10.45pm, UAE

TV: Match on BeIN Sports

Updated: February 04, 2025, 9:45 AM`