Shopping for groceries in Rosemead, California. Core PCE inflation – which excludes food and energy – rose 0.2 per cent last month. AFP
Shopping for groceries in Rosemead, California. Core PCE inflation – which excludes food and energy – rose 0.2 per cent last month. AFP
Shopping for groceries in Rosemead, California. Core PCE inflation – which excludes food and energy – rose 0.2 per cent last month. AFP
Shopping for groceries in Rosemead, California. Core PCE inflation – which excludes food and energy – rose 0.2 per cent last month. AFP

PCE: US inflation slows further as momentum builds towards soft landing


Kyle Fitzgerald
  • English
  • Arabic

US inflation continued its gradual descent in December, adding to hopes that a soft landing is within reach.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price index increased 0.2 per cent last month, up from a 0.1 per cent drop in November, the Commerce Department reported on Friday. On an annual basis, PCE inflation remained unchanged at 2.6 per cent.

Core PCE inflation – which excludes food and energy – rose 0.2 per cent last month, up from a 0.1 per cent rise in November. It eased to 2.9 per cent per cent annually after a 3.2 per cent increase in November.

Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expected core PCE inflation would rise 0.2 per cent in December and 3 per cent on an annual basis.

Consumer spending – which accounts for roughly 70 per cent of economic activity – increased 0.7 per cent in December.

Separate federal data released on Thursday showed PCE inflation for the last three months of the year eased to 1.7 per cent, while core PCE rose 2.0 per cent – both within the Fed's 2 per cent goal.

The latest batch of economic data indicated continued momentum towards a soft landing as inflation shows signs of moderation, consumer spending remains strong and layoffs remain low.

Friday's report is the final piece of inflationary data before the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting next week. The central bank is expected to hold interest rates steady at 5.4 per cent.

The Fed closely monitors core PCE data when making its monetary policy decisions.

While keeping rates steady at the conclusion of their January meeting is a near certainty, traders will be looking for clues for when the Fed may begin cutting rates.

Projections released by the Fed showed it expects three quarter-rate cuts this year, although it has not suggested when that might begin.

Markets are split over when the Fed may cut rates after January. According to the CME Group, 48 per cent believe the first rate cut will happen in March, while 50 per cent think it will be in May.

The Fed meets on January 30-31.

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The biog

Title: General Practitioner with a speciality in cardiology

Previous jobs: Worked in well-known hospitals Jaslok and Breach Candy in Mumbai, India

Education: Medical degree from the Government Medical College in Nagpur

How it all began: opened his first clinic in Ajman in 1993

Family: a 90-year-old mother, wife and two daughters

Remembers a time when medicines from India were purchased per kilo

Common OCD symptoms and how they manifest

Checking: the obsession or thoughts focus on some harm coming from things not being as they should, which usually centre around the theme of safety. For example, the obsession is “the building will burn down”, therefore the compulsion is checking that the oven is switched off.

Contamination: the obsession is focused on the presence of germs, dirt or harmful bacteria and how this will impact the person and/or their loved ones. For example, the obsession is “the floor is dirty; me and my family will get sick and die”, the compulsion is repetitive cleaning.

Orderliness: the obsession is a fear of sitting with uncomfortable feelings, or to prevent harm coming to oneself or others. Objectively there appears to be no logical link between the obsession and compulsion. For example,” I won’t feel right if the jars aren’t lined up” or “harm will come to my family if I don’t line up all the jars”, so the compulsion is therefore lining up the jars.

Intrusive thoughts: the intrusive thought is usually highly distressing and repetitive. Common examples may include thoughts of perpetrating violence towards others, harming others, or questions over one’s character or deeds, usually in conflict with the person’s true values. An example would be: “I think I might hurt my family”, which in turn leads to the compulsion of avoiding social gatherings.

Hoarding: the intrusive thought is the overvaluing of objects or possessions, while the compulsion is stashing or hoarding these items and refusing to let them go. For example, “this newspaper may come in useful one day”, therefore, the compulsion is hoarding newspapers instead of discarding them the next day.

Source: Dr Robert Chandler, clinical psychologist at Lighthouse Arabia

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Brighton and Hove Albion v Newcastle United (7pm)

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Tranquillity Base Hotel Casino (Domino) 

 

The specs

Engine: 4-litre twin-turbo V8

Transmission: nine-speed

Power: 542bhp

Torque: 700Nm

Price: Dh848,000

On sale: now

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About RuPay

A homegrown card payment scheme launched by the National Payments Corporation of India and backed by the Reserve Bank of India, the country’s central bank

RuPay process payments between banks and merchants for purchases made with credit or debit cards

It has grown rapidly in India and competes with global payment network firms like MasterCard and Visa.

In India, it can be used at ATMs, for online payments and variations of the card can be used to pay for bus, metro charges, road toll payments

The name blends two words rupee and payment

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List of alleged parties

 

May 12, 2020: PM and his wife Carrie attend 'work meeting' with at least 17 staff 

May 20, 2020: They attend 'bring your own booze party'

Nov 27, 2020: PM gives speech at leaving party for his staff 

Dec 10, 2020: Staff party held by then-education secretary Gavin Williamson 

Dec 13, 2020: PM and his wife throw a party

Dec 14, 2020: London mayoral candidate Shaun Bailey holds staff event at Conservative Party headquarters 

Dec 15, 2020: PM takes part in a staff quiz 

Dec 18, 2020: Downing Street Christmas party 

The specs
  • Engine: 3.9-litre twin-turbo V8
  • Power: 640hp
  • Torque: 760nm
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Updated: January 26, 2024, 6:00 PM`