A woman walks in front of currency exchange shops at Hamra street in Beirut. The devaluation of the Lebanese pound has exacerbated inflationary pressures. EPA
A woman walks in front of currency exchange shops at Hamra street in Beirut. The devaluation of the Lebanese pound has exacerbated inflationary pressures. EPA
A woman walks in front of currency exchange shops at Hamra street in Beirut. The devaluation of the Lebanese pound has exacerbated inflationary pressures. EPA
A woman walks in front of currency exchange shops at Hamra street in Beirut. The devaluation of the Lebanese pound has exacerbated inflationary pressures. EPA

Lebanon private sector activity falls to 7-month low as output and new orders decline


Massoud A Derhally
  • English
  • Arabic

Business conditions in Lebanon’s private sector fell to a seven-month low in August from a 10-year high in July, as output and new orders declined.

The downturn follows two consecutive months of the headline survey being in expansionary territory as the country endures its worst economic crisis since its independence.

Lebanon's Blom purchasing managers’ index, a measure of the strength of the country’s private sector economy, fell to 48.7 in August from 50.3 in July, sliding into contraction territory.

The contraction was the fastest in six months, dragged down by challenging domestic conditions that dented output volumes.

A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in business conditions, while one below represents a contraction.

"This contraction was precipitated by a simultaneous decrease in output and new orders, while employment stabilised," said Stephanie Aoun, research analyst at Blominvest Bank

"The Lebanese economy heavily relied on tourism and expats activity and it seems that in August 2023, there was a drop in summer engagement activity."

Softer demand drove business activity lower in August, marking the first contraction in new orders for three months, with the decline of a similar strength to that seen for output.

New work intakes were adversely affected by political and economic uncertainty, with new export business declining for the first time since March.

Lebanon has been without a president since the end of October 2022, when the six-year term of Michel Aoun ended. It is being run by a caretaker cabinet led by Prime Minister Najib Mikati, with limited powers.

The election of a president requires the consensus of the country's political elite.

Political vacuums have stalled Lebanon's economic progress and the existing one is salient because it threatens the enactment of reforms deemed necessary for the nation to emerge from its worst financial crisis.

"As the Lebanese economy navigates these turbulent waters, it's concerning to note that the absence of substantial economic reforms continues to cast a shadow," said Ms Aoun.

"Without meaningful changes, Lebanon's trajectory remains uncertain, underscoring the pressing need for impactful reforms to steer the nation towards a more promising economic future.”

The World Bank has dubbed Lebanon's economic meltdown as among the world's worst since the 1850s.

PMI survey respondents cited exchange rate fluctuations that drove input costs higher, prompting businesses to lift their charges. The Lebanese pound has lost more than 90 per cent of its value and inflation has soared after the central bank devalued the currency in February.

The official exchange rate changed to 15,000 pounds to the US dollar, compared with the peg in place since 1997 of 1,507.50 to the dollar.

Despite the decline in the PMI index, the survey found there was "a marked improvement in business sentiment in August as firms became less pessimistic in their assessment of year-ahead prospects for business activity". The survey's Future Output Index rose to its highest level since March 2020.

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Founders: Feras Jalbout and Kunal Taneja
Based: Dubai and Bahrain
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Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea

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PROFILE BOX:

Company/date started: 2015

Founder/CEO: Rami Salman, Rishav Jalan, Ayush Chordia

Based: Dubai, UAE

Sector: Technology, Sales, Voice, Artificial Intelligence

Size: (employees/revenue) 10/ 100,000 downloads

Stage: 1 ($800,000)

Investors: Eight first-round investors including, Beco Capital, 500 Startups, Dubai Silicon Oasis, Hala Fadel, Odin Financial Services, Dubai Angel Investors, Womena, Arzan VC

 

The candidates

Dr Ayham Ammora, scientist and business executive

Ali Azeem, business leader

Tony Booth, professor of education

Lord Browne, former BP chief executive

Dr Mohamed El-Erian, economist

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Dr Mark Mann, scientist

Gina MIller, anti-Brexit campaigner

Lord Smith, former Cabinet minister

Sandi Toksvig, broadcaster

 

Warlight,
Michael Ondaatje, Knopf 

THE SPECS

Engine: Four-cylinder 2.5-litre

Transmission: Seven-speed auto

Power: 165hp

Torque: 241Nm

Price: Dh99,900 to Dh134,000

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The specs: 2018 Chevrolet Equinox

Price, base / as tested: Dh76,900 / Dh110,900

Engine: 2.0L, turbocharged in-line four-cylinder

Gearbox: Nine-speed automatic

Power: 252hp @ 5,500rpm

Torque: Torque: 352Nm @ 2,500rpm

Fuel economy, combined: 8.5L / 100km

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The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.

The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cyl turbo

Power: 201hp at 5,200rpm

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Transmission: 6-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 8.7L/100km

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SCORES IN BRIEF

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Innotech Profile

Date started: 2013

Founder/CEO: Othman Al Mandhari

Based: Muscat, Oman

Sector: Additive manufacturing, 3D printing technologies

Size: 15 full-time employees

Stage: Seed stage and seeking Series A round of financing 

Investors: Oman Technology Fund from 2017 to 2019, exited through an agreement with a new investor to secure new funding that it under negotiation right now. 

How Voiss turns words to speech

The device has a screen reader or software that monitors what happens on the screen

The screen reader sends the text to the speech synthesiser

This converts to audio whatever it receives from screen reader, so the person can hear what is happening on the screen

A VOISS computer costs between $200 and $250 depending on memory card capacity that ranges from 32GB to 128GB

The speech synthesisers VOISS develops are free

Subsequent computer versions will include improvements such as wireless keyboards

Arabic voice in affordable talking computer to be added next year to English, Portuguese, and Spanish synthesiser

Partnerships planned during Expo 2020 Dubai to add more languages

At least 2.2 billion people globally have a vision impairment or blindness

More than 90 per cent live in developing countries

The Long-term aim of VOISS to reach the technology to people in poor countries with workshops that teach them to build their own device

Updated: September 05, 2023, 10:46 AM`