The India Gate in Delhi. A sharp rise in borrowing in India, China, Mexico, Brazil and Turkey has pushed total emerging market debt to a record $100 trillion. Unsplash
The India Gate in Delhi. A sharp rise in borrowing in India, China, Mexico, Brazil and Turkey has pushed total emerging market debt to a record $100 trillion. Unsplash
The India Gate in Delhi. A sharp rise in borrowing in India, China, Mexico, Brazil and Turkey has pushed total emerging market debt to a record $100 trillion. Unsplash
The India Gate in Delhi. A sharp rise in borrowing in India, China, Mexico, Brazil and Turkey has pushed total emerging market debt to a record $100 trillion. Unsplash

Near record global debt prompts concerns over leverage in financial system, IIF says


Sarmad Khan
  • English
  • Arabic

Global debt grew by $8.3 trillion in the first three months of 2023, prompting concerns over leverage in the financial system as the debt pile edges closer to record highs.

At almost $305 trillion, global debt is a shade under the $306 trillion recorded in the first quarter of 2022, the Institute of International Finance said in its latest Global Debt Monitor report.

The increase marks the second consecutive quarterly jump in global borrowing, following two quarters of sharp decline during rapid monetary policy tightening last year in countries around the world.

The rebound was primarily driven by non-financial corporates and the government sector, as “central banks respond to fragile market sentiment by slowing the pace of rate hikes”, IIF economists Emre Tiftik, Khadija Mahmood and Raymond Aycock said.

“Global debt is now $45 trillion higher than its pre-pandemic level and is expected to continue increasing rapidly,” they said.

Central banks around the world have eased the pace of increases in their benchmark policy rates that were raised to curb inflation.

The US Federal Reserve, which has been increasing its benchmark rates aggressively since March last year by as much as 75 basis points, raised it by only 25 basis points in May.

It may pause rate increases as it edges closer to their highest level since 2007, shortly before the start of the 2008 global financial crisis.

The rise in interest rates makes borrowing in US dollars more expensive for governments, corporations and financial institutions, as well as household borrowers.

However, the smaller increases and their slowing pace have encouraged borrowers to take advantage of the window and secure capital.

The IIF said the global debt pile in the first quarter of this year has grown as government borrowing needs remain elevated amid concerns over a potential credit crunch following the recent turmoil in the US and Swiss banking sectors.

A combination of factors, including ageing populations, rising healthcare costs and substantial climate finance gaps, continues to put pressure on government balance sheets.

Increased geopolitical tension is also expected to drive further increases in national defence spending over the medium term, potentially affecting the credit profile of both sovereign and corporate borrowers.

The US Federal Reserve has eased the pace of interest rate increases it started in March last year. AP
The US Federal Reserve has eased the pace of interest rate increases it started in March last year. AP

“If this trend continues, it will have significant implications for international debt markets, particularly if interest rates remain higher for longer,” the Washington-based institute said.

While the global debt to gross domestic product ratio has stabilised near 335 per cent of GDP, nearly 75 per cent of emerging markets experienced a rise in their US dollar-denominated debt levels during the first quarter of 2023.

The biggest increases were seen in China, Mexico, Brazil, India and Turkey, propelling total emerging market debt to a high of more than $100 trillion, up from about $75 trillion in 2019.

The rate of increase was sharper in mature markets, driven by Japan, the US, France and the UK.

With US banks increasingly reporting tighter lending standards, small businesses could face credit crunch, while the rate of default could rise in highly indebted “zombie firms” across the board.

“We estimate that around 14 per cent of US companies can be considered zombies, with a substantial portion of these in the healthcare and information technology sectors,” IIF economists said.

The IIF expects private debt markets to gain prominence amid the credit crunch as non-bank financial institutions continue to strengthen their position on global credit intermediation.

“The so-called shadow banks now account for more than 14 per cent of financial markets, with the majority of growth stemming from a rapid expansion of US investment funds and private debt markets,” the IIF economists said.

SCORES

Multiply Titans 81-2 in 12.1 overs
(Tony de Zorzi, 34)

bt Auckland Aces 80 all out in 16 overs
(Shawn von Borg 4-15, Alfred Mothoa 2-11, Tshepo Moreki 2-16).

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Is it worth it? We put cheesecake frap to the test.

The verdict from the nutritionists is damning. But does a cheesecake frappuccino taste good enough to merit the indulgence?

My advice is to only go there if you have unusually sweet tooth. I like my puddings, but this was a bit much even for me. The first hit is a winner, but it's downhill, slowly, from there. Each sip is a little less satisfying than the last, and maybe it was just all that sugar, but it isn't long before the rush is replaced by a creeping remorse. And half of the thing is still left.

The caramel version is far superior to the blueberry, too. If someone put a full caramel cheesecake through a liquidiser and scooped out the contents, it would probably taste something like this. Blueberry, on the other hand, has more of an artificial taste. It's like someone has tried to invent this drink in a lab, and while early results were promising, they're still in the testing phase. It isn't terrible, but something isn't quite right either.

So if you want an experience, go for a small, and opt for the caramel. But if you want a cheesecake, it's probably more satisfying, and not quite as unhealthy, to just order the real thing.

 

 

Bio

Age: 25

Town: Al Diqdaqah – Ras Al Khaimah

Education: Bachelors degree in mechanical engineering

Favourite colour: White

Favourite place in the UAE: Downtown Dubai

Favourite book: A Life in Administration by Ghazi Al Gosaibi.

First owned baking book: How to Be a Domestic Goddess by Nigella Lawson.

BEACH SOCCER WORLD CUP

Group A

Paraguay
Japan
Switzerland
USA

Group B

Uruguay
Mexico
Italy
Tahiti

Group C

Belarus
UAE
Senegal
Russia

Group D

Brazil
Oman
Portugal
Nigeria

Scorebox

Dubai Hurricanes 31 Dubai Sports City Eagles 22

Hurricanes

Tries: Finck, Powell, Jordan, Roderick, Heathcote

Cons: Tredray 2, Powell

Eagles

Tries: O’Driscoll 2, Ives

Cons: Carey 2

Pens: Carey

ANALYSTS’ TOP PICKS OF SAUDI BANKS IN 2019

Analyst: Aqib Mehboob of Saudi Fransi Capital

Top pick: National Commercial Bank

Reason: It will be at the forefront of project financing for government-led projects

 

Analyst: Shabbir Malik of EFG-Hermes

Top pick: Al Rajhi Bank

Reason: Defensive balance sheet, well positioned in retail segment and positively geared for rising rates

 

Analyst: Chiradeep Ghosh of Sico Bank

Top pick: Arab National Bank

Reason: Attractive valuation and good growth potential in terms of both balance sheet and dividends

Brief scores:

Toss: South Africa, chose to field

Pakistan: 177 & 294

South Africa: 431 & 43-1

Man of the Match: Faf du Plessis (South Africa)

Series: South Africa lead three-match series 2-0

Our legal consultant

Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

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Timeline

2012-2015

The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East

May 2017

The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts

September 2021

Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act

October 2021

Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence 

December 2024

Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group

May 2025

The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan

July 2025

The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan

August 2025

Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision

October 2025

Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange

November 2025

180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE

Terror attacks in Paris, November 13, 2015

- At 9.16pm, three suicide attackers killed one person outside the Atade de France during a foootball match between France and Germany- At 9.25pm, three attackers opened fire on restaurants and cafes over 20 minutes, killing 39 people- Shortly after 9.40pm, three other attackers launched a three-hour raid on the Bataclan, in which 1,500 people had gathered to watch a rock concert. In total, 90 people were killed- Salah Abdeslam, the only survivor of the terrorists, did not directly participate in the attacks, thought to be due to a technical glitch in his suicide vest- He fled to Belgium and was involved in attacks on Brussels in March 2016. He is serving a life sentence in France

The specs: Hyundai Ionic Hybrid

Price, base: Dh117,000 (estimate)

Engine: 1.6L four-cylinder, with 1.56kWh battery

Transmission: Six-speed automatic

Power: 105hp (engine), plus 43.5hp (battery)

Torque: 147Nm (engine), plus 170Nm (battery)

Fuel economy, combined: 3.4L / 100km

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MATCH INFO

Barcelona 4 (Suarez 27', Vidal 32', Dembele 35', Messi 78')

Sevilla 0

Red cards: Ronald Araujo, Ousmane Dembele (Barcelona)

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The President's Cake

Director: Hasan Hadi

Starring: Baneen Ahmad Nayyef, Waheed Thabet Khreibat, Sajad Mohamad Qasem 

Rating: 4/5

MATCH INFO

RB Leipzig 2 (Klostermann 24', Schick 68')

Hertha Berlin 2 (Grujic 9', Piatek 82' pen)

Man of the match Matheus Cunha (Hertha Berlin

Silent Hill f

Publisher: Konami

Platforms: PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X/S, PC

Rating: 4.5/5

Mercedes-AMG GT 63 S E Performance: the specs

Engine: 4.0-litre twin-turbo V8 plus rear-mounted electric motor

Power: 843hp at N/A rpm

Torque: 1470Nm N/A rpm

Transmission: 9-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 8.6L/100km

On sale: October to December

Price: From Dh875,000 (estimate)

Profile

Co-founders of the company: Vilhelm Hedberg and Ravi Bhusari

Launch year: In 2016 ekar launched and signed an agreement with Etihad Airways in Abu Dhabi. In January 2017 ekar launched in Dubai in a partnership with the RTA.

Number of employees: Over 50

Financing stage: Series B currently being finalised

Investors: Series A - Audacia Capital 

Sector of operation: Transport

The specs

Engine: Four electric motors, one at each wheel

Power: 579hp

Torque: 859Nm

Transmission: Single-speed automatic

Price: From Dh825,900

On sale: Now

Updated: May 19, 2023, 4:00 AM