The Waigaoqiao Container Port in Shanghai. China's economy is expected to rebound sharply this year. Bloomberg
The Waigaoqiao Container Port in Shanghai. China's economy is expected to rebound sharply this year. Bloomberg
The Waigaoqiao Container Port in Shanghai. China's economy is expected to rebound sharply this year. Bloomberg
The Waigaoqiao Container Port in Shanghai. China's economy is expected to rebound sharply this year. Bloomberg

Easing headwinds in Asia bode well for stronger economic recovery, IMF says


Sarmad Khan
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Easing economic headwinds bode well for a stronger recovery in Asia this year, however, longer-term challenges remain for the regional economies including China amid the slowing global economic momentum, the International Monetary Fund has said.

“Headwinds that faced Asia and the Pacific last year have started to fade. Global financial conditions have eased, food and oil prices are down, and China’s economy is rebounding,” senior officials at IMF’s Asia and Pacific Department wrote in a blog post on Tuesday.

The outlook of the regional economies has improved, with growth now set to increase to 4.7 per cent this year, up from 3.8 per cent in 2022.

This will make it “by far the most dynamic of the world’s major regions and a bright spot in a slowing global economy”, Krishna Srinivasan, director of the Asia and Pacific Department, its deputy director Thomas Helbling and division chief Shanaka Jayanath Peiris wrote in a joint blog post.

The region’s emerging and developing economies that are expected to expand by 5.3 per cent in 2023 are also driving the economic “dynamism” of Asia and the Pacific region as a whole.

These nations are hitting their stride as pandemic supply chain disruptions fade and their service sector accelerate economic momentum.

“China and India alone are expected to contribute more than half of global growth this year, with the rest of Asia contributing an additional quarter,” IMF officials said.

“Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam are all back to their robust pre-pandemic growth.”

Brightening economic prospects of the region are in contrast to slowing global economic growth.

The world economy is projected to grow at 2.9 per cent this year after 3.4 per cent expansion in 2022, according to IMF’s Economic Outlook released in January.

Although the fund has increased its latest 2023 growth estimate by 0.2 percentage points from its October forecast, it is still below the historical average of 3.8 per cent over the 2000-2019 period.

Better economic data in the third quarter of last year, easing inflation and the reopening of the Chinese economy will support economic growth this year. However, a lot needs to be done elsewhere before the global economy can fully recover, the fund said at the time.

The reopening of China has paved the way for a faster-than-expected rebound in economic activity, which is good news for Asia, as half of the region’s trade takes place between its economies, IMF officials said on Tuesday.

“Our analysis in the latest Regional Economic Outlook for Asia and the Pacific shows that, for every percentage point of higher growth in China, output in the rest of Asia rises by around 0.3 per cent,” they said.

India, which overtook the UK to become the world's fifth-largest economy in 2022, is expected to outpace the world's economies with a 6.1 per cent expansion in 2023 after growing 6.8 per cent last year. Its growth in 2024 is forecast at 6.8 per cent.

A cycle-rickshaw puller transports sacks of flour on a rickshaw in Amritsar. Indian economy is expected to outpace the world's economies with a 6.1 per cent expansion in 2023. AFP
A cycle-rickshaw puller transports sacks of flour on a rickshaw in Amritsar. Indian economy is expected to outpace the world's economies with a 6.1 per cent expansion in 2023. AFP

Asia’s inflation — which rose “worryingly” above central bank targets last year — is also poised to moderate this year and there are now encouraging signs that headline inflation peaked during the second half of 2022, IMF said.

“We expect inflation to return to central bank targets sometime next year amid an easing of financial and commodity headwinds,” the officials added.

While inflation is moving in the right direction, central banks need to stay alert as core inflation is still above their targets.

Fiscal deficits during the pandemic and higher long-term interest rates over the past year added to public debt burdens in the region. With several Asian countries facing debt distress, policymakers must continue with their plans for gradual fiscal consolidation, the IMF said.

For Asian countries that face elevated financial vulnerabilities with high leverage across household and corporate sectors, subtle policy trade-offs between controlling inflation and ensuring financial stability will be required, the fund officials said.

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Arsenal v Manchester City,

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Three-day coronation

Royal purification

The entire coronation ceremony extends over three days from May 4-6, but Saturday is the one to watch. At the time of 10:09am the royal purification ceremony begins. Wearing a white robe, the king will enter a pavilion at the Grand Palace, where he will be doused in sacred water from five rivers and four ponds in Thailand. In the distant past water was collected from specific rivers in India, reflecting the influential blend of Hindu and Buddhist cosmology on the coronation. Hindu Brahmins and the country's most senior Buddhist monks will be present. Coronation practices can be traced back thousands of years to ancient India.

The crown

Not long after royal purification rites, the king proceeds to the Baisal Daksin Throne Hall where he receives sacred water from eight directions. Symbolically that means he has received legitimacy from all directions of the kingdom. He ascends the Bhadrapitha Throne, where in regal robes he sits under a Nine-Tiered Umbrella of State. Brahmins will hand the monarch the royal regalia, including a wooden sceptre inlaid with gold, a precious stone-encrusted sword believed to have been found in a lake in northern Cambodia, slippers, and a whisk made from yak's hair.

The Great Crown of Victory is the centrepiece. Tiered, gold and weighing 7.3 kilograms, it has a diamond from India at the top. Vajiralongkorn will personally place the crown on his own head and then issues his first royal command.

The audience

On Saturday afternoon, the newly-crowned king is set to grant a "grand audience" to members of the royal family, the privy council, the cabinet and senior officials. Two hours later the king will visit the Temple of the Emerald Buddha, the most sacred space in Thailand, which on normal days is thronged with tourists. He then symbolically moves into the Royal Residence.

The procession

The main element of Sunday's ceremonies, streets across Bangkok's historic heart have been blocked off in preparation for this moment. The king will sit on a royal palanquin carried by soldiers dressed in colourful traditional garb. A 21-gun salute will start the procession. Some 200,000 people are expected to line the seven-kilometre route around the city.

Meet the people

On the last day of the ceremony Rama X will appear on the balcony of Suddhaisavarya Prasad Hall in the Grand Palace at 4:30pm "to receive the good wishes of the people". An hour later, diplomats will be given an audience at the Grand Palace. This is the only time during the ceremony that representatives of foreign governments will greet the king.

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Courtesy: Carol Glynn, founder of Conscious Finance Coaching

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UPI facts

More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions

Benefits of first-time home buyers' scheme
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  • Discounts on sales price of off-plan units
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  • Mortgages with better interest rates, faster approval times and reduced fees
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MATCH INFO

Day 1 at Mount Maunganui

England 241-4

Denly 74, Stokes 67 not out, De Grandhomme 2-28

New Zealand 

Yet to bat

Seemar’s top six for the Dubai World Cup Carnival:

1. Reynaldothewizard
2. North America
3. Raven’s Corner
4. Hawkesbury
5. New Maharajah
6. Secret Ambition

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Winners

Ballon d’Or (Men’s)
Ousmane Dembélé (Paris Saint-Germain / France)

Ballon d’Or Féminin (Women’s)
Aitana Bonmatí (Barcelona / Spain)

Kopa Trophy (Best player under 21 – Men’s)
Lamine Yamal (Barcelona / Spain)

Best Young Women’s Player
Vicky López (Barcelona / Spain)

Yashin Trophy (Best Goalkeeper – Men’s)
Gianluigi Donnarumma (Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City / Italy)

Best Women’s Goalkeeper
Hannah Hampton (England / Aston Villa and Chelsea)

Men’s Coach of the Year
Luis Enrique (Paris Saint-Germain)

Women’s Coach of the Year
Sarina Wiegman (England)

Updated: February 21, 2023, 12:30 AM`