Dubai to seek investors in New York



Some of Dubai's biggest listed companies will make presentations next week in New York to stoke investor interest as firms in the GCC mount a recovery from the financial crisis. The road show, scheduled for next Monday and Tuesday, aims to bring together the management of firms listed on the Dubai Financial Market and NASDAQ Dubai with large US investors deploying capital overseas.

"These conferences allow direct contact between senior management and the professional investment community," said Oliver Schutzmann, the head of investor relations at Shuaa Capital, one of the firms listed in Dubai that will take part in the presentations. "This is an excellent opportunity for institutional investors to get introduced to companies they perhaps haven't met yet." The 15 firms taking part in the presentations include Emaar Properties, the construction firm Arabtec Holding, Air Arabia, DP World, Dubai Islamic Bank and Emirates NBD, the lender that on Monday reported a better-than-expected 3 per cent rise in third-quarter profits.

The meetings come as foreigners grow increasingly comfortable investing in companies and governments in the GCC. While Dubai's stock market endured one of the world's deepest slumps during the financial crisis, prices have recovered strongly. The Dubai Financial Market index has risen by more than 60 per cent since reaching a low of 1,433 points in February. Markets have a long way to go before they reach pre-financial-crisis highs, but investor sentiment in the Gulf also appears to be strengthening. A survey published on Monday by Shuaa registered a 9.2 per cent jump in sentiment for the UAE's markets last month and a 3.8 per cent rise for GCC markets overall.

Meanwhile, the Dubai government is in the middle of a promotions of its own in Asia, Europe and Dubai to tap thawing global capital markets and borrow as much as $6.5 billion (Dh23.86bn) to help cope with an estimated $85bn debt. Ali Khan, a director at Arqaam Capital in Dubai, said this was an opportune time for companies based in Dubai to sell themselves to international investors, given the market dynamics.

"I think it is definitely a good time precisely because of the large moves we've seen" in stock prices, he said. "We've gone from a process of fire-sale valuations to more stability and normalisation." These days, foreign investors are likely to be paying more attention to companies' plans to enlarge their profits, Mr Khan said. And companies would have to sell themselves on the expectation of solid earnings instead of pointing to hefty discounts on their shares, a strategy that worked only when markets were hitting lows and investor confidence was flagging.

"This year, it has been more of a case where the message has been we're strong enough to survive and don't deserve a 50 to 60 per cent discount to book [value]," Mr Khan said. "We've gone through that." The Dubai Financial Market and NASDAQ Dubai have made presentations to foreign investors periodically since 2007. The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange has since joined the bandwagon; its latest road show took place in London this month.

The presentations have had a measurably positive effect on local markets, with marked increases in trading volumes and share prices as foreign investors piled in, Mr Schutzmann said. @Email:afitch@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Christoph Ribbat
Translated by Jamie Searle Romanelli
Pushkin Press 

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