Cheaper phones and clothes slow inflation in Abu Dhabi



Cheaper clothes, shoes and mobile phones led to a slight slowdown in inflation in Abu Dhabi last month, figures released by the emirate's Statistics Centre show. But continuing increases in the cost of housing, utilities and education led to an overall rise in inflation for the first four months of the year. The consumer price index rose 2.16 per cent in the four months to the end of April, compared with the same period last year.

Average prices actually fell by 0.4 per cent last month from March, with the biggest fall - nearly 20 per cent - coming in the price of footwear. "Telephone and telefax equipment" also showed a significant fall, of 12 per cent. These were outweighed, however, by big rises in the cost of education in the emirate, which jumped 20 per cent in the first four months, and by a 5 per cent increase in the price of housing and utilities, the highest weighted grouping on the centre's "basket" of good and services.

"The main factor underlying the increase in the average prices of this group was the rise by 5.8 per cent in house rents," said the centre. Housing and utilities accounted for nearly 90 per cent of the overall increase, the statistics show. Inflation of 2.16 per cent for Abu Dhabi means the UAE is keeping within international forecasts for overall consumer price rises. In February, the IMF forecast UAE inflation of about 1.5 per cent, with increases in Abu Dhabi partially outweighed by price falls in other emirates, notably Dubai.

Economists were reassured that the overall inflation rate was in line with expectations. "These figures show we're not seeing a build-up year on year," said John Sfakianakis, the chief economist at Banque Saudi Fransi. "These are very manageable numbers. "The recovery is not causing the economy to overheat, that's for sure. If you compare it to the latest figures in Saudi Arabia, showing a 4.9 per cent rise year on year, it is very manageable."

Saudi inflation has been stoked by high rental costs and increases in the price of food. The latest figures for Abu Dhabi show a 3.1 per cent rise in the cost of food and non-alcoholic beverages, and a 9.4 per cent rise in the lower-weighted alcoholic beverages and tobacco basket. The rise in basic food prices accounted for nearly a quarter of the overall rise in prices in the four months. fkane@thenational.ae

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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A foster couple or family must:

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  • A single, divorced or widowed Muslim Emirati female, residing in the UAE may apply to foster a child if she is at least 30 years old and able to support the child financially
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Founded over 50 years ago, the National Archives collects valuable historical material relating to the UAE, and is the oldest and richest archive relating to the Arabian Gulf.

Much of the material can be viewed on line at the Arabian Gulf Digital Archive - https://www.agda.ae/en

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Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions

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Yodhin Punja The seam bowler was named in the UAE’s extended World Cup squad in 2015 despite being just 15 at the time. He made his senior UAE debut aged 16, and subsequently took up a scholarship at Claremont High School in the south of England.

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