Passengers queue to check in at Heathrow Airport in London. PA
Passengers queue to check in at Heathrow Airport in London. PA
Passengers queue to check in at Heathrow Airport in London. PA
Passengers queue to check in at Heathrow Airport in London. PA

Covid-induced supply chain concerns to continue in aviation sector, industry experts say


Alkesh Sharma
  • English
  • Arabic

The supply chain disruptions brought on by the Covid-19 crisis, from securing the essential components to labour shortages, will stay with the aviation industry for a “very long time”, senior aviation executives told the Qatar Economic Forum in Doha.

“We had our Covid moment when we wonder whether there would ever be a demand for aeroplanes,” said David Calhoun, president and chief executive of the US plane maker Boeing.

“Fortunately, healthcare professionals got us out of that situation faster than most of us [had] expected … [still] I can see supply constraints for a very long time … our job is to resolve them but today supply constraints sort of dictate.”

Globally, supply chain frictions have delayed plane manufacturer efforts to boost production to meet airlines' demand for new jets with better fuel efficiency.

David Calhoun, president and chief executive of the US plane maker Boeing. Reuters
David Calhoun, president and chief executive of the US plane maker Boeing. Reuters

In the post-Covid era, Boeing and Airbus, which mainly enjoy a duopoly supplying passenger jets, have received big orders from airlines such as United and Air India, as there has been a surge in air travel demand.

But supply chain issues mean those planes will probably not be delivered for years down the line. Investment banking group Jefferies estimates there is an order backlog of 12,720 aircraft as of December, according to a Bloomberg report.

“We have to solve supply chain issues and that is not a short-term job … we have to ramp up the number of aeroplanes we produce to meet the demand of customers,” Mr Calhoun said.

“We have to keep the medium and the long-term goals in mind.”

The airline industry suffered a staggering loss of about $187 billion during the pandemic from 2020 to 2022.

However, global airlines are expected to return to profit this year after narrowing losses last year, despite economic headwinds, the International Air Transport Association said in a report.

Akbar Al-Baker, group chief executive of Qatar Airways. Satish Kumar / The National
Akbar Al-Baker, group chief executive of Qatar Airways. Satish Kumar / The National

The industry is forecast to collectively earn a net income of $4.7 billion in 2023 — the first time it will return to the black since 2019, when it recorded a profit of $26.4 billion — as passenger demand continues to improve and Covid-19 restrictions ease, it said.

“Because of the supply chain constraints, we too are suffering as an airline,” said Akbar Al Baker, group chief executive of Qatar Airways.

“We have, at times, aeroplanes grounded because there is a lack of engine parts, and sometimes lack of avionics because our orders that were placed a year ago, have not been delivered yet.

“These are the consequences of pandemic that happened first time in a century, and we were very unprepared.”

In 2021, airlines pledged net-zero carbon emissions from their operations by 2050, bringing the air transport industry in line with the objectives of the Paris Agreement to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.

However, Mr Al-Baker said he was “sceptical” about this target.

“Let’s be realistic. There is not enough production of sustainable aviation fuel,” he said.

“The hydrogen project is in its infancy … they don’t know what hydrogen fuel will generate when it is flying at high altitudes. What the vapours coming out of engine will do at high altitudes when they freeze.

“Hydrogen technology will mature in second half of this century, after 2050.”

Mr Al Baker added that the public is making unnecessary noise about excessive emissions from planes.

Aviation is only responsible for 2.6 per cent of the global carbon dioxide emissions but the industry is at the top of criticism chain, he said.

Meanwhil, Mr Calhoun said sustainability has been a priority and it must remain a priority for the industry.

“Fleet renewal is main part of sustainability,” he said.

“Those who can maintain new fleets [with less emissions] and continue to update … they will stay ahead of everybody.

“Every new aeroplane family … the requirement to make the billions and billions of investment [in producing a new plane family] is that at least it needs to be 20 per cent, if not 30 per cent, better than the last aeroplane.”

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Tributes from the UAE's personal finance community

• Sebastien Aguilar, who heads SimplyFI.org, a non-profit community where people learn to invest Bogleheads’ style

“It is thanks to Jack Bogle’s work that this community exists and thanks to his work that many investors now get the full benefits of long term, buy and hold stock market investing.

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• Sam Instone, director of financial advisory firm AES International

"Thought to have saved investors over a trillion dollars, Jack Bogle’s ideas truly changed the way the world invests. Shaped by his own personal experiences, his philosophy and basic rules for investors challenged the status quo of a self-interested global industry and eventually prevailed.  Loathed by many big companies and commission-driven salespeople, he has transformed the way well-informed investors and professional advisers make decisions."

• Demos Kyprianou, a board member of SimplyFI.org

"Jack Bogle for me was a rebel, a revolutionary who changed the industry and gave the little guy like me, a chance. He was also a mentor who inspired me to take the leap and take control of my own finances."

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His real gift to us has been the ability to invest in the stock market (buy and hold for the long term) rather than be forced to speculate (try to make profits in the shorter term) or even worse have others speculate on our behalf.

Bogle has given countless investors the ability to get on with their life while growing their wealth in the background as fast as possible. The Financial Independence movement would barely exist without this."

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"In an industry that’s synonymous with greed, Jack Bogle was a lone wolf, swimming against the tide. When others were incentivised to enrich themselves, he stood by the ‘fiduciary’ standard – something that is badly needed in the financial industry of the UAE."

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It was discovered in 2004, when Russian-born Manchester scientists Andrei Geim and Kostya Novoselov were experimenting with sticky tape and graphite, the material used as lead in pencils.

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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1.

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2.

China

3.

UAE

4.

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5

Norway

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Canada

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Singapore

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Australia

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Saudi Arabia

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Updated: May 24, 2023, 3:30 AM`