Saudi Arabia’s National Commercial Bank, reported a 22 per cent drop in its second-quarter profit. Michael Bou-Nacklie for The National
Saudi Arabia’s National Commercial Bank, reported a 22 per cent drop in its second-quarter profit. Michael Bou-Nacklie for The National
Saudi Arabia’s National Commercial Bank, reported a 22 per cent drop in its second-quarter profit. Michael Bou-Nacklie for The National
Saudi Arabia’s National Commercial Bank, reported a 22 per cent drop in its second-quarter profit. Michael Bou-Nacklie for The National

A merged NCB-Samba bank would be Saudi Arabia's biggest lender 'by some way', says EFG Hermes


Michael Fahy
  • English
  • Arabic

A merger between Saudi Arabia’s National Commercial Bank and Samba Financial Group would create the biggest lender in the kingdom "by some way", with a 30 per cent share of the market, according to EFG Hermes.

NCB is already the kingdom’s biggest bank in terms of assets, with a 21 per cent share of the market. Samba is the fourth biggest, with an 11 per cent share.

The combined bank will have a total asset base of 800bn Saudi riyals, ($213bn/Dh782bn). "It will be just shy of [the] UAE’s FAB [First Abu Dhabi Bank] in terms of assets,” EFG Hermes’ analysts said.

On Thursday, the two lenders said they were working on a merger, in which NCB would be the merging bank and Samba Financial the merged lender. The terms agreed will see Samba shareholders receive between 0.736 and 0.787 newly issued shares of NCB in exchange for each Samba share they hold.

Based on the exchange ratio range, at a closing share price of 37.25 Saudi riyals per NCB share on June 24, the proposed deal would value Samba Financial Group shares at between 27.42 and 29.32 riyals, a premium of 19.2 to 27.5 per cent above its closing price as of June 24, according to the NCB regulatory filing.

This indicates NCB could pay between $14.62bn and $15.63bn to buy its rival.

“The level of detail [announcement of a swap ratio range] and an announced timeline [four months] suggest that the talks are quite advanced,” EFG Hermes said.

The fact the Public Investment Fund is a key shareholder in both banks, with a 44 per cent stake in NCB and 23 per cent of Samba, makes the prospect of a merger much more likely, according to the investment bank.

“Disagreement between shareholders can be a large obstacle to mergers; however, as both banks have a key common shareholder, the likelihood of this deal going through is higher, in our view,” EFG Hermes said.

NCB ended merger talks with the kingdom's third-biggest lender, Riyad Bank, in December last year after a year of negotiations.

The creation of a much larger institution would give the merged bank greater pricing power over both loans and deposits, EFG Hermes said.

A deal also increases cross-selling potential, allows the lender to devote more resources towards digitisation and increases its counterparty lending limits.

On top of this, a merger “potentially unlocks cost synergies”, although Samba’s relatively small branch network limits the upside to this, EFG Hermes said. Both NCB and Samba said on Thursday that they do not expect the proposed merger to result in the involuntary redundancy of employees.

As the market closed before last week’s announcement, NCB had a market capitalisation of about $27.3bn, compared with Samba Financial's $10.9bn. Samba Financial’s shares were trading almost 10 per cent higher at 26.30 riyals by 11.10am on Sunday morning, while NCB’s shares were up 4.6 per cent at 38.95 riyals per share.

"We believe Samba is a more strategic fit than Riyad Bank and could present good cost synergies," analysts from Al Rajhi Capital said in a note on Thursday.

"In the current scenario of the possibility of high NPA [non-performing assets], the combined entity will have among the lowest LDR [loan-to-deposit ratios] and highest investment book."

Our legal columnist

Name: Yousef Al Bahar

Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994

Marital status: Single

Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers

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Founders: Mukesh Bansal and Ankit Nagori

Based: Bangalore, India

Sector: Health & wellness

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Engine: 3.8-litre twin-turbo V8

Power: 611bhp

Torque: 620Nm

Transmission: seven-speed automatic

Price: upon application

On sale: now

 

 

The 12 Syrian entities delisted by UK 

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1.

United States

2.

China

3.

UAE

4.

Japan

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Norway

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Canada

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Singapore

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Australia

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South Korea

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Power: 464hp at 5,200rpm

Torque: 790Nm from 2,000-3,600rpm

Transmission: 10-speed auto

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4,872 matches 

1,942 teams

116 pitches

76 nations

26 UAE teams

15 Lebanese teams

2 Kuwaiti teams

COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Engine: 1.5-litre

 

Transmission: 6-speed automatic

 

Power: 110 horsepower 

 

Torque: 147Nm 

 

Price: From Dh59,700 

 

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Date started: March 2013

Founder: Hussam Hammo

Based: Amman, Jordan

Employees: 55

Funding: $6m

Funders: Wamda Capital, Modern Electronics (part of Al Falaisah Group) and North Base Media

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Dos

  • Wear the right fabric for the right season and occasion 
  • Always ask for the dress code if you don’t know
  • Wear a white kandura, white ghutra / shemagh (headwear) and black shoes for work 
  • Wear 100 per cent cotton under the kandura as most fabrics are polyester

Don’ts 

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Thu Mar 15 – West Indies v Afghanistan, UAE v Scotland
Fri Mar 16 – Ireland v Zimbabwe
Sun Mar 18 – Ireland v Scotland
Mon Mar 19 – West Indies v Zimbabwe
Tue Mar 20 – UAE v Afghanistan
Wed Mar 21 – West Indies v Scotland
Thu Mar 22 – UAE v Zimbabwe
Fri Mar 23 – Ireland v Afghanistan

The top two teams qualify for the World Cup

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Thu Mar 15 – Netherlands v Hong Kong, PNG v Nepal
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ESSENTIALS

The flights

Emirates flies direct from Dubai to Rio de Janeiro from Dh7,000 return including taxes. Avianca fliles from Rio to Cusco via Lima from $399 (Dhxx) return including taxes. 

The trip

From US$1,830 per deluxe cabin, twin share, for the one-night Spirit of the Water itinerary and US$4,630 per deluxe cabin for the Peruvian Highlands itinerary, inclusive of meals, and beverages. Surcharges apply for some excursions.

Volvo ES90 Specs

Engine: Electric single motor (96kW), twin motor (106kW) and twin motor performance (106kW)

Power: 333hp, 449hp, 680hp

Torque: 480Nm, 670Nm, 870Nm

On sale: Later in 2025 or early 2026, depending on region

Price: Exact regional pricing TBA

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Engine: 4.0-litre flat-six
Power: 510hp at 9,000rpm
Torque: 450Nm at 6,100rpm
Transmission: 7-speed PDK auto or 6-speed manual
Fuel economy, combined: 13.8L/100km
On sale: Available to order now
Price: From Dh801,800