All entrepreneurs and many executives face in their professional careers the dreaded negative cash-flow scenario.
For entrepreneurs this is a normal phase going from start-up to, hopefully, mature company. For chief executives it can happen during an economic downturn or if the company has made serious mistakes or faced a catastrophe.
The underlying mistake that these managers nearly all make is to consider cash-flow break-even as a goal.
It is, rather, a milestone. The goal, of course, is a pre-agreed return on equity (Roe). There might be many more milestones, such as cost per unit and number of customers, but Roe is the target.
The danger in negative cash flow situations is that there is an urgency to make good decisions before time, or money, runs out. This urgency creates stress and quite often panic in entrepreneurs and chief executives alike as they scramble to manage a completely unfamiliar situation.
The sad result is a wannabe leader destroying his company in panic before abandoning it to its fate, having done too little to matter but leaving it too late to allow a more suitable candidate to turn things around.
The absolute first step in any negative cash-flow situation is to stop deluding yourself, your employees, your board and your shareholders.
Stop trumpeting profit when cash-flow is negative. Stop hiding behind non-recurring operational cash flow. Most of all, stop believing that some repeatedly unsuccessful business line will miraculously generate cash flow in the near future, let alone enough cash flow to save the company.
The second step, and this is vital, is to focus on revenue. It is an amateur mistake to believe that cost-cutting is the priority for cash-flow negative companies.
If you do not understand where your future revenues are going to come from, how do you know what to cut? Think of it this way: if a surgeon needed to operate on you in an emergency, would you want him to just dive in and start cutting or would you prefer that he diagnosed you first to understand what would keep you alive and protect you at all cost?
The trap in forecasting revenue in a cash-flow negative company is assuming that the current product and service portfolio will become profitable again. A brutally honest assessment of what works and what new product development is needed has to be performed. Sitting month to month and quarter to quarter making excuses as to why the same old tired products and services have failed to work is simply corporate suicide. Stop wasting shareholder money.
Once you have an idea of how the business might create sustainable positive cash flows you can then begin to look at costs. Doing it the other way around leads to great short to medium-term performance improvements, but you will lose all ability to generate meaningful future cash flow.
Do not be too fearful of cutting less than you need to in the hope that things might turn around. Otherwise you will only create a cynical corporate culture that sooner or later leads to much of the best talent leaving, and thus fuelling the downwards spiral of the company. Any talent left is there only because of misplaced loyalty or difficult economic times.
At this point, the savvy entrepreneur or chief executive will have a good turnaround plan that they can execute. This is also the time to formulate a funding plan. Funding, whether through an equity investor, bank debt or other avenue is not easy, and yet far too many entrepreneurs or chief executives have made the mistake that they can simply waltz into an investor’s office or a bank and get an investment or loan based on charm or charisma. They nearly always fail miserably, which adds to their panic.
Instead, think long term, plan for funding early and build a robust and above all realistic business case.
The way that most entrepreneurs and chief executives manage a negative cash-flow scenario is to misrepresent the situation to their employees, board and shareholders and then to gain breathing room by irresponsible cost-cutting. There is a better way – and that is to trust your stakeholders to support you and to plan properly.
Sabah Al Binali is an active investor and entrepreneurial leader, with a track record of financing, building and growing companies in the Mena region. You can read more of his thoughts at al-binali.com
The biog
Favourite food: Tabbouleh, greek salad and sushi
Favourite TV show: That 70s Show
Favourite animal: Ferrets, they are smart, sensitive, playful and loving
Favourite holiday destination: Seychelles, my resolution for 2020 is to visit as many spiritual retreats and animal shelters across the world as I can
Name of first pet: Eddy, a Persian cat that showed up at our home
Favourite dog breed: I love them all - if I had to pick Yorkshire terrier for small dogs and St Bernard's for big
In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
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NO OTHER LAND
Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal
Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham
Rating: 3.5/5
Match info
Uefa Champions League Group C
Liverpool v Napoli, midnight
The specs: 2019 GMC Yukon Denali
Price, base: Dh306,500
Engine: 6.2-litre V8
Transmission: 10-speed automatic
Power: 420hp @ 5,600rpm
Torque: 621Nm @ 4,100rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 12.9L / 100km
Brief scoreline:
Manchester United 0
Manchester City 2
Bernardo Silva 54', Sane 66'
The rules on fostering in the UAE
A foster couple or family must:
- be Muslim, Emirati and be residing in the UAE
- not be younger than 25 years old
- not have been convicted of offences or crimes involving moral turpitude
- be free of infectious diseases or psychological and mental disorders
- have the ability to support its members and the foster child financially
- undertake to treat and raise the child in a proper manner and take care of his or her health and well-being
- A single, divorced or widowed Muslim Emirati female, residing in the UAE may apply to foster a child if she is at least 30 years old and able to support the child financially
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The specs
Engine: 1.5-litre turbo
Power: 181hp
Torque: 230Nm
Transmission: 6-speed automatic
Starting price: Dh79,000
On sale: Now
The team
Photographer: Mateusz Stefanowski at Art Factory
Videographer: Jear Valasquez
Fashion director: Sarah Maisey
Make-up: Gulum Erzincan at Art Factory
Model: Randa at Art Factory Videographer’s assistant: Zanong Magat
Photographer’s assistant: Sophia Shlykova
With thanks to Jubail Mangrove Park, Jubail Island, Abu Dhabi
MATCH INFO
Champions League quarter-final, first leg
Ajax v Juventus, Wednesday, 11pm (UAE)
Match on BeIN Sports
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The biog
Hobby: "It is not really a hobby but I am very curious person. I love reading and spend hours on research."
Favourite author: Malcom Gladwell
Favourite travel destination: "Antigua in the Caribbean because I have emotional attachment to it. It is where I got married."
The National's picks
4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young
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