Digitalisation, artificial intelligence and renewable energy are the top investment trends for global institutional investors, pension funds and family offices who consider these sectors as key to shaping the world economy over the next three decades, Investcorp has said.
Energy security, an ageing population, electric vehicles and battery storage are also among the top investment mega-trends, according to Bahrain-based alternative asset manager's third annual What’s Next? Investment Trends for the Future report.
About 92 per cent of global investors ranked digitalisation and AI as the leading investment themes, followed by 77.8 per cent who cited renewable energy and energy security, 70 per cent who mentioned ageing populations and 68.9 per cent who highlighted electric vehicles and battery storage, the survey showed.
Investcorp conducted the global survey in partnership with IMD Business School to gauge the sentiment of institutional investors and explore the economic trends driving investment allocations.
The survey maps the wider demographic, resource, technological, environmental and geopolitical factors that are driving the global economy and what that means for current and future investment opportunities.
“It is clear that for global investors, digitisation and AI is a key trend that will shape the global economic landscape over the long term and our data suggests that companies that leverage leading-edge technologies for solving universal or critical problems are going to be as highly investible in the decades to come, as they have been in recent years,” co-chief executive Rishi Kapoor said.
“Even though the sector has had a very difficult year, it remains an attractive investment domain today, and investors surveyed believe it will ride out the current macroeconomic storm.
“This provides some hope and opportunity for growth capital and investors that predominantly invest in the technology space.”
Investments in digital transformation across the Middle East, Turkey and Africa region are projected to surpass $74 billion by 2026, helping organisations to achieve long-term stability and growth, a study by the International Data Corporation said.
Spending on such initiatives is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of about 16 per cent over a five-year period through 2026, and would account for more than 43 per cent of total information and communications technology investments, the US research company said last month.
Digitalisation and AI dominated the Investcorp study in all surveyed regions of Europe, the Middle East and the US.
More than eight in 10 major global institutional investors said they were currently investing in this sector or would do so in the future.
In terms of renewables and decarbonisation, Investcorp has “strong conviction in this space as we see a market with increased demand and supply issues, potential for huge innovation and a favourable regulatory backdrop”, said co-chief executive Hazem Ben-Gacem.
Capital investments in renewables are set to outstrip oil and gas projects for the first time in 2022 as high power prices prompt countries to further diversify their energy mix, Rystad Energy said in a report in October.
The level of capital investment in the sector has increased “significantly” and is set to reach $494 billion in 2022, outstripping upstream oil and gas at $446 billion for the year, the Norway-based consultancy said.
Energy security was a key theme for investors surveyed in both Europe and the US, given the continuing Russia-Ukraine war that drove up the prices of oil, gas and other commodities in 2022, said Investcorp.
“It has now become an imperative for western markets to invest in domestic energy production to strengthen and ensure its own energy security,” the report said.
“Survey data suggests that investors anticipate the energy security theme to continue well beyond the current conflict and believe it will lead to opportunities to invest in domestic energy production in Europe and beyond.”
Global investors are more divided across regions on the other megatrends shaping the world economy.
For example, a number of European and Asian investors — most probably driven by Japanese and Chinese investors — are concerned with the trend of an ageing population, while this is less of a concern for the US and Middle Eastern regions due to their younger population, the report said.
For both Europe and Asia, investment into health care is “one of the more obvious investment opportunities” to engage with this long-term trend.
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Global state-owned investor ranking by size
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United States
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China
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UAE
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Japan
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Norway
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Canada
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Singapore
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Australia
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Saudi Arabia
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South Korea
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Key recommendations
- Fewer criminals put behind bars and more to serve sentences in the community, with short sentences scrapped and many inmates released earlier.
- Greater use of curfews and exclusion zones to deliver tougher supervision than ever on criminals.
- Explore wider powers for judges to punish offenders by blocking them from attending football matches, banning them from driving or travelling abroad through an expansion of ‘ancillary orders’.
- More Intensive Supervision Courts to tackle the root causes of crime such as alcohol and drug abuse – forcing repeat offenders to take part in tough treatment programmes or face prison.
Sole survivors
- Cecelia Crocker was on board Northwest Airlines Flight 255 in 1987 when it crashed in Detroit, killing 154 people, including her parents and brother. The plane had hit a light pole on take off
- George Lamson Jr, from Minnesota, was on a Galaxy Airlines flight that crashed in Reno in 1985, killing 68 people. His entire seat was launched out of the plane
- Bahia Bakari, then 12, survived when a Yemenia Airways flight crashed near the Comoros in 2009, killing 152. She was found clinging to wreckage after floating in the ocean for 13 hours.
- Jim Polehinke was the co-pilot and sole survivor of a 2006 Comair flight that crashed in Lexington, Kentucky, killing 49.
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The biog
Most memorable achievement: Leading my first city-wide charity campaign in Toronto holds a special place in my heart. It was for Amnesty International’s Stop Violence Against Women program and showed me the power of how communities can come together in the smallest ways to have such wide impact.
Favourite film: Childhood favourite would be Disney’s Jungle Book and classic favourite Gone With The Wind.
Favourite book: To Kill A Mockingbird for a timeless story on justice and courage and Harry Potters for my love of all things magical.
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