As the Americans are feeling out the possibility of a Taliban office in Doha, where they can start negotiating for Afghanistan's future after a US withdrawal, they seem unaware of other developments around them.
US troops have been fighting Afghans for over a decade, and yet seem to have learnt very little of the local culture and circumstances. Nato commanders acknowledge the Afghan Taliban are fierce fighters who cannot be defeated by military means along.
The most recent US National Intelligence Estimate reported in the media paints a dismal picture, arguing that the military campaign is mired in a stalemate, despite recent Pentagon statements to the contrary. There is some irony in the fact that Gen David Petraeus, the current head of the CIA and former chief of US forces in Afghanistan, now oversees a report that directly questions the military strategy that he helped to adopt.
Actually, the NIE report reflects well on Gen Petraeus's credibility, but it does omit the significance of certain recent developments. Washington's major error is in failing to credit the Afghan Taliban with a strategic vision and the ability to learn from their past. Today's Taliban is very different from the Taliban of yesteryear.
Earlier this month, a spokesman for Mullah Omar, the acknowledged leader of the Afghan Taliban, announced the agreement to open an office in Qatar, where negotiations would be initiated with the United States. The next day, Mullah Omar announced that Pakistan's approval of negotiations would be a prerequisite.
Then on January 16, Mullah Omar announced victory of "Afghan freedom fighters" over invading forces. This was significant in several ways. While the Taliban are gaining in strength, they certainly haven't won yet. However, by asserting the victory of Afghans, and not just the Taliban, he was creating a space to initiate talks between the Taliban factions and other Afghan groups spanning the ethnic divide.
That would suggest that Mullah Omar has taken a page from the Afghan peace initiative, which was proposed by the former Afghan president Burhanuddin Rabbani, who was assassinated in Kabul in September. That plan seeks an agreement among the Afghan parties, facilitated by Pakistan, but without foreign interference, particularly from the United States.
So Mullah Omar is moving towards Afghan-only negotiations even as he apparently prepares for negotiations with the United States. Clearly there is more here than meets the eye.
About three months ago, the Quetta Shura commanded by Mullah Omar sent an emissary to Hakeemullah Mehsud, the titular head of the Pakistani Taliban, known as Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), asking factions to make peace with Islamabad.
Also in January, Mullah Omar formed the Shura-i-Murakkaba (roughly translated as the council of the like-minded). This shura, headed by Mullah Omar's representative, includes factions from across the Pashtun TTP, including Mehsud, Maulvi Nazir, Hafiz Gul Bahadar and Maulvi Faqir.
There is little that is known for sure about the purpose of this shura, but it would be reasonable to conclude Mullah Omar is consolidating his position in Afghanistan and across the border.
So where is the Afghan Taliban headed with this?
They are clearly aware of the pessimistic views in the recent US National Intelligence Estimate, as well as the Pentagon's desire to claim some kind of a victory to negotiate from a position of strength. In turn, the Taliban are working to extend their own dominance in Afghanistan.
At the same time, by restarting the Rabbani peace initiative, Mullah Omar seems to be accepting that any future arrangement in Afghanistan will not be exclusively Taliban. Although it is far too early to tell, perhaps that means that any coalition that emerges to govern Afghanistan will have to win popular support, which in turn means that the government can never again be as repressive as the Taliban became in the 1990s.
Mullah Omar's statements about seeking approval from Pakistan in the Doha negotiations also seem to suggest that he foresees a role for Islamabad, even if that is behind the scenes.
Meanwhile, Pakistan's foreign ministry has acknowledged that Iran has a "significant interest and role" in the future of Afghanistan. Islamabad has gone further by inviting Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for a trilateral summit including Afghanistan's President Hamid Karzai.
It seems unlikely that Islamabad would risk alienating Mullah Omar. Instead, it seems probable the Afghan Taliban is well aware that Tehran will be party to any eventual arrangement in Afghanistan. The fact that Islamabad, increasingly at odds with Washington, is acting as the facilitator will not be lost on them.
It would not be very surprising to see overtures from Islamabad to Beijing and Moscow next. And all members will acknowledge the Afghan Taliban as a player in negotiations. It would seem that Afghanistan's next political order will not be exclusively Taliban, but it will probably come into being through Taliban initiatives, not American or Pakistani.
Brig Shaukat Qadir is a retired Pakistani infantry officer
Strait of Hormuz
Fujairah is a crucial hub for fuel storage and is just outside the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route linking Middle East oil producers to markets in Asia, Europe, North America and beyond.
The strait is 33 km wide at its narrowest point, but the shipping lane is just three km wide in either direction. Almost a fifth of oil consumed across the world passes through the strait.
Iran has repeatedly threatened to close the strait, a move that would risk inviting geopolitical and economic turmoil.
Last month, Iran issued a new warning that it would block the strait, if it was prevented from using the waterway following a US decision to end exemptions from sanctions for major Iranian oil importers.
The specs
Engine: Four electric motors, one at each wheel
Power: 579hp
Torque: 859Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
Price: From Dh825,900
On sale: Now
THE SPECS
Engine: 6.75-litre twin-turbocharged V12 petrol engine
Power: 420kW
Torque: 780Nm
Transmission: 8-speed automatic
Price: From Dh1,350,000
On sale: Available for preorder now
A MINECRAFT MOVIE
Director: Jared Hess
Starring: Jack Black, Jennifer Coolidge, Jason Momoa
Rating: 3/5
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Indoor cricket in a nutshell
Indoor Cricket World Cup – Sep 16-20, Insportz, Dubai
16 Indoor cricket matches are 16 overs per side
8 There are eight players per team
9 There have been nine Indoor Cricket World Cups for men. Australia have won every one.
5 Five runs are deducted from the score when a wickets falls
4 Batsmen bat in pairs, facing four overs per partnership
Scoring In indoor cricket, runs are scored by way of both physical and bonus runs. Physical runs are scored by both batsmen completing a run from one crease to the other. Bonus runs are scored when the ball hits a net in different zones, but only when at least one physical run is score.
Zones
A Front net, behind the striker and wicketkeeper: 0 runs
B Side nets, between the striker and halfway down the pitch: 1 run
C Side nets between halfway and the bowlers end: 2 runs
D Back net: 4 runs on the bounce, 6 runs on the full
The specs
Engine: 1.5-litre turbo
Power: 181hp
Torque: 230Nm
Transmission: 6-speed automatic
Starting price: Dh79,000
On sale: Now
Company profile
Company name: Suraasa
Started: 2018
Founders: Rishabh Khanna, Ankit Khanna and Sahil Makker
Based: India, UAE and the UK
Industry: EdTech
Initial investment: More than $200,000 in seed funding
The smuggler
Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple.
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.
Khouli conviction
Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.
For sale
A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.
- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico
- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000
- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
What%20is%20Dungeons%20%26%20Dragons%3F%20
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RACE CARD
6.30pm: Handicap (Turf) US$175,000 1,000m
7.05pm: Al Bastakiya Trial Conditions (Dirt) $100,000 1,900m
7.40pm: Al Rashidiya Group 2 (T) $250,000 1,800m
8.15pm: Handicap (D) $135,000 2,000m
8.50pm: Al Fahidi Fort Group 2 (T) $250,000 1,400m
9.25pm: Handicap (T) $135,000 2,410m.
Abu Dhabi traffic facts
Drivers in Abu Dhabi spend 10 per cent longer in congested conditions than they would on a free-flowing road
The highest volume of traffic on the roads is found between 7am and 8am on a Sunday.
Travelling before 7am on a Sunday could save up to four hours per year on a 30-minute commute.
The day was the least congestion in Abu Dhabi in 2019 was Tuesday, August 13.
The highest levels of traffic were found on Sunday, November 10.
Drivers in Abu Dhabi lost 41 hours spent in traffic jams in rush hour during 2019
Test
Director: S Sashikanth
Cast: Nayanthara, Siddharth, Meera Jasmine, R Madhavan
Star rating: 2/5
MATCH INFO
Chelsea 3 (Abraham 11', 17', 74')
Luton Town 1 (Clark 30')
Man of the match Abraham (Chelsea)
SPEC%20SHEET%3A%20APPLE%20M3%20MACBOOK%20AIR%20(13%22)
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EProcessor%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Apple%20M3%2C%208-core%20CPU%2C%20up%20to%2010-core%20CPU%2C%2016-core%20Neural%20Engine%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDisplay%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%2013.6-inch%20Liquid%20Retina%2C%202560%20x%201664%2C%20224ppi%2C%20500%20nits%2C%20True%20Tone%2C%20wide%20colour%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EMemory%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%208%2F16%2F24GB%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStorage%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20256%2F512GB%20%2F%201%2F2TB%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EI%2FO%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Thunderbolt%203%2FUSB-4%20(2)%2C%203.5mm%20audio%2C%20Touch%20ID%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EConnectivity%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Wi-Fi%206E%2C%20Bluetooth%205.3%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EBattery%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%2052.6Wh%20lithium-polymer%2C%20up%20to%2018%20hours%2C%20MagSafe%20charging%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECamera%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%201080p%20FaceTime%20HD%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EVideo%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Support%20for%20Apple%20ProRes%2C%20HDR%20with%20Dolby%20Vision%2C%20HDR10%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EAudio%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%204-speaker%20system%2C%20wide%20stereo%2C%20support%20for%20Dolby%20Atmos%2C%20Spatial%20Audio%20and%20dynamic%20head%20tracking%20(with%20AirPods)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EColours%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Midnight%2C%20silver%2C%20space%20grey%2C%20starlight%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EIn%20the%20box%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20MacBook%20Air%2C%2030W%2F35W%20dual-port%2F70w%20power%20adapter%2C%20USB-C-to-MagSafe%20cable%2C%202%20Apple%20stickers%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EPrice%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20From%20Dh4%2C599%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
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Specs
Engine: Electric motor generating 54.2kWh (Cooper SE and Aceman SE), 64.6kW (Countryman All4 SE)
Power: 218hp (Cooper and Aceman), 313hp (Countryman)
Torque: 330Nm (Cooper and Aceman), 494Nm (Countryman)
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh158,000 (Cooper), Dh168,000 (Aceman), Dh190,000 (Countryman)